Scotland vs Greece Prediction

Scotland and Greece face off in a crucial UEFA Nations League match on March 23, 2025, at Hampden Park, with kickoff set for 17:00 GMT. Both teams will be aiming for a strong start in their campaign, but based on recent form and statistical trends, this encounter is expected to be a low-scoring affair.

Betting Odds & Key Predictions
- Scotland Win: 2.42
- Draw: 3.48
- Greece Win: 3.18
- Under 2.5 Goals: 1.6 (Confidence: 4.7/10)
- Predicted Score: Scotland 0-1 Greece

According to AI-generated predictions, Greece holds a slight edge in this matchup, with an away win (odds of 3.18) being the most favored 1x2 outcome. However, the confidence level for this result remains low at 2.0/10, suggesting a tight contest.

Goals Market: Expect a Low-Scoring Match
The under 2.5 goals market appears to be the most reliable bet, with a confidence rating of 4.8/10 and odds of 1.6. This aligns with past trends in the UEFA Nations League, where only 47.9% of matches have seen more than 2.5 goals. Additionally, Scotland and Greece both have a history of disciplined defensive play, further reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

Match Analysis & Expected Stats
Scotland is expected to control 56% of possession, while Greece will hold 44%. However, Greece is predicted to have a slight edge in attacking output, with 12 total shots compared to 10 for Scotland. Both teams are expected to register 3 shots on target.

Set-piece opportunities will likely be balanced, with both sides predicted to earn 4 corners each. Discipline-wise, Greece is expected to receive 2 yellow cards, while Scotland may only see 1.

Recent Performance & Upset Potential
Scotland’s ability to cause upsets was evident in their 2-0 victory over Spain in March 2023, where they defied 5.9 odds. Similarly, Greece shocked England with a 2-1 away win in October 2024 at massive 12.0 odds. Given these results, Greece’s ability to secure another surprise victory cannot be dismissed.

Final Verdict & Best Bets
Given the data, the safest betting option remains under 2.5 goals (1.6 odds). While Greece is slightly favored to edge out a narrow win, the confidence level in their victory is low, making a draw (3.48 odds) a viable alternative. Bettors looking for value may also consider 0-0 at halftime, as the first half is projected to end goalless.

With both teams prioritizing defensive stability, expect a tense and tactical battle at Hampden Park.