Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Turkey
Preview
The Yeni Adana Stadyumu sets the stage for a classic David vs. Goliath battle on April 10th, as 19th-placed Adanaspor host league leaders Kocaelispor. The odds tell a stark story: Kocaelispor are heavy favorites at 1.59, while Adanaspor stagger at 5.25. But as any football fan knows, the script isn’t always followed.
Adanaspor’s campaign has been a grind, with just 27 points from 28 games. Their defense has been leaky, their attack inconsistent, and their disciplinary record—averaging 3 yellow cards per match—suggests a team constantly on the back foot. Yet, their recent 1-1 draw against Yeni Corumspor (a match where they defied 5.0 odds) hints at a stubborn resilience. They’re the kind of side that can scrap for a point when least expected.
Kocaelispor, meanwhile, are cruising. With 63 points and a squad valued at €10.20m (compared to Adanaspor’s €6.50m), they’ve been the league’s benchmark. Their 59% average possession and 17 shots per game paint a picture of dominance, while Adanaspor’s 41% possession and 8 shots per match highlight the gulf in quality. If Adanaspor’s defense isn’t careful, they might need a GPS to track the ball against Kocaelispor’s slick passing.
The numbers don’t lie. Kocaelispor’s expected 1-2 win (HT: 0-1) aligns with their superior attacking stats—5 shots on target per game vs. Adanaspor’s 3. Their corner advantage (4 per match vs. 3) could also prove decisive, especially if set-pieces tilt the game. The AI’s high-confidence tip leans heavily on these metrics, though it’s worth noting that Under 3.5 goals (1.29 odds, 5.2/10 trust) suggests a controlled, rather than chaotic, victory.
Adanaspor’s best hope might be to frustrate. If they can avoid early bookings—their 3-yellow-card tendency has cost them before—they could disrupt Kocaelispor’s rhythm. But the league trends aren’t on their side: home wins hover at 44.0%, and BTTS (both teams to score) lands at 49.9%. Kocaelispor’s consistency (only 2 losses all season) makes them a safer bet, even if Adanaspor’s shock draws linger in the memory.
Football, of course, loves chaos. Adanaspor’s underdog spirit could spark a surprise, but Kocaelispor’s quality should prevail. The prediction? A 1-2 away win, with Kocaelispor’s possession and precision proving too much. Just don’t rule out a late, nervy moment or two—this is football, after all.
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2 -169
Kocaelispor is expected to win with odds of -1692 -169
Kocaelispor is expected to win with odds of -169Under 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -110
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -385
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:2
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1
-
0
-
6
|
|
 Adanaspor |
10-Apr-25
1:4
| Kocaelispor  |
| Kocaelispor |
29-Nov-24
2:0
| Adanaspor |
| Kocaelispor |
03-Feb-24
1:0
| Adanaspor |
| Adanaspor |
01-Sep-23
0:2
| Kocaelispor |
| Kocaelispor |
21-May-22
4:1
| Adanaspor |
| Adanaspor |
24-Dec-21
2:0
| Kocaelispor |
Recent Matches of Adanaspor
Recent Matches of Kocaelispor
| 24 Jan | D |  Samsunspor. |
0:0 |
Kocaelispor. |
Turkey - 1. Lig| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kocaelispor | 38 | 68-41 | 72 |
| 2 |
Genclerbirligi | 38 | 57-34 | 68 |
| 3 |
Fatih | 38 | 55-36 | 66 |
| 4 |
Bandırmaspor | 38 | 52-45 | 64 |
| 5 |
İstanbulspor | 38 | 67-38 | 64 |
| 6 |
Erzurum BB | 38 | 53-31 | 64 |
| 7 |
Boluspor | 38 | 66-40 | 61 |
| 8 |
76 Iğdır | 38 | 57-33 | 58 |
| 9 |
Amed | 38 | 43-35 | 57 |
| 10 |
Yeni | 38 | 49-45 | 54 |
| 11 |
Ümraniyespor | 38 | 48-42 | 53 |
| 12 |
Erokspor | 38 | 53-50 | 52 |
| 13 |
Sakaryaspor | 38 | 48-54 | 51 |
| 14 |
Keçiörengüc | 38 | 60-53 | 51 |
| 15 |
Manisa BBSK | 38 | 50-52 | 48 |
| 16 |
Pendikspor | 38 | 45-51 | 48 |
| 17 |
Ankaragucu | 38 | 49-48 | 48 |
| 18 |
Şanlıurfaspo | 38 | 45-55 | 40 |
| 19 |
Adanaspor | 38 | 32-75 | 30 |
| 20 |
Yeni | 38 | 14-153 | -21 |
