Match Prediction
Match Prediction
China
Shanghai
€13.77m
Henan Jianye
€7.35m
Preview
The Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two familiar foes prepare to meet in the FA Cup quarter-final on July 23, 2025, at Shanghai Stadium. With sports betting fans closely watching the betting odds and the latest head to head stats, this match promises both tactical intrigue and the kind of drama that only cup football can deliver. Let’s dive into the storylines, data, and AI-powered tips that make this fixture one of the most exciting on the calendar.
Shanghai Shenhua, often simply called Shenhua, have turned their home ground into a fortress this season. Riding high on a streak of six straight home wins—and three consecutive clean sheets at home—the boys in blue are showing the kind of consistency that makes sports betting punters sit up and take notice. They’ve scored 13 goals in their last five matches and are averaging 2.2 goals per league game, while conceding just 0.8. With 17 wins from 24 league matches, they’re perched second in the Chinese Super League and look every bit the cup contender.
The tactical approach under Leonid Slutsky has been all about control and creativity. Shenhua’s midfield, led by Gao Tianyi and Nicholas Yennaris, keeps the ball moving and creates space for attacking threats like André Luis, Saulo Mineiro, and Joao Carlos Teixeira. If you’re looking for a head to head edge, Shenhua’s recent 2-1 win over Henan Jianye last October might give you a hint of what to expect. The only cloud on the horizon is the absence of midfielder Ibrahim Amadou due to a ligament injury, but the depth in the squad should help cover this gap.
On the other side, Henan Jianye have been finding the net with regularity—scoring in each of their last nine matches and racking up 10 goals in their last five. But while their attack, led by Bruno Nazário and Felippe Cardoso, has been effective, the defense has been a bit more generous, conceding at least two goals in each of their last four games. With eight points from their last five matches and a knack for scoring in every home game this season, Henan Jianye are never out of a contest.
Key players to watch include Nazário, whose five assists have been vital, and defender Iago Maidana, who has chipped in with four goals. The squad is healthy heading into this tie, with no major injuries reported as of July 19. Last season’s meetings have been tight, but Shenhua have had the upper hand in recent head to head encounters.
Recent history leans toward the home side: Shenhua have won the last three meetings, with the 2-1 scoreline cropping up more often than not. Across 32 previous meetings, Shenhua hold 13 wins to Henan Jianye’s nine, with 10 draws. In terms of market value, Shenhua’s €13.77m squad dwarfs Henan Jianye’s €6.55m, a fact that’s reflected in the betting odds for this fixture.
Now, let’s talk data. According to NerdyTips’ AI, the best bet for this Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye prediction is on over 2.5 goals. With odds of 1.453 and a confidence rating of 6.5/10, the numbers suggest we’ll see at least three goals—no surprise given both teams’ recent form in front of goal and their defensive vulnerabilities.
The AI’s 1x2 prediction leans toward a surprising away win (Henan Jianye), with odds of 6.5 and a lower trust score of 1.4. While the home side are clear favorites at 1.4532, and a draw sits at 4.2, the model’s predicted final score is 1:2 in favor of Henan Jianye. For those who like to bet on the under/over market, the over 2.5 goals tip comes with a solid trust score of 6.8 and the same 1.453 odds.
If you’re hunting for value in sports betting, the away win at 6.5 is tempting, but the safer play is likely the over 2.5 goals, given both sides’ attacking momentum and recent head to head results. The predicted first half score is 1:1, so don’t be surprised if this one comes alive right from kick-off.
With strong home form, tactical discipline, and a history of edging out Henan Jianye, Shanghai Shenhua are favorites in most eyes. But Henan Jianye’s attacking verve and the unpredictability of cup football mean an upset is not out of the question. Whether you’re a stats nerd, a seasoned sports betting enthusiast, or just here for the drama, this Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye prediction offers something for everyone. Our tip? Expect goals, excitement, and maybe a surprise or two—after all, that’s what keeps us coming back to football.
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O2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2002 550
Henan Jianye is expected to win with odds of 550Over 2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -154
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 182
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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9
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8
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4
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 Shanghai |
23-Jul-25
3:3
| Henan Jianye  |
| Henan Jianye |
29-Mar-25
1:3
| Shanghai |
| Shanghai |
18-Oct-24
2:1
| Henan Jianye |
| Henan Jianye |
21-May-24
1:2
| Shanghai |
| Henan Jianye |
16-Sep-23
3:0
| Shanghai |
| Shanghai |
28-May-23
1:1
| Henan Jianye |
| Henan Jianye |
27-Dec-22
1:1
| Shanghai |
| Henan Jianye |
19-Dec-22
0:3
| Shanghai |
| Shanghai |
04-Oct-22
1:0
| Henan Jianye |
| Shanghai |
03-Jan-22
3:0
| Henan Jianye |
