Match Prediction
Match Prediction
USA
San J
€34.33m
Austin
€44.65m
Preview
The San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin prediction for the US Open Cup on July 9th promises more than just a late-night kick-off at PayPal Park—it’s a tactical duel where possession meets pragmatism, and where underdog dreams might just keep fans wide awake. With San Jose tipped as slight favorites (1.85 for a home win) but Austin boasting the higher squad value (€44.65m vs. €34.33m), this is a classic case of stats versus intangibles. If you’re searching for the best US Open Cup betting tips, this fixture is a goldmine of narratives and numbers.
These teams know how to keep things tight. Their last meeting in May 2024 ended 1-1, a result that echoed the resilience both sides have shown all season. San Jose, fresh off a gutsy 2-2 draw with Seattle Sounders (defying 7.0 odds), have proven they can punch above their weight, especially at home. Austin, meanwhile, recently pulled off a gritty 0-1 win away to Portland Timbers (at 5.25 odds), showing they’re no strangers to upsetting the script.
Expect a chess match at PayPal Park—minus the pawns, plus a lot more running. San Jose’s style is all about control: they average 59% possession with 17 shots per game (5 on target). If their attack clicks like their xG suggests, Austin’s defense might need more caffeine than a 3:30 AM kickoff demands. But Austin are masters of the counter, working with just 41% possession and 9 shots (2 on target), waiting for the moment to pounce.
NerdyTips’ AI gives a 1X tip (1.25 odds, 5.7/10 confidence), suggesting San Jose’s resilience at home is hard to break. The under 3.5 goals market (1.44 odds, 3.3 confidence) looks tempting, especially with both teams’ recent defensive solidity. If you’re hunting for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin prediction value, consider the corners market—San Jose’s set-piece threat could be decisive.
In summary, this US Open Cup tie isn’t just about who has the bigger transfer budget or flashier stats. It’s about grit, game management, and who can capitalize on those small moments—whether it’s a set-piece scramble or a counter-attack under the PayPal Park lights. San Jose’s home edge and set-piece threat (7 corners projected) make them slight favorites, but Austin’s head to head grit and squad value ensure this is no walkover. If you’re looking for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin prediction and betting tips, back a tight contest with late fireworks—and maybe keep the coffee pot on for that 3:30 AM drama.
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1X -400
San J to win or draw with odds of -4001 -118
San J is expected to win with odds of -118Under 3.5 -227
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -164
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -196
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
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2
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7
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2
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 Austin |
31-Aug-25
3:1
| San J  |
| San J |
09-Jul-25
1:1
| Austin |
| San J |
26-May-24
1:1
| Austin |
| Austin |
07-Apr-24
4:3
| San J |
| San J |
22-Oct-23
1:1
| Austin |
| Austin |
30-Apr-23
2:2
| San J |
| Austin |
07-Aug-22
3:3
| San J |
| San J |
04-Apr-22
2:2
| Austin |
| San J |
21-Oct-21
4:0
| Austin |
| Austin |
19-Sep-21
3:4
| San J |
