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Match Prediction

SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Villingen Prediction

Finished
Germany flag Germany
Regionalliga - SudWest

SGV Freiberg

€2.20m

3 May08:00
3 : 1

Villingen

€675.00Th.

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SGV Freiberg vs Villingen Prediction Regionalliga - SudWest

SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Villingen Prediction: Can the Underdogs Upset the Odds at Wasen-Stadion?

Welcome, fellow football enthusiasts and betting aficionados, to your essential SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Villingen prediction for the Regionalliga SudWest fixture on May 3, 2025, at the Wasen-Stadion. Whether you’re a stats-obsessed bettor or just love a good underdog story, this preview will arm you with everything you need to know—odds, trends, AI-powered tips, and a sprinkle of NerdyTips’ signature wit.

Setting the Scene: Odds, Form, and Financial Firepower

Let’s start with the bookmakers’ take: SGV Freiberg are clear favorites at 1.34 to win, while a draw sits at 5.2, and FC 08 Villingen are long underdogs at 5.87. The market’s confidence in Freiberg isn’t just hot air. With a club valuation of €2.20m—over three times Villingen’s €675,000—there’s a tangible gulf in resources. Money doesn’t always buy happiness, but in football, it often buys depth, quality, and a bit more swagger.

Recent history only amplifies this divide. Their last head to head, back on February 11, 2024, saw SGV Freiberg dismantle Villingen 5-0. Back then, Freiberg were priced at 1.53 and Villingen at 4.58—so the odds have only widened, reflecting the market’s growing belief in another home romp.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions: Where’s the Value?

Let’s break down the best betting angles, powered by NerdyTips’ AI:

  • 1x2 Prediction: Home win (SGV Freiberg), trust level 5.2/10, odds 1.34
  • HS2+ (Home to score 2+ goals): Trust level 5.1/10, odds 1.29
  • Over 2.5 Total Goals: Confidence 5.0/10, odds 1.32

The AI’s favorite tip? HS2+—SGV Freiberg to bag at least two goals. With a predicted final score of 3:0 (2:0 at halftime), the model sees this as a solid, if not spectacular, value play. The trust level isn’t through the roof, but when you consider Freiberg’s firepower and recent demolition job in the reverse fixture, it’s easy to see why the algorithm is leaning this way.

League Trends: What the Numbers Say

Regionalliga SudWest is no stranger to home dominance—home teams win 41.2% of matches, compared to 30.8% for away sides, with draws at 28.1%. Over 2.5 goals land in 52.7% of games, and both teams score in just under half (49.1%). Over 1.5 goals is a near banker at 72.1%, while over 3.5 goals is a punchy 32.8%.

What do these trends tell us? In a league where home wins and goals are common, backing Freiberg to win and score at least twice fits the statistical mold. The AI’s over 2.5 goals tip (confidence 5.0/10) also aligns neatly with the league’s attacking tendencies and the predicted 3:0 scoreline.

Head to Head: Recent Results and Market Shifts

The last SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Villingen meeting was a five-star display from the hosts, who thrashed Villingen 5-0. The current odds have shifted even further in Freiberg’s favor, reflecting both that emphatic result and the teams’ divergent trajectories since.

But let’s not pretend football is always predictable. SGV Freiberg themselves pulled off a 2-0 away win over Kickers Offenbach at 5.5 odds last December—a reminder that even favorites can spring surprises in their own right. And who could forget Villingen’s 6-1 away demolition of Goppinger SV at a whopping 7.3 odds just last month? The underdogs have bite, even if it’s rare.

Prediction: Will the Script Hold?

Given the gulf in squad value, recent head to head dominance, and the league’s home-friendly, goal-rich environment, it’s hard to look past another convincing SGV Freiberg win. The AI’s predicted 3:0 scoreline (2:0 at halftime) feels spot on, with the best value in backing the hosts to score at least twice. Over 2.5 goals is a logical addition, especially for those seeking a slightly juicier return.

  1. SGV Freiberg to win (1.34) – The safest play, backed by form, stats, and market movement.
  2. Home to score 2+ goals (1.29) – Consistent with both the AI’s tip and Freiberg’s attacking trends.
  3. Over 2.5 goals (1.32) – Supported by both teams’ recent games and league averages.

For those tempted by a shock, Villingen’s past heroics show it’s not impossible—but the data, odds, and history all point to a home banker. That’s your SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Villingen prediction: expect goals, expect a home win, and expect the favorites to justify their billing. As always, may your bets be smart and your weekends full of footballing drama!

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AI Predictions
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Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for SGV Freiberg vs Villingen

HS2+ -345

SGV Freiberg is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -345
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -294

SGV Freiberg is expected to win with odds of -294
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -313

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 128

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
4.7
1.4
Goals Scored
1.7
0.9
Goals Against
3

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
1
5
Over 1.5 Goals
10
4
Over 2.5 Goals
9
2
Over 3.5 Goals
7
4
Both Teams Scored
9
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

SGV Freiberg
7 - 0 - 0
FC 08 Villingen
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 03-May-25
3:1
Villingen FC 08 Villingen
FC 08 Villingen Villingen 02-Nov-24
2:4
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 11-Feb-24
5:0
Villingen FC 08 Villingen
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 11-Feb-23
3:2
Villingen FC 08 Villingen
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 04-May-22
2:1
Villingen FC 08 Villingen
FC 08 Villingen Villingen 15-Sep-21
0:3
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg

Profile time Recent Matches of SGV Freiberg

06 DecW Schott Mainz Schott Mainz.
0:1
Freiberg. Freiberg

Profile time Recent Matches of Villingen

Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II34
86-33
75
2 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenb34
75-42
64
3 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg34
55-37
63
4 TSV Steinbach TSV Steinbach34
46-46
56
5 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt34
60-50
55
6 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Ki34
56-46
52
7 Freiburg II Freiburg II34
56-50
52
8 FC 08 Homburg FC 08 Homburg34
56-45
47
9 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel34
54-56
47
10 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fu34
41-45
46
11 FC Astoria Walldorf FC Astoria Wal34
57-58
43
12 FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 I34
48-53
41
13 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trie34
46-61
41
14 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC34
37-67
40
15 FC Gießen FC Gießen34
37-56
38
16 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Fran34
45-49
35
17 Göppinger SV Göppinger SV34
45-64
35
18 FC 08 Villingen FC 08 Villinge34
44-86
21
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