Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction

Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor prediction: value, nerves, and a tight script

The Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor prediction for Saturday, 2026-02-14 (14:00 GMT) has the familiar Süper Lig feel: one side trying to turn home control into points, the other trying to stop the bleeding and steal something. They meet at GAIN Park Stadium in Alanya (17:00 local time), and the table positions add context without telling the whole story—Alanyaspor around mid-table (10th) and Konyaspor looking over their shoulder (14th).

Match context: form, coaching, and a few missing pieces

Alanyaspor arrive with a recent reminder that they can be stubborn in big environments: a 2-2 draw away at Beşiktaş on February 8, landed at huge pre-match odds (6.25). That result fits their recent “mixed but lively” rhythm, and it also underlines a key theme under João Pereira: they want the ball, they want tempo, and they are happy to attack quickly once lines break.

Konyaspor’s week has been more about rebuilding than momentum. They are on a long league winless run (10 matches: five draws, five losses), but the 0-0 at home to Göztepe on February 8 looked like a reset button. It was also the first match back for İlhan Palut, returning to the bench after 1,121 days—an emotional and tactical shift at a club that still remembers his 2022 high-water mark.

What to watch tactically

• Alanyaspor shape: Pereira has used 3-4-2-1 and 4-2-3-1 ideas, usually with a possession bias (around the low-to-mid 50% range) and quick transitions via wide delivery and midfield creativity.
• Konyaspor approach: Palut’s first priority has been compactness. Expect more balance than recent weeks, with shorter distances between units and fewer risky presses.

Squad news that can swing the game

• Alanyaspor absences: Buluthan Bulut and Florent Hadergjonaj are injured, while a significant suspension list linked to betting violations reduces depth and continuity.
• Konyaspor absences: Ufuk Akyol remains out, and a few are doubtful. Deniz Türüç is suspended, which matters because Konyaspor’s attacking output has already been under strain.

In head to head terms, Alanyaspor have had the edge recently and were also 2-1 winners in the last meeting on 2025-01-03. Add winter-window activity on Konyaspor’s side, and you have a team trying to patch holes fast—useful long-term, but not always instant chemistry.

Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction: odds, stats, and AI betting tips

The market has Alanyaspor as mild favorites: 2.25 home win, 3.4 draw, 3.4 away win. That pricing matches the narrative: Alanyaspor are more settled at home, while Konyaspor are still searching for a first league win in a while—yet Palut’s early impact makes the draw feel “live.”

Our model’s angle: safety first, then the stalemate

• Main betting tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.31 (confidence 2.6/10). The separate under/over call repeats Under 3.5 (confidence 2.7/10).
• 1X2 lean: 1X (Alanyaspor or draw) at 1.33 with a low trust score (2.0).

Why the cautious goal line? The game script points to control rather than chaos. Possession is forecast at 53% to 47% for Alanyaspor, with shots projected at 15-10 and on-target at 5-3. That suggests Alanyaspor generate more, but not necessarily enough to run away with it—especially with squad disruption and Konyaspor prioritizing structure.

Correct score, match events, and how it may unfold

• Final score prediction: 1-1
• Half-time prediction: 1-0
• Corners: 7 total (4-3)
• Cards: 4 yellows total (2-2)

That “1-0 at the break, 1-1 full time” pattern fits a match where Alanyaspor start quicker at home, but Konyaspor grow into it as Palut’s compact plan settles. One extra detail: Konyaspor’s squad value is higher (€42.65m vs €24.95m), yet the odds still shade Alanyaspor—another hint that cohesion and home comfort matter as much as price tags.

Final takeaway for Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor prediction readers: the best betting tips here are about limiting risk. Under 3.5 goals looks logical, and 1X protects against a Palut-inspired draw—especially with recent head to head trends favoring Alanyaspor, but not promising an easy ride.