Liverpool vs Everton: AI Football Predictions
The Merseyside Derby: Betting Preview
The Premier League’s fiercest rivalry reignites as Liverpool host Everton in the Merseyside Derby. With bragging rights and crucial points on the line, this clash promises fireworks—both on the pitch and in the betting markets. Our AI at NerdyTips has crunched the numbers, and here’s where the smart money lies.
Match Odds & Best Bet
Liverpool enters as heavy favorites, priced at 1.37 to win, while Everton’s underdog odds sit at 8.5. A draw is valued at 4.85. Our AI’s top pick? Liverpool to win (1) with a confidence rating of 6.7/10. The Reds’ dominant form (65.7% win rate in their last 169 matches) and home advantage make them the clear choice.
Goal Markets: Under 3.5 Goals?
The total goals market leans toward under 3.5 goals at 1.4 odds (4.0/10 confidence). While Liverpool’s attack is potent, Everton’s defensive resilience (only 24.4% of their games exceed 3.5 goals) suggests a tighter affair. The predicted 2-1 final score aligns with this trend.
Key Stats to Watch
– Possession Battle: Liverpool averages 67% control, suffocating opponents.
– Shots & Corners: Expect 13 shots (3 on target) from Liverpool, with 5 corners. Everton may muster 7 shots (2 on target) and 2 corners.
– Discipline: Everton could edge the yellow card count (2 vs. Liverpool’s 1).
Historical Edge & Recent Form
Liverpool’s recent dominance includes a 2-0 win in their last H2H (Oct 2023). However, Everton’s shock 2-2 draw in February 2025 serves as a reminder: derbies defy logic. Still, with Liverpool winning 5 of their last 10 (1.5 goals scored/game) and Everton struggling (4 wins in 10), the Reds are the safer bet.
Final Verdict
Back Liverpool to win (1.37) as the standout bet, but consider under 3.5 goals for added value. For those chasing higher odds, a correct score of 2-1 (mirroring our AI’s prediction) could deliver a juicy payout.
Ready to place your wager? For more data-driven tips, visit NerdyTips. Good luck, and may the odds be ever in your favor!