Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Preview
As the sun sets over Estádio Rafael Seabra on April 2nd at 19:30 GMT, all eyes will be on a match that might not grab international headlines, but certainly holds weight in the Maranhense state championship. Tuntum and Maranhao meet again after their goalless draw earlier this season, and while goals were in short supply then, fans will be hoping for a little more entertainment this time around. Just a little.
Let’s be honest — neither side has been setting the scoreboard alight lately. Tuntum, despite their spirited 0-0 draw away to Imperatriz back in February (as 5.6 underdogs, no less), have struggled to find the back of the net consistently. Meanwhile, Maranhao, the favourites for this one at 1.8 odds, are known more for their discipline and structure than for flamboyant attacking football. That’s not a criticism — it’s just a different kind of beauty.
The historical data from the Maranhense paints a fairly clear picture. Home teams win 44% of the time, while away sides only manage 27.5% — but don’t let that fool you into backing Tuntum just yet. Maranhao’s odds suggest they’re the more likely winners, and with the reverse fixture ending 0-0, it’s clear these two know how to cancel each other out.
Both teams have scored in just 46.2% of matches across the competition, and only 20.9% of games see more than 3.5 goals. Combine that with the fact that the last meeting saw no goals and you can start to see why this one is shaping up to be more of a chess match than a goal-fest.
Our trusted AI prediction for Tuntum vs Maranhao is that the match will see under 3.5 total goals, with a confidence rating of 5.0 out of 10 and odds sitting at 1.25 — a sensible choice given both teams' recent form and the low-scoring nature of their encounters.
While the 1X2 market slightly favours Maranhao — and rightfully so — with a prediction of an away win at 1.8 odds and a 3.8 confidence rating, the real value lies in the goal market. The AI’s forecast of a 0:1 final score, with a 0:0 halftime prediction, fits neatly with the under 3.5 tip. It’s not the boldest bet, but it’s the kind of calculated, risk-aware move punters love when margins are tight and fireworks are unlikely.
In matches like this, where both sides are cautious and goals are rare, betting on a low-scoring outcome can be the smartest play in the book. And let’s be honest — if you’re backing Tuntum to suddenly explode into goal-scoring form, you might be betting with your heart, not your head.
So, what should we expect on April 2nd? Likely another cagey affair between two sides who know each other well and are more comfortable soaking up pressure than pouring it on. Maranhao have the edge on paper, and the odds reflect that, but don’t expect a goal-fest — this one feels like it’ll be decided by a single moment of quality or a set-piece gone wrong.
For the stat lovers, trend followers, and cautious bettors out there, under 3.5 goals remains the best tip. It’s not flashy, but it’s backed by logic, history, and a lack of recent fireworks. And sometimes, that’s exactly what makes it the smartest bet on the table.
So settle in, grab your favourite matchday snack, and enjoy the chessboard — just don’t expect a goal every ten minutes. This one’s for the tacticians.
Read More
U3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4002 -125
Maranhao is expected to win with odds of -125Under 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -128
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -294
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
|
|
3
-
0
-
3
|
|
 Tuntum |
02-Apr-25
1:0
| Maranhao  |
| Maranhao |
21-Mar-25
1:0
| Tuntum |
| Maranhao |
12-Apr-24
2:1
| Tuntum |
| Tuntum |
07-Apr-24
1:0
| Maranhao |
| Tuntum |
24-Feb-24
2:0
| Maranhao |
Recent Matches of Tuntum| 28 Jan |
Tuntum.
|
-
| Sampaio C.
| |
| 21 Jan | D |
Tuntum.
|
0:0
| Imperatriz.
|
Recent Matches of Maranhao
| 28 Jan |  IAPE. |
- |
Maranhao. | |
| 24 Jan | W |  Imperatriz. |
0:1 |
Maranhao. |
Brazil - Maranhense| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
IAPE | 14 | 18-13 | 24 |
| 2 |
Sampaio Correa | 14 | 18-11 | 23 |
| 3 |
Imperatriz | 14 | 17-10 | 23 |
| 4 |
Maranhão | 14 | 16-10 | 23 |
| 5 |
Moto Club | 14 | 15-9 | 23 |
| 6 |
Tuntum | 14 | 16-14 | 17 |
| 7 |
Pinheiro | 14 | 13-15 | 16 |
| 8 |
Viana | 14 | 5-36 | 3 |
