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Match Prediction

Amed vs Adanaspor Prediction

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Amed

€9.48m

4 May09:00
4 : 0

Adanaspor

€6.25m

Preview

Amed vs Adanaspor Prediction 1. Lig

Amed vs Adanaspor Prediction: Can the Favorites Deliver at Diyarbakır?

If you’re hunting for a smart Amed vs Adanaspor prediction, you’ve come to the right place. As the 1. Lig season nears its end, the stakes are high and the numbers are telling a clear story ahead of the May 4th fixture at Diyarbakır Stadyumu. With Amed sitting comfortably in 9th place on 54 points and Adanaspor languishing in 19th with just 30, this match looks, on paper, like a classic case of David vs Goliath—if David forgot his slingshot at home.

Setting the Scene: League Table and Odds

Let’s start with the basics. After 36 matches, Amed are mid-table, safe from relegation but still hungry for a strong finish. Adanaspor, meanwhile, are stuck near the bottom, desperate for points but facing a mountain to climb. The gap between the two—24 points—feels even wider when you look at the odds:

  • Home win: 1.03
  • Draw: 11.75
  • Away win: 30.0

Bookmakers aren’t exactly hedging their bets. Amed are overwhelming favorites, with the odds for an away win suggesting you’d have better luck finding a four-leaf clover in the Diyarbakır grass. This is as close to a foregone conclusion as you’ll find in 1. Lig betting tips this weekend.

Best Tip from NerdyTips: Over 2.5 Goals

Our AI’s top betting tip for this match is over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.24 and a trust rating of 3.0/10. This aligns with the AI’s predicted final score of 3:0 (half-time 1:0), so if you’re looking for a goal-filled afternoon, you’re not alone. Here’s why this tip stands out—despite the modest confidence rating:

  • 72.1% of league games finish with over 1.5 goals
  • 48.8% go over 2.5 goals
  • 27.3% even surpass 3.5 goals

So, while the league isn’t a non-stop goal fest, nearly half the matches see at least three goals. With Amed’s firepower and Adanaspor’s defensive struggles, it’s easy to see why the AI is leaning toward a high-scoring affair—even if it’s not ready to bet the house on it.

Match Stats and Tactical Expectations

The AI’s 1x2 prediction is another vote for the home side: a home win with a confidence rating of 6.2 and odds of 1.03. But let’s dig into the projected stats that support this:

  • Amed expected to control 77% possession
  • 18 total shots for the home team, just 2 for Adanaspor
  • 6 corners to 1 in Amed’s favor

Here’s where things get curious: the model predicts zero shots on target for both teams. Now, unless Amed have perfected the art of scoring without aiming at the goal, this is either a statistical quirk or a sign that the AI’s sensors need a reboot. Still, with a predicted 3:0 result, we can safely assume Amed will find a way to hit the net, one way or another.

Discipline and Squad Value: What Else Matters?

On the discipline front, Amed are expected to pick up just one yellow card, while Adanaspor might see two. This points to a match where the home side dictates the tempo and Adanaspor are left chasing shadows—sometimes a little too aggressively.

Squad value tells its own story: Amed’s roster is estimated at €9.48 million, comfortably ahead of Adanaspor’s €6.25 million. It’s another indicator of why the home team are such heavy favorites—not just in this game, but in the broader head to head between these clubs.

History Lessons and League Trends

Both teams have shown they can surprise. Amed held 76 Igdir Belediyespor to a 1:1 away draw as 5.5 underdogs last December, while Adanaspor matched Yeni Corumspor 1:1 as 5.0 outsiders in February. They’re not strangers to defying the odds, but this time, the mountain looks steeper.

  • Home teams win 44.1% of league matches
  • Away teams win 31.2%
  • Draws occur 24.7% of the time
  • Both teams score in 49.9% of games

Given the gulf in quality and the weight of the odds, it’s hard to see Adanaspor adding to that away win percentage here. But football has a way of keeping us humble.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

To sum up our Amed vs Adanaspor prediction: all signs point to a comfortable home win, with over 2.5 goals likely, but not guaranteed (hence the 3.0/10 trust rating). If you’re looking for value, the over 2.5 goals market is the standout pick, but as always, weigh the data and trust your instincts before placing your bets. After all, even the most lopsided fixtures can throw up surprises—and that’s what makes football, and betting, so compelling.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Adanaspor is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Amed vs Adanaspor

O2.5 -417

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -417
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -3333

Amed is expected to win with odds of -3333
6/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -417

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -227

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -357

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

77%
Ball Possession
23%
18
Total Shots
2
6
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
3.1
1
Goals Scored
1.1
1
Goals Against
2
53%
Possession
47%
14.1
Total Shots
9.5
5.3
Shots on Goal
3.5
5.1
Shots off Goal
3.6
10.1
Fouls
10.8
4.6
Corners
3.6
1.4
Offsides
1.8
2.33
Yellow Cards
2.4
0.2
Red Cards
0.1
404
Total Passes
338

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
7
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Amed
1 - 1 - 0
Adanaspor
Amed Amed 04-May-25
4:0
Adanaspor Adanaspor

Profile time Recent Matches of Amed

25 JanD Sivasspor Sivasspor.
1:1
Amedspor. Amedspor

Profile time Recent Matches of Adanaspor

Turkey - 1. Lig Turkey - 1. Lig

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor38
68-41
72
2 Genclerbirligi Genclerbirligi38
57-34
68
3 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih38
55-36
66
4 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor38
52-45
64
5 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor38
67-38
64
6 Erzurum BB Erzurum BB38
53-31
64
7 Boluspor Boluspor38
66-40
61
8 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 76 Iğdır38
57-33
58
9 Amed Amed38
43-35
57
10 Yeni Çorumspor Yeni38
49-45
54
11 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor38
48-42
53
12 Erokspor Erokspor38
53-50
52
13 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor38
48-54
51
14 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengüc38
60-53
51
15 Manisa BBSK Manisa BBSK38
50-52
48
16 Pendikspor Pendikspor38
45-51
48
17 Ankaragucu Ankaragucu38
49-48
48
18 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspo38
45-55
40
19 Adanaspor Adanaspor38
32-75
30
20 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni38
14-153
-21
Video preview
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