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Match Prediction

Vitoria vs Bahia Prediction

Finished

Vitoria

€31.02m

23 Mar15:00
1 : 1

Bahia

€90.60m

Preview

Vitoria vs Bahia Prediction Baiano - 1
The Vitoria vs Bahia prediction for this highly anticipated Baiano - 1 matchup on March 23, 2.75, at Estádio Manoel Barradas suggests a tight contest. With Vitoria priced at 2.7, a draw at 2.75, and Bahia at 2.7, the odds indicate a balanced affair. However, our AI leans towards a low-scoring match, favoring Under 3.5 goals with a confidence rating of 3.0/10 and odds of 1.23. Recent Form & Head-to-Head Both teams have had their moments in recent meetings. Their last encounter on April 21, 2.74, ended in a 2.7 draw, showcasing both sides' ability to find the net. However, Vitoria managed to pull off a surprise away result on February 1, 2.75, holding Bahia to a 0-0 draw despite being underdogs at 5.0 odds. Bahia, on the other hand, has shown resilience on the road, securing a 1-1 draw against The Strongest on February 19, 2.75, despite being priced at 6.5 odds for the win. This suggests they can grind out results away from home, making them a tricky opponent for Vitoria. 1X2 Market Breakdown - Vitoria Win (2.7 odds): The home side has a 41.4% win rate in Baiano - 1 matches, but their squad value of €31.02m is significantly lower than Bahia’s €90.60m. While home advantage plays a role, Bahia's superior squad depth makes this a risky bet. - Draw (2.75 odds): With 32.7% of past matches ending level, a draw is a reasonable outcome, especially considering their last two head-to-head meetings both ended in stalemates. - Bahia Win (2.7 odds): Despite winning only 26.1% of away games, Bahia's recent away performances suggest they can avoid defeat. Our AI recommends X2 (Bahia or Draw) at 1.71 odds, albeit with a modest 2.7/10 confidence rating. Best Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals (1.23 odds) Statistically, only 22.7% of Baiano - 1 matches exceed 3.5 goals, making Under 3.5 goals a solid pick. Both teams have shown defensive resilience in recent encounters, and with Bahia’s ability to grind out results, a low-scoring affair is likely. Score Prediction & Final Thoughts Our AI projects a 0:1 win for Bahia, with the first half also expected to end 0:1. While Vitoria has home advantage, Bahia’s superior squad value and recent away form give them the edge. Expect a tight, tactical battle, with goals at a premium. For bettors, the safest play remains Under 3.5 goals, while those seeking value could consider X2 (Bahia or Draw) at 1.71 odds.

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Vitoria vs Bahia

U3.5 -435

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -435
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -238

Bahia to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -435

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -108

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -161

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
2.2
1.6
Goals Scored
1.8
0.7
Goals Against
0.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Vitoria
8 - 11 - 9
Bahia
Vitoria Vitoria 17-Oct-25
2:1
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 18-May-25
2:1
Vitoria Vitoria
Vitoria Vitoria 23-Mar-25
1:1
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 16-Mar-25
2:0
Vitoria Vitoria
Bahia Bahia 01-Feb-25
0:0
Vitoria Vitoria
Bahia Bahia 11-Aug-24
2:0
Vitoria Vitoria
Vitoria Vitoria 21-Apr-24
2:2
Bahia Bahia
Bahia Bahia 07-Apr-24
1:1
Vitoria Vitoria

Profile time Recent Matches of Vitoria

14 Mar Vitoria Vitoria - Atletico-MG Atletico-MG -
11 MarD Bahia Bahia 1 Vitoria Vitoria 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Bahia

15 MarInternacional Internacional - Bahia Bahia -
11 MarDBahia Bahia 1 Vitoria Vitoria 1

Brazil - Baiano - 1 Brazil - Baiano - 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Vitoria Vitoria9
18-4
21
2 Jacuipense Jacuipense9
14-4
19
3 Bahia Bahia9
15-3
18
4 Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético9
9-6
13
5 Porto BA Porto BA9
9-13
11
6 Juazeirense Juazeirense9
8-12
10
7 Jequié Jequié9
7-10
9
8 Barcelona BA Barcelona BA9
7-8
9
9 Jacobina Jacobina8
4-16
3
10 Colo Colo Colo Colo8
6-21
3
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