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Match Prediction

NK Varazdin vs Sibenik Prediction

Finished
Croatia flag Croatia
HNL

NK Varazdin

€8.25m

2 May17:00
1 : 1

Sibenik

€7.60m

Preview

NK Varazdin vs Sibenik Prediction HNL

A Tense Encounter at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec

Friday evening football doesn’t get much more intriguing than this. NK Varazdin vs Sibenik prediction models point to a tight, tactical affair, with the hosts favored but the visitors lurking as potential spoilers. Varazdin, sitting pretty in 5th with 44 points, welcome a Sibenik side scrapping to climb out of 10th—a 15-point chasm separating them. The stakes? Pride, momentum, and for Sibenik, a desperate need to shake off the relegation whispers.

Why the Odds Favor a Low-Scoring Affair

The bookmakers have Varazdin as clear favorites at 1.8, with the draw at 3.2 and a Sibenik win priced at a lofty 4.8. But here’s the twist: our AI’s best tip isn’t backing the home win—it’s under 2.5 goals at 1.5 (confidence: 6.3/10). Why? Let’s break it down:

  • Expected shots: Varazdin (15 total, 4 on target), Sibenik (9 total, 3 on target). Not exactly a firework factory.
  • Corners: Just 4 apiece. This isn’t a game where wingers will be peppering the box.
  • Possession: 56% for Varazdin, 44% for Sibenik. Control, but not dominance.

Add in the predicted 1-0 final score and a goalless first half, and you’ve got a recipe for patience over pizzazz. Even the discipline stats—2 yellow cards each—hint at a match where frustration might outweigh flair.

The HNL Trend That Backs the Underdog (Sort Of)

Croatia’s top flight has its quirks. Home teams win 43.7% of the time, but Sibenik’s recent head-to-head resilience is worth noting:

  1. Last meeting (Nov 29, 2024): Varazdin won 2-1, but Sibenik made them sweat (Sibenik’s odds were 4.85 then—they’re now 4.8).
  2. Sibenik’s 1-1 draw at Rijeka (odds: 10.0!) proved they can park the bus and steal a point.
  3. Varazdin’s 1-1 with Dinamo Zagreb (odds: 6.0) showed they’re no pushovers either.

Yet, league-wide stats temper expectations: only 48.1% of matches see over 2.5 goals. So while Sibenik might channel that 'friend who turns up late but steals the show,' the smart money says they’ll struggle to light up the scoreboard.

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips for the Cautious Punter

If you’re eyeing this as a betting tips goldmine, consider:

  • Under 2.5 goals (1.5) is the AI’s pick—safe, if unsexy.
  • Varazdin to win 1-0 (6.0-ish) fits the data like a glove.
  • For the bold? A goalless first half (2.1-ish) could pad your wallet.

One thing’s certain: at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, it’s brains over brawn. Whether that means a Varazdin grind or a Sibenik smash-and-grab, well—that’s why we love the game.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

NK Varazdin didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for NK Varazdin vs Sibenik

U2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -125

NK Varazdin is expected to win with odds of -125
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -164

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -192

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.2
Total Goals
2.1
0.7
Goals Scored
0.8
0.5
Goals Against
1.3
47%
Possession
46%
11.3
Total Shots
9.1
3.4
Shots on Goal
2.9
4.7
Shots off Goal
3.7
12.9
Fouls
12.7
4
Corners
3.9
1.8
Offsides
0.8
2.8
Yellow Cards
1.7
0.1
Red Cards
0.2
362
Total Passes
314

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
4
Over 1.5 Goals
6
1
Over 2.5 Goals
3
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

NK Varazdin
8 - 6 - 3
Sibenik
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 02-May-25
1:1
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 02-Mar-25
0:2
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 29-Nov-24
2:1
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 15-Sep-24
0:0
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Sibenik Sibenik 05-May-23
0:2
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 04-Mar-23
2:0
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 28-Oct-22
1:2
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 20-Aug-22
2:2
Sibenik Sibenik
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 16-Apr-21
1:1
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 07-Feb-21
0:0
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin

Profile time Recent Matches of NK Varazdin

07 Dec NK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
-
Lok. Zagreb. Lok. Zagreb
03 DecD NK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:1
Osijek. Osijek
29 NovD Hajduk Split Hajduk Split.
1:1
NK Varazdin. NK Varazdin

Profile time Recent Matches of Sibenik

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka36
49-21
65
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb36
69-41
65
3 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Spl36
49-34
63
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin36
28-24
49
5 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belu36
42-45
48
6 Istra 1961 Istra 196136
39-42
48
7 NK Osijek NK Osijek36
46-52
42
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva 36
45-54
39
9 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica36
29-51
37
10 Sibenik Sibenik36
28-60
30
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