Alianza Atl. vs Alianza Universidad: AI Tips
Primera División Peruana: The Stage
The Estadio Campeones del ’36 prepares for a compelling Primera División fixture. Alianza Atlético, positioned in the mid-table, welcomes Alianza Universidad, a team battling at the lower end of the standings. This late-season encounter carries significant weight for both clubs. Historical league data reveals a 42.8% home win rate, suggesting a potential advantage for Alianza Atlético, but the 20.4% away victory rate indicates upsets are far from impossible.
Team Analysis: Form and Statistics
Alianza Atlético
Alianza Atlético’s form has been inconsistent. They have claimed only three victories in their last ten outings, scoring a modest 0.9 goals per game on average. Their ball possession in this period sits at a low 44.6%, and they average 12.5 shots per match. While they secured a notable 4-2 away win against Garcilaso, their overall defensive solidity is questionable, conceding 0.9 goals per game on average.
Alianza Universidad
Alianza Universidad also has three wins in its last ten matches, but their games are notably more eventful. They average 1.4 goals scored but concede a worrying 2.3 goals per game. A staggering nine of their last ten matches featured over 2.5 goals. They dominate possession more effectively, averaging 55%, and take 11 shots per game. Their profile suggests a team that plays openly, which is both a strength and a vulnerability.
NerdyTips AI Betting Analysis
Our NT4.0 algorithm has processed these dynamics and offers several insights for the discerning bettor.
1×2 Market
The outright odds present a clear narrative: Alianza Atlético is the heavy favorite at 1.43. However, our system identifies value elsewhere. The prediction for an Alianza Universidad win (2) at 7.0 carries a trust level of 1.5. This aligns with their capability to secure surprising away victories, as demonstrated in their 0-3 win against ADT. The high odds reflect the risk but also the significant potential return.
Double Chance
For a more secure play, the AI’s top tip is the X2 (Draw or Alianza Universidad Win) at 2.64. This bet, with a confidence rating of 2.6/10, is supported by Alianza Atlético’s shaky form and the historical 36.8% draw rate in the league. It provides a safety net against an outright home defeat.
Goals Market
The data strongly points towards goals. We predict Over 2.5 Goals at 1.78 with a trust rating of 1.6. This is corroborated by Alianza Universidad’s recent history, where 90% of their last ten matches exceeded this line. The expected final score of 1-2 and a predicted halftime score of 0-1 further reinforce this outlook.
Supporting Metrics
Our forecast includes 15 total shots for the home side and 9 for the visitors, with both teams managing 3 shots on goal. We anticipate 7 total corners, favoring Alianza Atlético 5 to 2. Discipline is also a factor, with 2 yellow cards predicted for the hosts and 4 for the away team, indicating a potentially fractious contest.