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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction - Oct 18, 2026

Oct 1817:00
3:1
72
11.66 X4.40 25.20

Key moments

  1. 1st half2–0
  2. AC Milan · Goal Ramos G. (pen.)1–024'
  3. AC Milan · Goal Rabiot A.Assist Moreira D.2–043'
  4. 2nd half1–1
  5. AC Milan · Penalty missed Ramos G. (pen. missed)57'
  6. AC Milan · Goal Gila M.3–058'
  7. 66'Atalanta · Goal 3–1Gaetano G.Assist Zalewski N.

Match Tips

Confidence

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Warning

Atalanta has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip
4.6/10
1x2 Tip
1.4/10
Total Goals
4.7/10
Both Teams To Score
1.5/10
Bet Builder Tip
1.9/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
AC Milan
Atalanta
xGAC Milan: 1.55Atalanta: 0.91
Ball PossessionAC Milan: 60%Atalanta: 40%
Total ShotsAC Milan: 14Atalanta: 10
Shots on GoalAC Milan: 6Atalanta: 3
Shots Off GoalAC Milan: 5Atalanta: 5
CornersAC Milan: 4Atalanta: 3
Yellow CardsAC Milan: 2Atalanta: 1
OffsidesAC Milan: 1Atalanta: 1
FoulsAC Milan: 11Atalanta: 13

Preview

AI
AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction: San Siro test awaits

Sunday evening brings another demanding Serie A test to San Siro. Our AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction examines two ambitious teams still searching for balance, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 GMT on October 18, 2026.

Amorim looks for control amid growing pressure

This Matchday 7 fixture arrives at an interesting point in Milan’s new project. Rúben Amorim’s side remain unbeaten in Serie A after a 2-2 draw with Sassuolo, but an uncertain Europa League start has increased the noise around the coach. Owner Gerry Cardinale has publicly backed Amorim, stressing that rebuilding a team requires patience. In football, patience is often promised with one eye on the next result.

Amorim rotated heavily against RB Salzburg on October 15, using a 3-4-2-1 and giving opportunities to Fikayo Tomori and young Francesco Camarda. Milan should return to a more familiar 4-4-1-1 or 4-2-3-1 here, seeking greater control through midfield and more width when attacking.

The major concern is captain Matteo Gabbia. His serious left thigh flexor injury, including partial tendon damage, is expected to keep him out for three to four months. Alexis Saelemaekers and Pervis Estupiñán are also unavailable with ankle and knee problems respectively.

Atalanta arrive with renewed confidence

Maurizio Sarri’s Atalanta have responded well after three straight league defeats. A 3-1 win over Venezia was followed by another 3-1 success against Pafos in the Conference League, where Eljif Elmas, Giacomo Raspadori and Gianluca Scamacca scored.

Sarri has recently moved away from his usual 4-3-3, adopting a 4-2-3-1 to manage a busy calendar and a long injury list. Elmas is suspended following his red card against Venezia, while Giorgio Scalvini is likely to miss out with a thigh problem. Raoul Bellanova remains a fitness doubt, and former Milan midfielder Franck Kessié is hoping to recover after missing the European game.

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Statistics

Average / Match
AC Milan
Atalanta
Expected GoalsAC Milan: 1.63Atalanta: 1.14
Total GoalsAC Milan: 3.1Atalanta: 2.2
Goals ScoredAC Milan: 1.9Atalanta: 1.3
Goals AgainstAC Milan: 1.2Atalanta: 0.9
PossessionAC Milan: 58%Atalanta: 50%
Total ShotsAC Milan: 12.5Atalanta: 13.8
Shots on GoalAC Milan: 5Atalanta: 4.9
Shots off GoalAC Milan: 4.8Atalanta: 5.3
FoulsAC Milan: 11.9Atalanta: 10.9
CornersAC Milan: 3.5Atalanta: 4.1
OffsidesAC Milan: 1.3Atalanta: 0.8
Yellow CardsAC Milan: 1.67Atalanta: 0.71
Total PassesAC Milan: 561Atalanta: 538

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
AC Milan
Atalanta
WinsAC Milan: 5Atalanta: 6
Over 1.5 GoalsAC Milan: 10Atalanta: 6
Over 2.5 GoalsAC Milan: 6Atalanta: 5
Over 3.5 GoalsAC Milan: 3Atalanta: 2
Both Teams ScoredAC Milan: 5Atalanta: 5
Unexpected WinsAC Milan: 0Atalanta: 0
Unexpected LosesAC Milan: 0Atalanta: 1

H2H

Total meetings 31
AC Milan
Atalanta
10Wins
9Draws
12Wins
Recent meetings 9
2.8Goals per match
78%Both Teams Scored
44%Over 2.5 Goals
May 102026AC MilanAtalanta23
Oct 282025AtalantaAC Milan11
Apr 202025AC MilanAtalanta01
Dec 062024AtalantaAC Milan21
Feb 252024AC MilanAtalanta11
Jan 102024AC MilanAtalanta12
Dec 092023AtalantaAC Milan32
Feb 262023AC MilanAtalanta20
Aug 212022AtalantaAC Milan11

Recent Matches

Standings

Italy - Serie A
# Team M G P
1 Inter 7 21-9 19
2 AS Roma 7 16-3 17
3 Lazio 6 11-4 16
4 Frosinone 7 13-9 13
5 Cagliari 6 6-3 13
6 AC Milan 6 11-5 12
7 Juventus 6 9-5 11
8 Como 6 9-6 11
9 Napoli 7 10-7 10
10 Atalanta 6 8-8 9
11 Lecce 7 9-12 9
12 Sassuolo 7 12-14 8
13 Torino 6 7-9 7
14 Bologna 7 6-10 5
15 Monza 6 9-15 4
16 Parma 6 4-10 4
17 Udinese 7 9-16 4
18 Fiorentina 6 7-14 4
19 Genoa 7 5-13 4
20 Venezia 7 6-16 3
Champions League league stage Europa League league stage Play-offs Relegation