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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction - Oct 25, 2026

Oct 2519:45
VS
11.47 X5.00 25.80

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
8.8/10
1x2 Tip
6.0/10
Total Goals
8.8/10
Both Teams To Score
2.8/10
Bet Builder Tip
8.5/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
PSG
Lyon
xGParis Saint Germain: 2.26Lyon: 0.99
Ball PossessionParis Saint Germain: 62%Lyon: 38%
Total ShotsParis Saint Germain: 21Lyon: 7
Shots on GoalParis Saint Germain: 9Lyon: 2
Shots Off GoalParis Saint Germain: 7Lyon: 3
CornersParis Saint Germain: 5Lyon: 5
Yellow CardsParis Saint Germain: 1Lyon: 1
OffsidesParis Saint Germain: 2Lyon: 1
FoulsParis Saint Germain: 8Lyon: 11

Preview

AI
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction: Goals in Paris

Our Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction points toward an entertaining night at the Parc des Princes. Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, although events away from the pitch could yet alter the timetable.

Security concerns complicate the build-up

The Paris Police Prefecture has reportedly asked the French Professional Football League to move the fixture to Monday, October 26. Nationwide protests are expected in the capital, while an NFL game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints at the Stade de France will place further pressure on police resources.

A Monday fixture would overlap with the 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony in London, potentially keeping nominated PSG players away from the event for a second consecutive year. Lyon supporters have also been banned from the stadium and surrounding areas of Paris and Boulogne-Billancourt between 14:00 and 23:59 on matchday. Bettors should therefore confirm the final schedule before placing a wager.

Two leaders with very different resources

Both clubs enter Matchweek 8 with 14 points from four wins, two draws and one defeat. Lyon sit first on goal difference, but PSG arrive with seven consecutive victories in all competitions. Their recent 4-2 Champions League success over Barcelona showed the speed and confidence of their attack. They have also scored in 38 straight matches.

Lyon’s latest chapter was more dramatic. They came from behind to beat Nice 2-1 and protected the lead despite finishing with ten players. Paulo Fonseca’s side should defend in a compact shape in Paris, then look for quick forward passes when possession changes. The absence of Loïs Openda, however, reduces their options in attack.

PSG have deeper resources, reflected by the enormous difference in squad value: approximately €1.36bn for the hosts against €264.45m for Lyon. Even so, the champions have serious injury concerns. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia reportedly suffered an ACL injury against Barcelona, while Ousmane Dembélé and Marquinhos sustained thigh problems. Nuno Mendes, Maghnes Akliouche and Senny Mayulu are also expected to miss out.

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Statistics

Average / Match
PSG
Lyon
Expected GoalsParis Saint Germain: 2.8Lyon: 1.53
Total GoalsParis Saint Germain: 4.2Lyon: 3
Goals ScoredParis Saint Germain: 2.8Lyon: 1.7
Goals AgainstParis Saint Germain: 1.4Lyon: 1.3
PossessionParis Saint Germain: 64%Lyon: 52%
Total ShotsParis Saint Germain: 21.8Lyon: 12.6
Shots on GoalParis Saint Germain: 9Lyon: 5.2
Shots off GoalParis Saint Germain: 7.4Lyon: 4.3
FoulsParis Saint Germain: 7.1Lyon: 9.6
CornersParis Saint Germain: 5.1Lyon: 4.8
OffsidesParis Saint Germain: 2.2Lyon: 2
Yellow CardsParis Saint Germain: 0.8Lyon: 1.3
Total PassesParis Saint Germain: 662Lyon: 460

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
PSG
Lyon
WinsParis Saint Germain: 7Lyon: 5
Over 1.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 9Lyon: 9
Over 2.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 9Lyon: 8
Over 3.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 7Lyon: 3
Both Teams ScoredParis Saint Germain: 9Lyon: 7
Unexpected WinsParis Saint Germain: 0Lyon: 0
Unexpected LosesParis Saint Germain: 1Lyon: 0

H2H

Total meetings 41
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
27Wins
6Draws
8Wins
Recent meetings 10
3.4Goals per match
80%Both Teams Scored
70%Over 2.5 Goals
Apr 192026Paris Saint GermainLyon12
Nov 092025LyonParis Saint Germain23
Feb 232025LyonParis Saint Germain23
Dec 152024Paris Saint GermainLyon31
May 252024LyonParis Saint Germain12
Apr 212024Paris Saint GermainLyon41
Sep 032023LyonParis Saint Germain14
Apr 022023Paris Saint GermainLyon01
Sep 182022LyonParis Saint Germain01
Jan 092022LyonParis Saint Germain11

Recent Matches

Standings

France - Ligue 1
# Team M G P
1 Lyon 7 13-5 14
2 Paris Saint Germain 7 14-9 14
3 Paris FC 7 12-7 14
4 Lille 7 10-5 14
5 Monaco 7 10-6 14
6 Rennes 7 15-14 13
7 Lorient 7 7-6 11
8 Lens 7 14-11 10
9 Marseille 7 14-10 9
10 Stade Brestois 29 7 13-10 9
11 Toulouse 7 12-11 9
12 Auxerre 7 11-17 9
13 Nice 7 6-9 8
14 Strasbourg 7 12-15 7
15 Angers 7 9-15 7
16 Le Mans 7 10-15 6
17 Estac Troyes 7 5-16 4
18 Le Havre 7 5-11 2
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