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Match Prediction

Peru vs Ecuador Prediction

Finished
World flag World
World Cup - Qualification

Peru

€58.80m

10 Jun21:30
0 : 0

Ecuador

€296.95m

Preview

Peru vs Ecuador Prediction World Cup - Qualification South America

Peru vs Ecuador Prediction: A Tight Battle Under the Lima Lights

When Peru and Ecuador meet at the Estadio Nacional de Lima on June 11, 2025 (kickoff at 02:30 GMT), it won’t just be another World Cup Qualification South America match—it’ll be a showdown between two teams with everything to prove. The Peru vs Ecuador prediction is already sparking debates, and with good reason: the odds are razor-thin (Peru at 2.58, draw at 2.75, Ecuador at 2.5), suggesting this could go either way. Add in Ecuador’s star-studded €2.5.95m squad value compared to Peru’s €58.80m, and you’ve got a classic case of 'pressure vs underdog grit.' Let’s break it down.

Recent Form: Resilience Meets Surprise

Both teams have shown they’re no pushovers. Peru’s last outing was a gritty 0-0 away draw against Colombia (odds: 9.25!), proving they can dig deep defensively. Ecuador, meanwhile, turned heads with a 0-1 away win over the same Colombian side (odds: 6.2). Their last head-to-head in 2022 ended 1-1, with Peru slightly favored (odds: 2.42 vs Ecuador’s 3.25). This time? The betting odds hint at another nail-biter.

Projected Match Stats: A Tactical Tango

Expect a balanced but cautious game:

  • Ball possession: Peru 51%, Ecuador 49% (basically a coin flip)
  • Total shots: Peru 10, Ecuador 8 (neither side will spam attempts)
  • Shots on target: Peru 3, Ecuador 2 (defenses will be busy but not overwhelmed)
  • Corners: 3 for Peru, 2 for Ecuador (set-piece drama, anyone?)
  • Yellow cards: 0 (surprisingly clean for a South American qualifier!)
Translation? This’ll be chess, not chaos. Home teams win 53.8% of qualifiers, but Ecuador’s recent away form (and that squad value gap) could flip the script.

League-Wide Trends: Goals at a Premium

South American qualifiers aren’t goal fests:

  • Both teams score in just 32.5% of matches
  • Over 1.5 goals lands 59.7% of the time
  • Over 2.5? Only 40.3%
With Peru’s defensive grind and Ecuador’s disciplined away wins, the sports betting smart money leans toward a low-scoring affair.

AI’s Top Betting Tips: Where to Put Your Money

The stats scream three smart picks:

  1. NG (No Goal—one team blanks) at 1.5 odds (trust score: 7.5/10). With both teams scoring in just a third of qualifiers, this feels safe.
  2. Away win (Ecuador) at 2.5 (trust: 6.7). Their squad depth and recent upset potential make them live underdogs.
  3. Under 2.5 goals at 1.45 (trust: 7.2). History and projections agree—this won’t be a shootout.
Final score prediction? 0-1 to Ecuador, with a halftime stalemate (0-0). Ecuador’s knack for narrow wins and Peru’s struggle to convert chances make it the logical call.

Final Whistle: Bet Smart, Enjoy the Drama

This Peru vs Ecuador prediction boils down to patience and small margins. The stats favor a tight, tactical game with few goals, and Ecuador’s recent form gives them the edge. Whether you’re diving into sports betting or just love the drama, remember: in South American qualifiers, expect the unexpected (but maybe not many goals).

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Ecuador no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Peru vs Ecuador

NG -200

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -200
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 150

Ecuador is expected to win with odds of 150
6/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -333

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -200

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -179

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
1
3
Corners
2

Average / Match

1.6
Total Goals
1.2
0.5
Goals Scored
0.9
1.1
Goals Against
0.3
37%
Possession
56%
7.4
Total Shots
11.2
2.6
Shots on Goal
4.4
2.6
Shots off Goal
3.7
13.3
Fouls
13
2.4
Corners
4.8
2
Offsides
1.9
2.25
Yellow Cards
0.89
0
Red Cards
0.1
280
Total Passes
459

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
4
Over 1.5 Goals
3
2
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Peru
3 - 3 - 3
Ecuador
Ecuador Ecuador 10-Sep-24
1:0
Peru Peru
Peru Peru 02-Feb-22
1:1
Ecuador Ecuador
Ecuador Ecuador 23-Jun-21
2:2
Peru Peru
Ecuador Ecuador 08-Jun-21
1:2
Peru Peru
Peru Peru 06-Sep-19
0:1
Ecuador Ecuador
Peru Peru 16-Nov-18
0:2
Ecuador Ecuador
Ecuador Ecuador 05-Sep-17
1:2
Peru Peru
Peru Peru 07-Sep-16
2:1
Ecuador Ecuador
Ecuador Ecuador 09-Jun-16
2:2
Peru Peru

World - World Cup - Qualification South America World - World Cup - Qualification South America

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Argentina Argentina17
31-9
38
2 Brazil Brazil17
24-16
28
3 Uruguay Uruguay17
22-12
27
4 Ecuador Ecuador17
13-5
26
5 Colombia Colombia17
22-15
25
6 Paraguay Paraguay17
13-10
25
7 Venezuela Venezuela17
15-22
18
8 Bolivia Bolivia17
16-35
17
9 Peru Peru17
6-20
12
10 Chile Chile17
9-27
10
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