Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
As the sun sets over Tuscany this Saturday, April 5th, Pontedera and Lucchese are set to meet once again at the charming Stadio Ettore Mannucci, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 GMT. These two sides, familiar foes in Italy's Serie C, have shown a knack for unpredictability—and goals. If their last meeting is anything to go by, fans should buckle up for another entertaining ride.
When these two last met on March 6th, the scoreboard finished with a symmetrical 2-2, reflecting not just balance but a shared appetite for attacking football. That result was no fluke—both sides have recently shown they can score and surprise. Pontedera stunned Arezzo back in January, winning 4-2 away despite being priced at long odds of 6.0. Not to be outdone, Lucchese pulled off an emphatic 4.45 win over Ternana just days ago, again as underdogs at 6.0. Clearly, neither side is reading the script.
With both teams showing form and flair, the bookmakers are leaning toward the home side, with Pontedera priced at 1.65 to win, while Lucchese are the outsiders at 4.45. A draw sits at 4.45, which—given recent history—might not be such a far-fetched outcome.
Our top AI insight for Pontedera vs Lucchese is that betting on over 1.5 goals is the smartest play here, with a confidence score of 6.2 out of 10 and odds of 1.25, suggesting a lively match with at least a couple of goals on the board. This aligns with the AI’s predicted final score of 2-2 and a 1-1 halftime result—not just exciting, but consistent with both teams' recent form.
The AI also gives a 1X result (Pontedera to win or draw) a low confidence rating of 2.0, but with odds of 1.19, it's more of a safety net than a standout value pick. Still, considering Pontedera’s stronger squad value (€3.68m vs Lucchese’s €3.28m) and home advantage, it’s a decent fallback if you're risk-averse.
This particular market looks like the sweet spot. With both teams scoring twice in their last head-to-head and coming off high-scoring wins, backing at least two goals in the match seems less like a gamble and more like common sense. Over 1.5 goals has a confidence rating of 6.3 and odds of 1.25, which makes it a solid choice for fans looking for a safer bet with a reasonable return.
Despite Lucchese’s recent form, Pontedera's home record and recent performances give them the edge. The odds of 1.65 for a home win offer some value, especially considering their January upset win over Arezzo. But with Lucchese capable of pulling off surprises of their own, the AI's 1X prediction makes sense—just don’t expect a walk in the park for the hosts.
One thing is for sure: goals won’t be in short supply. The AI’s predicted 2-2 draw might not help those chasing a clean result in the 1X2 market, but it does offer plenty of insight for those looking at totals or both teams to score. And with both teams riding high after recent wins, momentum is firmly on both sides.
So, whether you're tuning in for the tactics, the tension, or the thrill of a well-placed bet, this Saturday’s fixture promises to be far from dull. Keep your eyes on the goals market, and don’t be surprised if this turns into another four-goal thriller.
Read More
Lucchese has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!
O1.5 -400
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4001X -714
Pontedera to win or drawOver 1.5 -400
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -128
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -263
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:2
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5
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4
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7
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 Pontedera |
05-Apr-25
4:1
| Lucchese  |
| Lucchese |
25-Nov-24
2:1
| Pontedera |
| Pontedera |
06-Mar-24
2:2
| Lucchese |
| Lucchese |
29-Oct-23
1:2
| Pontedera |
| Pontedera |
15-Jan-23
0:0
| Lucchese |
| Lucchese |
14-Sep-22
1:1
| Pontedera |
| Lucchese |
20-Feb-22
1:2
| Pontedera |
| Pontedera |
16-Oct-21
2:3
| Lucchese |
| Lucchese |
07-Mar-21
2:1
| Pontedera |
| Pontedera |
02-Dec-20
0:1
| Lucchese |
Recent Matches of Pontedera| 31 Jan |
Campobasso.
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| Pontedera.
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Recent Matches of Lucchese
Italy - Serie C - Girone B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Virtus Entella | 38 | 61-24 | 83 |
| 2 |
Ternana | 38 | 64-23 | 74 |
| 3 |
Torres | 38 | 55-36 | 68 |
| 4 |
Pescara | 38 | 55-35 | 67 |
| 5 |
Arezzo | 38 | 48-37 | 64 |
| 6 |
Vis Pesaro | 38 | 44-34 | 58 |
| 7 |
Pineto | 38 | 46-49 | 57 |
| 8 |
Pianese | 38 | 48-48 | 53 |
| 9 |
Rimini | 38 | 45-35 | 51 |
| 10 |
Pontedera | 38 | 54-54 | 48 |
| 11 |
Gubbio | 38 | 32-42 | 48 |
| 12 |
Perugia | 38 | 43-41 | 47 |
| 13 |
Athletic Carpi | 38 | 41-48 | 44 |
| 14 |
Città di | 38 | 36-46 | 43 |
| 15 |
Ascoli | 38 | 37-46 | 40 |
| 16 |
Lucchese | 38 | 47-64 | 39 |
| 17 |
Spal | 38 | 41-61 | 35 |
| 18 |
Milan II | 38 | 36-57 | 34 |
| 19 |
Sestri Levante | 38 | 34-54 | 31 |
| 20 |
Legnago Salus | 38 | 30-63 | 29 |
