Ujpest vs Debrecen Prediction

Ujpest vs Debrecen prediction for Feb 13: tips, odds

The Ujpest vs Debrecen prediction story writes itself this Friday, 2026-02.15 (kickoff 19:00 GMT), because it is Round 22 of Hungary’s NB I (Fizz Liga) with two very different moods in Budapest. Újpest host at Szusza Ferenc Stadion trying to climb away from the bottom half, while Debreceni VSC (DVSC) arrive with European places in mind and a bit of swagger in their suitcase. If you like sports betting with narrative, this one has plenty.

Context, table pressure, and why this feels personal

Újpest sit 9th on 23 points and the winter “reset” has not paid quickly: since the new staff came in late December, they still have no win (1 draw, 2 losses). The 0–3 loss to Ferencváros on February 7 did not just hurt on the scoreboard; it reopened the debate about concentration and confidence at the back.

Debrecen are 4th with 35 points and just beat Paks 1–0 on the same day, tightening the race near the top. Their away record also matters for bettors: they have been hard to beat on the road, unbeaten in 10 of the last 11 league away matches. That is the kind of line that makes you look twice at the betting odds.

Coaches, tactics, and the players who shape the plot

Újpest’s big storyline is the Dárdai–Szélesi era. Sporting director Pál Dárdai has publicly called out the lack of a “winning mentality,” and coach Zoltán Szélesi has basically admitted that changing names is faster than changing habits. Tactically, Újpest have often lined up in a 4-2-3-1, but after conceding 4 goals in the last two games, a more cautious approach would not surprise anyone.

• Újpest key men: Aljoša Matko (11 goals) is the clearest route to points; Arne Maier adds calm and structure in midfield.
• DVSC approach: Sergio Navarro sticks to a possession-first 4-3-3, with Balázs Dzsudzsák’s passing still setting the tempo.
• Debrecen threats: Donát Bárány up top, with Tamás Szűcs supplying ideas; new keeper Patrik Demjén has helped the defensive mood.

Team news is not screaming drama, but it matters. Fran Brodić is still not fully fit for Újpest, while Arijan Ademi is expected to be available as a bench option. Debrecen report no major new injuries and can rotate younger players if needed.

Head to head notes and the “revenge” angle

The head to head adds spice. On 2025-04-13, Újpest edged it 2–1. But earlier this season (2025-10-26), Debrecen embarrassed Újpest 5–2, and that scoreline does not fade easily in a home stadium. Add in Újpest’s recent “we can surprise you” moment (a 1–1 away draw at Puskás Akadémia on 2024-11-02 at huge 5.0 win odds), and Debrecen’s own shock-point (2–2 at Győr on 2026-01-31 with 6.75 win odds), and you get a match where emotions may run ahead of quality early on.

Ujpest vs Debrecen prediction: odds, tips, and AI picks

The market currently prices a home win at 2.15, the draw at 3.6, and an away win at 3.25. Our Ujpest vs Debrecen prediction leans into a tighter game than the headlines might suggest.

Best bet: Under 3.5 goals

Our AI makes Under 3.5 goals the best tip: odds 1.42, trust rating 5.3/10 (also listed at confidence 5.4). With Újpest likely trying to stop the bleeding and Debrecen often controlling games without turning them into chaos, a maximum of three goals fits the tactical logic.

• Projected final score: 0:2
• Half-time call: 0:1
• Game shape: possession 54% Újpest, 46% Debrecen
• Shots: 12–12, on target 3–3 (translation: few clean chances)
• Corners: 4–4 (8 total)
• Cards: Újpest 1 yellow, Debrecen 3 yellows

1X2 pick: Away win (2) is a higher-risk swing

The AI’s 1X2 prediction is “2” at 3.255 odds, but the trust is only 1.9/10. That matches the feel: Debrecen are in better form and chasing Europe, yet Újpest’s squad value (€17.60m vs €9.20m) suggests they are not short on tools—just consistency. For sports betting, the safer reading is goals rather than a hard result.

Summary for bettors: respect Debrecen’s road resilience, respect Újpest’s home pride, and let the numbers do the heavy lifting—Under 3.5 goals looks like the most sensible way to play these betting odds while still enjoying the story.