Delfin SC vs Libertad: AI Football Predictions
Liga Pro Ecuador: An Overview
The Liga Pro is known for its competitive balance and passionate football culture. Historical data shows home teams win 39.7% of matches, while away victories occur in 23.9% of games. Draws are relatively common at 36.4%. The league tends to be moderate in goal scoring, with 42.1% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Both teams score in under half of all matches (46.2%), indicating that defensive organization often plays a crucial role.
Team Analysis: Delfin SC and Libertad
Delfin SC, based in Manta, is a club with a respectable history in the top flight. Their overall performance across recent seasons shows a win rate of 31.1% from their last 122 matches. They tend to be involved in higher-scoring affairs, with over 1.5 goals occurring in nearly 70% of their games. However, their recent form has been a concern, securing just one win in their last ten outings. They have averaged only 1.0 goal scored per match while conceding 1.9 in that span, suggesting significant defensive vulnerabilities.
Libertad, having earned promotion to Serie A in 2022, has established itself as a capable top-division side. Their overall numbers are remarkably similar to Delfin’s, with a 30.1% win rate from their last 93 games. Their matches also frequently see over 1.5 goals (71.0%). Crucially, their recent form is far superior, with five wins in their last ten matches. They have been more efficient, averaging 1.3 goals scored and conceding just 1.1 per game, demonstrating a more balanced and effective approach on the pitch.
Recent Head-to-Head and Form Guide
The most recent head-to-head encounter, a 1-1 draw in March 2024, points to a closely contested affair. Recent league results further illuminate current trajectories. Delfin SC’s hard-fought 1-1 draw away against Cuenca, despite being heavy underdogs, shows resilience but also a struggle to convert performances into wins. Conversely, Libertad’s surprising 0-1 away victory over Orense, also as underdogs, highlights a growing capability to secure positive results on the road. This recent evidence strongly favors Libertad’s momentum and organization heading into this fixture.
Betting Tips and AI Analysis
Our predictions are powered by a sophisticated algorithm that analyzes vast datasets, including the statistics provided. The relationship between the historical league data, team performance insights, and the generated tips is clear and logical.
1×2 Full Time Result
The algorithm predicts an away win (2) with odds of 3.25, though its confidence is measured at a low 1.6/10. This tip directly correlates with the stark contrast in the teams’ recent form. Libertad’s five wins in ten games, compared to Delfin’s single victory, provides a compelling argument for this outcome. The odds of 3.25 offer significant value for a team demonstrating such superior recent results.
Goals Market
The top tip from our system is AS (Away Team to Score) with high confidence (4.3/10) and odds of 1.34. This is strongly supported by the data. Libertad scores consistently (1.3 avg. in recent form) and faces a Delfin defense that has been conceding nearly two goals per game (1.9 avg.). Furthermore, the projected match stats—which forecast Libertad having 4 on-target shots—buttress the high probability of them finding the net.
For the Under 3.5 Goals bet, the algorithm shows strong confidence (4.2/10) with odds of 1.32. This aligns with both teams’ overall trends; while over 1.5 goals is common, games exceeding 3.5 goals happen in only about a quarter of their matches (25.4% for Delfin, 23.7% for Libertad). The predicted correct score of 0-2 also falls comfortably under this line.
Additional Insights
The projected statistics paint a picture of a match where Delfin may see more of the ball (55% possession) but will struggle to convert that into clear-cut chances or goals, mirroring their recent inefficiency. The equal number of total shots and on-target shots for both teams (12 and 4, respectively) suggests a match of similar chance creation, but Libertad is predicted to be the more clinical side. The discipline forecast, with Delfin expected to receive more yellow cards (2 to 1), hints at a match where the home side may be frustrated and forced into more tactical fouls.
In conclusion, the data and algorithmic analysis point towards a match where Libertad’s current form and efficiency give them the edge against a struggling Delfin side. The best value appears to be in the goals markets, particularly backing Libertad to score.