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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction - Sep 20, 2026

AC Milan €474.35m
Sep 2019:45
VS
Lecce €82.65m
11.28 X6.00 211.25

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
8.8/10
1x2 Tip
7.6/10
Total Goals
2.9/10
Both Teams To Score
1.4/10
Bet Builder Tip
5.4/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
AC Milan
Lecce
xGAC Milan: 1.54Lecce: 1.08
Ball PossessionAC Milan: 69%Lecce: 31%
Total ShotsAC Milan: 17Lecce: 7
Shots on GoalAC Milan: 5Lecce: 3
Shots Off GoalAC Milan: 8Lecce: 4
CornersAC Milan: 5Lecce: 3
Yellow CardsAC Milan: 2Lecce: 3
OffsidesAC Milan: 1Lecce: 1
FoulsAC Milan: 10Lecce: 13

Preview

AI
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction: Pressure at San Siro

Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction begins under the San Siro lights on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Kickoff in this Serie A Matchweek 5 fixture is scheduled for 19:45 GMT, or 20:45 local time, with Milan needing a calm and convincing response after a difficult week.

Amorim searches for the right balance

Ruben Amorim arrived in June, but his first months as Milan coach have already brought pressure. The Rossoneri lost 2-0 at home to Benfica in their Europa League opener on Wednesday. Before that, they recovered from two goals down to earn a 2-2 league draw away to Lazio.

Rotation has become a major talking point. Omari Hutchinson and Filippo Terracciano received their first starts of the season against Benfica, while Diego Moreira was left on the bench despite scoring twice at Lazio. Amorim says his squad does not yet have every quality needed for his preferred 3-4-2-1 system. With owner Gerry Cardinale expected in attendance, patience may be in shorter supply than the coffee cups around Milan.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek is unavailable after surgery on a serious facial injury, although Davide Bartesaghi recently returned and played in Europe. Milan should still control possession through a high defensive line and aggressive wing-backs, but they must move the ball faster than they did in midweek.

Lecce bring a clear set-piece danger

Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce have been unpredictable. Defeats against Roma and Cagliari were followed by a dramatic 3-2 victory over Monza, when they scored three times inside 21 minutes. Ivan Ilić supplied two corner assists, while Lassana Coulibaly scored twice. Tiago Gabriel also benefited from Lecce’s aerial strength.

That gives the visitors a practical route into the match. Milan may dominate open play, but careless fouls and corners could invite trouble. Willem Geubbels is a major doubt with an ankle or lower-leg problem, while Medon Berisha and Antonino Gallo are also being monitored.

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Statistics

Average / Match
AC Milan
Lecce
Expected GoalsAC Milan: 1.41Lecce: 1.52
Total GoalsAC Milan: 3.1Lecce: 2.8
Goals ScoredAC Milan: 1.5Lecce: 1.4
Goals AgainstAC Milan: 1.6Lecce: 1.4
PossessionAC Milan: 55%Lecce: 43%
Total ShotsAC Milan: 12.1Lecce: 10.8
Shots on GoalAC Milan: 4Lecce: 3.6
Shots off GoalAC Milan: 5.7Lecce: 5.2
FoulsAC Milan: 12.3Lecce: 11.4
CornersAC Milan: 3.6Lecce: 4.4
OffsidesAC Milan: 1.1Lecce: 1.2
Yellow CardsAC Milan: 1.44Lecce: 2
Total PassesAC Milan: 532Lecce: 377

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
AC Milan
Lecce
WinsAC Milan: 3Lecce: 5
Over 1.5 GoalsAC Milan: 10Lecce: 6
Over 2.5 GoalsAC Milan: 6Lecce: 4
Over 3.5 GoalsAC Milan: 3Lecce: 4
Both Teams ScoredAC Milan: 7Lecce: 3
Unexpected WinsAC Milan: 0Lecce: 0
Unexpected LosesAC Milan: 1Lecce: 1

H2H

AC Milan 11
4 Draws
0 Lecce
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Recent Matches

Standings

Italy - Serie A
# Team M G P
1 AS Roma 4 12-1 12
2 Inter 4 13-6 12
3 Como 4 9-4 10
4 Lazio 4 6-3 10
5 Cagliari 4 4-2 9
6 AC Milan 4 7-4 8
7 Frosinone 4 7-4 7
8 Juventus 4 6-4 7
9 Sassuolo 4 8-7 7
10 Napoli 4 6-5 6
11 Atalanta 4 5-5 6
12 Lecce 4 5-7 6
13 Udinese 4 8-10 4
14 Torino 4 4-7 3
15 Fiorentina 4 5-11 3
16 Bologna 4 2-5 1
17 Parma 4 2-6 1
18 Monza 4 6-11 1
19 Genoa 4 2-8 1
20 Venezia 4 4-11 0
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