Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Preview
When Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS meet on June 29, 2025, at Estádio do Vale, expect a battle that’s more chess match than fireworks display. Our Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS prediction leans on stats, recent form, and the AI’s cold, calculating logic—but with room for the chaos that makes lower-league football so fun. Let’s break it down.
The bookmakers have Novo Hamburgo as slight favorites at 2.05, and it’s easy to see why. The home side’s squad value (€150k) triples Santa Cruz RS’s (€50k), and they’ve already beaten Santa Cruz 2-1 earlier this year. Plus, Gaúcho - 2 is a league where home teams win 23.5% of matches—not a huge number, but still double the away win rate (11.7%).
Our AI’s top tip—Home Team to Score (1.36 odds, 4.5/10 confidence)—fits neatly with its 1x2 prediction of a Novo Hamburgo win (2.05 odds, 4.1 confidence). Santa Cruz’s defense isn’t leaky, but Novo Hamburgo’s home edge and recent head-to-head success suggest they’ll find the net at least once.
If you love goals, Gaúcho - 2 might test your patience. Here’s why our AI likes under 2.5 goals (1.38 odds, 3.4 confidence):
Novo Hamburgo’s 1-1 draw against Ypiranga-RS (where they were underdogs at 5.15) shows they can grind out results. Santa Cruz, meanwhile, lacks firepower. The AI’s predicted 2-0 scoreline feels plausible—tight, but with the home side edging it.
With 64.8% of Gaúcho - 2 matches ending in draws, the 2.88 odds for a stalemate might tempt some. But Novo Hamburgo’s recent form and squad strength make them the smarter pick. Here’s how to play it:
This isn’t a match for thrill-seekers, but for bettors who love nuance. Novo Hamburgo’s slight edge, the league’s low-scoring trend, and Santa Cruz’s struggles point to a home win with minimal fuss. Just don’t expect a goal fest—unless the football gods decide to troll us all.
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HS -278
Novo Hamburgo is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -2781 105
Novo Hamburgo is expected to win with odds of 105Under 2.5 -263
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -217
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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1
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0
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0
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 Novo H |
23-Jan-24
2:1
| Santa C  |
Recent Matches of Novo H| 24 Jan | D |
Avenida.
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1:1
| Novo H.
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Recent Matches of Santa C
Brazil - Gaúcho - 2| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aimoré | 14 | 16-5 | 31 |
| 2 |
Inter Santa | 14 | 16-7 | 29 |
| 3 |
Passo Fundo | 14 | 20-12 | 27 |
| 4 |
Novo Hamburgo | 14 | 17-8 | 24 |
| 5 |
Gramadense | 14 | 13-9 | 24 |
| 6 |
Veranópolis | 14 | 17-9 | 23 |
| 7 |
Bagé | 14 | 9-5 | 21 |
| 8 |
Lajeadense | 14 | 13-14 | 21 |
| 9 |
Santa Cruz RS | 14 | 12-11 | 18 |
| 10 |
Brasil | 14 | 15-20 | 15 |
| 11 |
Glória | 14 | 8-13 | 13 |
| 12 |
Esportivo | 14 | 12-21 | 11 |
| 13 |
União RS | 14 | 6-16 | 10 |
| 14 |
Gaúcho | 14 | 15-20 | 9 |
| 15 |
Real | 14 | 4-23 | 3 |
