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Posted on February 11, 2025

The Istanbul Derby Showdown: Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor – Betting Insights and Predictions


The Stage is Set for a Thrilling Istanbul Derby

This Thursday, February 13, 2025, at 17:00 UTC, the 1. Lig league in Turkey will witness a gripping derby as Ümraniyespor takes on İstanbulspor. Known for its intense atmosphere and passionate fanbase, this Istanbul derby promises to be a spectacle filled with drama, skill, and high stakes. Both teams are eager to claim bragging rights and crucial points in their league campaign.

Betting Odds and Key Predictions

The betting odds for this match are as follows: Home win – 2.45, Draw – 3.26, and Away win – 2.63. According to NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, the top bet is under 3.5 goals with a confidence rating of 7.2/10 and odds of 1.36. This suggests a tightly contested match with a maximum of three goals expected.

The 1×2 prediction leans towards an away win (2) with a confidence rating of 2.8/10 and odds of 2.63. The predicted final score is 1:2 in favor of İstanbulspor, with the half-time score expected to be 1:1.

Key Match Statistics

Possession: Ümraniyespor is projected to have 51% possession, while İstanbulspor will have 49%.
Shots: Ümraniyespor is expected to take 12 shots (4 on target), compared to İstanbulspor’s 16 shots (5 on target).
Corners: Ümraniyespor – 5, İstanbulspor – 6.
Yellow Cards: Ümraniyespor – 2, İstanbulspor – 1.

Historical Context and Recent Form

In the TFF 1. Lig league over the last four years, home victories account for 44.3% of games, while away teams have secured wins in 31.3% of matches. Draws occur in 24.5% of games. Both teams have scored in 49.9% of matches, and 72.1% of games have seen over 1.5 goals.

Team Performance Insights

Ümraniyespor: Won 31.5% of their last 108 matches, with 23.1% ending in draws. They have scored in 57.4% of their games, with 75.9% of matches seeing over 1.5 goals.
İstanbulspor: Won 32.7% of their last 113 matches, with 17.7% ending in draws. They have scored in 50.4% of their games, with 74.3% of matches seeing over 1.5 goals.

Recent Form

Ümraniyespor: 4 wins in their last 10 games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match. They have maintained 47.8% possession and taken 11 shots per game.
İstanbulspor: 6 wins in their last 10 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match. They have maintained 52% possession and taken 16 shots per game.

Head-to-Head and Notable Wins

In their last head-to-head match on January 15, 2023, İstanbulspor emerged victorious with a 2-0 win. Ümraniyespor had an unexpected away win over Ankaragucu on August 24, 2024, with odds of 6.1, finishing 0-1. İstanbulspor also had a surprising away win over Hatayspor on April 14, 2024, with odds of 7.6, finishing 0-3.

Conclusion and Betting Tips

This Istanbul derby is set to be a closely contested match with both teams showing strong recent form. The betting tips suggest a cautious approach with a focus on under 3.5 goals and a potential away win for İstanbulspor. With the historical context and recent performances in mind, bettors should consider these insights when placing their bets.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, this match promises to deliver excitement and potential value in the betting markets. Keep an eye on the key statistics and predictions to make informed decisions. Good luck, and enjoy the game!