Preview
The Simba vs ES Tunis prediction for CAF Champions League Matchday 4 lands in that classic “everything matters” zone: Simba are chasing survival, while ES Tunis are protecting position in Group D. The game is on 2.26-02-01 with kickoff at 13:00 GMT, hosted at the Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium in Dar es Salaam—where the humidity can feel like an extra defender. For anyone hunting smart betting tips, this is also a fixture where patience could beat drama.
This is the second meeting in just over a week, after ES Tunis took the first official head to head 1-0 on January 24. Simba’s group-stage start has been rough (three straight losses), leaving them bottom and needing a win to keep the quarterfinal door open—yes, it’s still “open,” but someone is holding it with one finger.
Simba have used the January window like a team trying to re-write the script. Steve Barker has folded in multiple additions, including Ivorian defender Olivier Touré, Niger international goalkeeper Mahamadou Tanja, and left-back Nickson Kibabage. Barker has suggested the intake is sizeable, aimed at giving Simba fresh energy and options in key zones.
ES Tunis arrive with points on the board and a squad that’s been stretched by AFCON returns and injuries. Maher Kanzari has spoken about how the heavy schedule wears you down mentally as well as physically—this is their fifth match in 16 days, and it shows in their likely game plan.
Simba are expected to be more aggressive than they were in Tunis, leaning into a higher press and faster attacks to feed off the home crowd. ES Tunis, meanwhile, look set to keep their shape, accept long spells without the ball, and counter into the space Simba leave behind. The Dar es Salaam conditions have troubled North African teams before, so ES Tunis will likely manage the tempo rather than chase it.
The bookmakers price this as a narrow away lean: Home win 3.25, Draw 3.15, Away win 2.2. That lines up with the squad-value gap too—Simba at €4.28m versus ES Tunis at €20.98m—but context matters: ES Tunis are depleted, Simba are desperate, and this group-stage phase often produces tight margins.
These tips connect logically. Simba must push, but their earlier games suggest they’ve lacked finishing edge, while ES Tunis are built to defend leads and strike on counters—especially with Diarra in form. Add travel, fatigue, and humidity, and you get a match that can feel slow… right until one moment decides it.
So the second Simba vs ES Tunis prediction stays consistent: expect a controlled ES Tunis performance and a lower-scoring game. If you want a simple bet that matches both tactics and numbers, the under 2.5 goals looks like the cleanest of the betting tips—because in this one, goals may be as scarce as shade in a Dar afternoon.
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ES Tunis |
24-Jan-26
1:0
| Simba ![]() |
| 29 Jan | W |
Simba.
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2:0
| Mashujaa.
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| 24 Jan | L |
ES Tunis.
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1:0
| Simba.
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| 18 Jan | D |
Simba.
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1:1
| Mtibwa Sug.
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| 07 Dec | L |
Simba.
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0:2
| Azam.
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| 04 Dec | W |
Simba.
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3:0
| Mbeya City.
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| 30 Nov | L |
Stade M.
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2:1
| Simba.
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| 23 Nov | L |
Simba.
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0:1
| Petro L.
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| 08 Nov | W |
JKT Tanzan.
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1:2
| Simba (Tan.
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| 26 Oct | D |
Simba.
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0:0
| Nsingizin.
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| 19 Oct | W |
Nsingizin.
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0:3
| Simba.
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| 27 Jan | W | ES Tunis. |
1:0 |
JS Kairoua.![]() |
| 24 Jan | W | ES Tunis. |
1:0 |
Simba.![]() |
| 19 Jan | L | Monastir. |
2:1 |
ES Tunis.![]() |
| 15 Jan | W | ES Tunis. |
2:1 |
AS Gabes.![]() |
| 10 Jan | W | ES Tunis. |
4:0 |
Ben Guerda.![]() |
| 29 Nov | D | Petro L. |
1:1 |
ES Tunis.![]() |
| 22 Nov | D | ES Tunis. |
0:0 |
Stade M.![]() |
| 09 Nov | D | Club Afric. |
0:0 |
ES Tunis.![]() |
| 06 Nov | W | ES Tunis. |
4:0 |
Jeunesse S.![]() |
| 02 Nov | W | CS Sfaxien. |
1:2 |
ES Tunis.![]() |
World - CAF Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Stade Malien | 3 | 4-1 | 7 |
| 2 |
ES Tunis | 3 | 2-1 | 5 |
| 3 |
Petro de | 3 | 2-3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Simba | 3 | 1-4 | 0 |