Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
If you’re looking for a smart Albania vs Latvia prediction ahead of their World Cup qualification meeting on September 9, 2025, you’re in the right place. At NerdyTips, we’ve crunched the numbers, reviewed the teams’ form, and even listened in on the pre-match chatter. Let’s break down what to expect when these two sides meet at the Air Albania Stadium in Tirana, with kick-off set for 19:45 GMT.
This match is more than just another date on the calendar for Albania. Sitting third in Group K with five points from four games, the home side knows a win is crucial for their World Cup dreams. Recent results have been a mixed bag: a 0-2 loss to England, a comfortable 3-0 win over Andorra, and two hard-fought draws—one at home to Serbia and another away to Latvia. Their latest friendly saw them edge Gibraltar 1-0, but it’s the qualifiers that really matter.
Latvia, meanwhile, are fourth in the group with four points. Their form has been less than inspiring, with just one win in their last nine games—a narrow victory over Andorra. Most recently, they lost 0-1 at home to Serbia, underlining their struggles in front of goal.
If you’re a fan of history, you’ll love this: all five previous meetings between Albania and Latvia have ended in draws. The last time they met, it finished 1-1, proving that these teams are usually tough to separate. But this time, the stakes are higher, and the squads look a bit different.
Tactically, Albania’s coach Sylvinho is sticking to a disciplined, possession-heavy 4-3-3, aiming to break down Latvia’s deep block. Latvia, under their Italian manager, will likely defend in numbers and look to counter or threaten from set pieces. Both sides know what’s at stake—Albania’s Kristjan Asllani put it best: “We need the three points for our objectives and dream.”
Let’s get to the heart of the matter: the Albania vs Latvia prediction from our AI model, plus the latest sports betting odds and stats.
Our AI gives Albania a whopping 10.0/10 confidence rating to win, and the 1.39 odds for a home victory reflect their clear advantage. The predicted final score? A narrow 1-0 for Albania, with a goalless first half expected. The under 2.5 goals market looks solid too, with a confidence level of 5.9 and odds of 1.67.
The stats back up the betting odds: Albania’s squad is valued at €108.55m, dwarfing Latvia’s €9.68m. While Albania’s recent draw away to Croatia showed their resilience, Latvia’s 1-1 draw with Albania earlier in the campaign was a rare bright spot in an otherwise tough run.
In summary, all signs point to a narrow Albania win, keeping their World Cup hopes alive. The Albania vs Latvia prediction is clear: back the hosts, expect a low-scoring affair, and don’t be surprised if it takes a moment of magic—or a defensive slip—to separate these two.
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1 -256
Albania is expected to win with odds of -2561 -256
Albania is expected to win with odds of -256Under 2.5 -149
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -213
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -238
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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0
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 Latvia |
10-Jun-25
1:1
| Albania  |
