Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Peru
€58.80m
Paraguay
€199.02m
Preview
The much-anticipated Peru vs Paraguay prediction is on every football fan’s mind as these two South American sides prepare to meet at the Estadio Nacional de Lima on September 10, 2.54, at 00:30 GMT. With Paraguay already celebrating their long-awaited return to the World Cup and Peru seeking redemption after a tough qualifying campaign, this match promises more than just a routine fixture. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and what our AI-powered betting tips suggest for one of the most intriguing head to head encounters in the World Cup Qualification South America league.
Paraguay enters this match riding a wave of national pride, having secured their first World Cup berth since 2010. Their qualification, confirmed after a hard-fought draw with Ecuador, even sparked a national holiday back home. With the pressure off, coach Daniel Garnero is likely to rotate his squad, giving fringe players a rare chance to shine. Notably, several regulars such as Isidro Pitta, Julio Enciso, and Mathías Villasanti are expected to remain sidelined, while defender Omar Alderete will shoulder much of the defensive responsibility in the absence of Fabián Balbuena.
Peru, on the other hand, finds itself in a contrasting position. Sitting ninth and already eliminated from World Cup contention, La Blanquirroja’s campaign has been marked by a lack of attacking firepower—just three goals in their last six matches, and a mere 0.4 goals per game throughout the qualifiers. The retirement of all-time top scorer Paolo Guerrero and injuries to key attackers like Gianluca Lapadula and André Carrillo have left them relying on young talents like Kenji Cabrera to carry the offensive load. Coach Óscar Ibáñez, who prefers a solid 4-4-2 setup, will be hoping his side can at least end their campaign with a positive result in front of their home fans.
The recent head to head record between these teams leans in Peru’s favor, with 10 wins in 19 meetings since 2003. However, the last two encounters ended goalless, and both teams have struggled to find the net in recent months. Paraguay’s squad value—almost triple that of Peru—reflects their depth, but with rotation expected, the playing field could be more level than the numbers suggest.
Turning to the analytical side, our NerdyTips AI offers a clear-eyed look at the betting landscape for this Peru vs Paraguay prediction. The bookmakers see this as a tight contest, with odds of 2.54 for a home win, 2.75 for a draw, and 3.49 for an away win. Given the context—Paraguay’s celebratory mood and likely squad changes, and Peru’s lack of attacking bite—our AI’s recommended bet is NG (at least one team will not score), with a trust level of 6.0 out of 10 at odds of 1.45.
If you’re eyeing the 1x2 market, the smart money is on X2 (draw or Paraguay win), albeit with a lower trust level of 2.0 and odds of 1.6. Our model expects a cagey affair, projecting a final score of 0:1 in favor of Paraguay, with a goalless first half. The under 2.5 goals market is also flagged as a strong option (trust 6.0, odds 1.49), supported by both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal.
Statistically, Peru is expected to dominate possession (61%) and edge the shot count (12 to Paraguay’s 11), but with both sides averaging few shots on target (4 for Peru, 3 for Paraguay), clear-cut chances may be at a premium. Corners and yellow cards are forecast to be evenly split, further underscoring the likelihood of a tightly contested, low-scoring match.
While Peru will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about, the evidence points toward a disciplined, perhaps cautious, encounter. Paraguay’s rotated squad may lack some of their usual star power, but with confidence high after qualifying, they should have enough to avoid defeat. The best betting tips for this Peru vs Paraguay prediction are to back under 2.5 goals and NG, with a slight lean toward an away win or draw. As always, football has a way of surprising us, but the stats and recent form suggest a narrow, hard-fought contest is on the cards in Lima.
Whether you’re following for betting tips, tactical intrigue, or just the love of South American football, this Peru vs Paraguay prediction offers plenty to ponder. Stay tuned for more updates and enjoy the match!
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Meaningless match!
NG -222
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -222X2 -192
Paraguay to win or drawUnder 2.5 -345
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -222
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -127
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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7
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4
-
0
|
|
 Peru |
08-Jun-24
0:0
| Paraguay  |
| Paraguay |
07-Sep-23
0:0
| Peru |
| Peru |
17-Nov-22
1:0
| Paraguay |
| Peru |
31-Mar-22
2:0
| Paraguay |
| Peru |
02-Jul-21
3:3
| Paraguay |
| Paraguay |
08-Oct-20
2:2
| Peru |
| Peru |
23-Mar-19
1:0
| Paraguay |
| Peru |
08-Jun-17
1:0
| Paraguay |
| Paraguay |
10-Nov-16
1:4
| Peru |
| Peru |
14-Nov-15
1:0
| Paraguay |
World - World Cup - Qualification South America| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentina | 17 | 31-9 | 38 |
| 2 |
Brazil | 17 | 24-16 | 28 |
| 3 |
Uruguay | 17 | 22-12 | 27 |
| 4 |
Ecuador | 17 | 13-5 | 26 |
| 5 |
Colombia | 17 | 22-15 | 25 |
| 6 |
Paraguay | 17 | 13-10 | 25 |
| 7 |
Venezuela | 17 | 15-22 | 18 |
| 8 |
Bolivia | 17 | 16-35 | 17 |
| 9 |
Peru | 17 | 6-20 | 12 |
| 10 |
Chile | 17 | 9-27 | 10 |
