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Match Prediction

Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Finished
China flag China
FA Cup

Qingdao Y

€7.96m

22 Jul07:00
2 : 2

Beijing Guoan

€14.50m

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Qingdao Y vs Beijing Guoan Prediction FA Cup

Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan Prediction: Odds, Analysis & Tips

Welcome to our Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan prediction for the FA Cup quarterfinal, scheduled for July 22, 2025, at 12:00 GMT. With Beijing Guoan’s impressive unbeaten streak and Qingdao Youth Island’s home resilience, this fixture promises plenty of intrigue for fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the tactics, form, and betting odds to help you make the most informed bet—served with a sprinkle of NerdyTips wit!

Match Context: Quarterfinal Stakes and Recent Form

This FA Cup quarterfinal isn’t just another date on the calendar—both teams have plenty to prove. Beijing Guoan arrives with a record that would make any stat-nerd blush: unbeaten in 24 matches across all competitions, including 16 straight in the league. Their last five games? Four wins, one draw, 13 goals scored, and just three conceded. If consistency had a face, it would be wearing a Guoan jersey.

On the other side, Qingdao Youth Island has shown flashes of promise, especially at home. They’re unbeaten in their last four home games, conceding only once in that stretch. However, goals have been hard to come by—they’ve failed to score in three of their last five matches. Still, their recent 1-1 draw away at Chengdu Better City (when few gave them a chance) shows they’re capable of defying expectations.

Head to Head: History Favors the Visitors

  • Beijing Guoan has never lost to Qingdao Youth Island in four previous meetings: three wins and a draw.
  • The most recent encounter (June 17, 2025) ended 1-0 to Guoan in the Chinese Super League.
  • Across those four matches, Guoan has outscored Youth Island 11-4.
  • Three out of four meetings saw over 2.5 total goals and both teams scoring.

It’s safe to say that when it comes to head to head history, the odds tilt heavily in favor of the visitors.

Tactics and Key Players: Styles Make Matches

Qingdao Youth Island typically lines up in a flexible 4-4-2, looking to stay compact and hit on the counter. Their pace and directness can trouble teams, especially with finishers like Davidson da Luz Pereira and Abdul-Aziz Yakubu, while Matheus Índio adds creativity from midfield. Defensively, they’re organized, with Riccieli and Zhao Honglue providing stability in front of goalkeeper Li Hao.

Beijing Guoan prefers a possession-based 4-2-3-1 under coach Quique Setién. They dominate the ball (expected 65% possession here), using full-backs for width and a creative midfield trio led by Zhang Xizhe and Dawhan. Up front, Fabio Abreu is a constant threat—his 12 goals in 16 league games speak for themselves. With a nearly full-strength squad, Guoan’s depth and tactical discipline are hard to match.

Squad Value and Staff News

  • Qingdao Youth Island squad value: €7.96m
  • Beijing Guoan squad value: €14.50m
  • Qingdao Youth Island coach: Shao Jiayi
  • Beijing Guoan coach: Quique Setién

Both teams are largely injury-free, with only Guoan’s Jiaqi Han sidelined long-term.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions

Here’s where the numbers get interesting for our Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan prediction:

  • Home win: 5.25
  • Draw: 4.2
  • Away win: 1.57

Our AI, with a trust score of 4.8/10, suggests the most valuable bet is on Beijing Guoan to win (odds 1.57). While not a “bet the house” level of confidence, the data points to Guoan’s quality and momentum as decisive factors. For those who like to play it safe, the under 3.5 total goals market (odds 1.42, confidence 4.3) also looks attractive, given Youth Island’s recent scoring struggles and Guoan’s control-oriented style.

Expected Match Stats

  1. Possession: Youth Island 35%, Guoan 65%
  2. Total shots: Youth Island 8, Guoan 14
  3. Shots on target: Youth Island 2, Guoan 5
  4. Corners: Youth Island 4, Guoan 6
  5. Yellow cards: 2 each

The anticipated final score? 0:2 in favor of Beijing Guoan, with a likely 0:1 at halftime.

Final Thoughts: Value Bets and Prediction

To sum up our Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan prediction:

  • Best 1x2 bet: Beijing Guoan to win (odds 1.57, trust score 4.8/10)
  • Alternative: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.42, confidence 4.3)
  • Expected scoreline: 0:2 to Beijing Guoan

While Qingdao Youth Island’s home form and fighting spirit shouldn’t be underestimated, the gulf in squad value, tactical discipline, and recent form makes Guoan the smart pick. If you’re feeling adventurous, a correct score punt on 0:2 could add some extra spice to your bet slip.

So, whether you’re a stats enthusiast, a casual punter, or just here for the story, our Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan prediction points to an away win—unless, of course, football decides to write its own script. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your analysis!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Qingdao Y vs Beijing Guoan

2 -175

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -175
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -175

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -175
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -238

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 100

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -286

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

35%
Ball Possession
65%
8
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.5
Total Goals
3
0.7
Goals Scored
2.2
0.8
Goals Against
0.8
47%
Possession
69%
9.9
Total Shots
14.1
2.8
Shots on Goal
5.3
4.5
Shots off Goal
5.3
13.1
Fouls
9.8
5.8
Corners
5.6
2.4
Offsides
1.3
2.33
Yellow Cards
1.13
0
Red Cards
0
333
Total Passes
596

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
5
Over 1.5 Goals
9
1
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
2
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Qingdao Youth Island
0 - 2 - 3
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Y 22-Jul-25
2:2
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan Beijing 17-Jun-25
1:0
Qingdao Y Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Y 11-Aug-24
2:2
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan Beijing 21-Apr-24
4:1
Qingdao Y Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Y 26-Jul-23
1:4
Beijing Beijing Guoan
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