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Match Prediction

AD Guanacasteca vs LD Alajuelense Prediction

Finished

Guanacast

€3.15m

13 Apr17:00
1 : 1

Preview

Guanacast vs LD Alajuelense Prediction Primera División

When AD Guanacasteca hosts LD Alajuelense on April 13, 2025, at Estadio Chorotega, the stakes will be high in this Primera Division encounter. Bookmakers are leaning heavily toward an away win, with Alajuelense priced at 1.6, while Guanacasteca’s underdog status is reflected in their 5.5 odds. A draw sits at 3.6, but will the home side defy expectations once again?

A Battle of Contrasts

On paper, this matchup looks lopsided. Alajuelense’s squad, valued at €7.4 million, towers over Guanacasteca’s €3.15 million roster. Money isn’t everything, but it often whispers loudly in football. Yet, Guanacasteca has shown they’re not afraid to bite back—their 1-0 upset over Alajuelense in November 2024 (at odds of 4.2) proved they can turn the script upside down.

Recent Form: Grit vs. Glory

Guanacasteca’s recent 2-2 draw against Puntarenas, despite being priced at 5.4 to win, showcased their scrappy resilience. They’re the kind of team that makes opponents work for every inch. Meanwhile, Alajuelense’s financial muscle usually translates to consistency, but their loss in the last head-to-head meeting suggests they can’t afford complacency.

Statistically, Costa Rican home sides win 46.6% of their matches, but Guanacasteca will need more than home advantage to unsettle Alajuelense. Their defense might need a miracle—or at least a very persuasive halftime speech—to keep the visitors at bay.

The AI’s Take: Low-Scoring Tension

NerdyTips’ AI analysis throws a curveball into the mix. While 51% of league games exceed 2.5 goals, the algorithm bucks the trend, predicting under 2.5 goals with a confidence level of 7.0/10 (odds: 1.65). It also foresees a tight 0-1 away win (trust rating: 1.8, odds: 1.6), mirroring the expected halftime score. This suggests a cagey, tactical affair rather than a goal fest.

With a league-wide BTTS (both teams to score) rate of 54.3%, there’s always a chance Guanacasteca finds the net. But Alajuelense’s superior squad depth and recent stinginess hint at a game where chances might be few and far between.

Why the Under 2.5 Goals Tip Makes Sense

If you’re looking for a smart play, the under 2.5 goals prediction stands out. Alajuelense’s financial edge often translates to disciplined, low-risk football on the road, while Guanacasteca’s underdog mentality means they’ll prioritize defensive solidity over flair. The AI’s high confidence in this pick (7.0/10) adds weight to the argument.

So, while the AD Guanacasteca vs LD Alajuelense prediction might seem straightforward at first glance, the nuances tell a different story. Expect tension, tactical battles, and perhaps just a single moment of quality to decide it. For those betting, the under 2.5 goals market might just be the wisest move.

Final thought: Sometimes, the quietest games speak the loudest. This one could be a whisper rather than a shout.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Guanacast vs LD Alajuelense

U2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 -167

LD Alajuelense is expected to win with odds of -167
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -385

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

1.6
Total Goals
1.5
0.7
Goals Scored
0.9
0.9
Goals Against
0.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
6
2
Over 2.5 Goals
2
1
Over 3.5 Goals
0
3
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

AD Guanacasteca
4 - 2 - 13
LD Alajuelense
AD Guanacasteca Guanacast 13-Apr-25
1:1
Alajuelen LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 16-Feb-25
1:0
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca
AD Guanacasteca Guanacast 30-Nov-24
1:0
Alajuelen LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 08-Sep-24
4:0
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 12-May-24
5:0
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca
AD Guanacasteca Guanacast 10-Mar-24
3:0
Alajuelen LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 26-Nov-23
3:4
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 15-Oct-23
2:0
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca
AD Guanacasteca Guanacast 19-Sep-23
3:2
Alajuelen LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense Alajuelen 25-Mar-23
2:0
Guanacast AD Guanacasteca

Profile time Recent Matches of Guanacast

Profile time Recent Matches of Alajuelen

28 JanWGuadalupe Guadalupe.
1:3
Alajuelens.Alajuelense
25 JanWAlajuelense Alajuelens.
1:0
San Carlos.San Carlos

Costa-Rica - Primera División Costa-Rica - Primera División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 CS Herediano CS Herediano22
38-18
46
2 LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense22
28-12
42
3 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC22
29-18
41
4 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo22
30-18
39
5 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines22
29-16
38
6 Sporting San Jose Sporting San22
25-28
31
7 Municipal Liberia Municipal22
26-26
24
8 Santos DE Guapiles Santos DE22
26-33
24
9 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon22
16-28
23
10 San Carlos San Carlos22
16-23
19
11 AD Guanacasteca AD22
12-33
16
12 Santa Ana Santa Ana22
22-44
14
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