Serra Branca and Sousa lock horns in the Paraibano league on March 9, 2025, at 19:00 UTC at Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro. With both teams eager to secure vital points, this promises to be an intense battle. Let’s break down the numbers and betting insights for this matchup.

Match Odds & Predictions
The bookmakers have priced Serra Branca as slight favorites at 2.35, while Sousa sits at 2.75, with a draw at 3.16. Our AI prediction leans towards the home side, giving Serra Branca the edge with a 1.7 trust level. However, it’s worth noting that the confidence level isn’t particularly high, suggesting a close contest.

Goal Market Analysis
Our AI strongly recommends under 2.5 goals as the best bet, with odds of 1.67 and a trust level of 3.3/10. This aligns with historical trends in the Paraibano league, where only 35.5% of matches exceed this goal threshold. Additionally, 41.1% of games see both teams scoring, meaning a low-scoring affair is highly probable.

The predicted final score is 1-0, with a 0-0 halftime result. Given the defensive nature of both teams and Sousa’s recent 1-1 draw against RB Bragantino, expect a cautious start with few clear-cut chances.

Key Betting Insights
- Serra Branca to win (odds: 2.35) – AI-backed, but with low confidence.
- Under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.67) – The best tip, based on league trends.
- Draw at halftime – A likely scenario, considering the predicted 0-0 first half.

Final Thoughts
With home teams winning 47.6% of Paraibano matches, Serra Branca has a statistical advantage. However, Sousa has shown resilience, especially after their surprise result against RB Bragantino. A tight, low-scoring battle is expected, making under 2.5 goals the safest bet. If you’re looking for a riskier play, backing Serra Branca for a narrow 1-0 win could offer solid value.