Match Prediction
Match Prediction
China
Qingdao Jonoon
€3.70m
Chengdu B
€10.07m
Preview
Get ready for this Chinese FA Cup fixture on July 23, 2025. Our Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City prediction dives deep into a match that, on paper, looks like a classic David vs. Goliath story. Chengdu Better City arrive as the high-flying league contenders, while Qingdao Jonoon are hoping for a sprinkle of cup magic to turn their fortunes around. But as any football fan knows, anything can happen over 90 minutes.
When you look at the history between these two, it’s a bit of a one-sided affair. In their last five meetings, Chengdu has walked away the winner four times, leaving just one victory for Qingdao. Their most recent head to head encounter back in April ended in a tight 1-0 win for Chengdu, showing they know how to get the job done against this opponent. The odds for that match were almost identical to this one, with Chengdu priced at 1.36 to win.
Form-wise, the teams are on completely different planets. Chengdu Better City are enjoying a fantastic season, sitting comfortably near the top of the Chinese Super League. Their away form is particularly impressive, and they’ve turned into a goal-scoring machine, finding the net in their last 15 consecutive games. Qingdao Jonoon, meanwhile, are in a slump. They’ve lost their last three matches and have struggled to score, failing to find the net in their last two outings.
However, there's a fascinating twist in the tale. All is not well behind the scenes at Chengdu. Their manager, Seo Jung-won, has publicly aired his frustrations with the club's management over everything from player transfers to contract extensions. He feels undermined and ignored, which could create a tense atmosphere. Will the players rally around their manager, or will this significant off-field drama cause a distraction? It’s a huge factor to consider in any sports betting analysis.
Tactically, we expect Chengdu to dominate proceedings. Our projections show them controlling around 61% of the ball possession and firing off about 18 shots towards Qingdao's goal. This aligns with their aggressive, high-scoring style, especially on the road. Qingdao will likely set up to be compact and defensive, hoping to frustrate the visitors and hit them on the counter-attack. Their historical FA Cup win back in 2002 is a distant memory, but it proves the club has a cup pedigree, however rusty it may be.
One interesting stat is that Chengdu has won the first half in 59% of their matches this season. They like to start fast, and with our AI predicting a 0:1 scoreline at halftime, this trend looks set to continue. For Qingdao, just staying in the game will be the primary objective.
Now, let's get to the numbers that matter for your betting slip. The bookmakers have made their minds up, pricing a Chengdu Better City win at a very short 1.35. A draw is a long shot at 4.45, while a home victory for Qingdao Jonoon would be a massive shock, with odds of 10.0. These betting odds tell a clear story: Chengdu are heavy favourites for a reason.
Our AI model at NerdyTips agrees with the bookies. Here’s what our analysis suggests for this FA Cup match:
To give you a clearer picture of how we think the game will unfold, here are some key statistical projections from our AI:
These numbers paint a picture of relentless pressure from the visitors. While Qingdao might get a few chances, Chengdu's superior quality is expected to shine through. Despite the internal issues at Chengdu, their on-field performance should be strong enough to see them through to the next round. The Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City prediction points firmly in one direction, but the magic of the cup always leaves room for a surprise.
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2 -286
Chengdu B is expected to win with odds of -2862 -286
Chengdu B is expected to win with odds of -286Over 2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -105
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -154
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
1:2
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1
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0
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4
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|
 Qingdao J |
12-Apr-25
0:1
| Chengdu B  |
| Qingdao J |
26-Jun-24
1:5
| Chengdu B |
| Chengdu B |
02-Mar-24
2:0
| Qingdao J |
| Qingdao J |
04-Aug-23
3:2
| Chengdu B |
| Chengdu B |
06-May-23
3:2
| Qingdao J |
