Azuriz will host Atletico Paranaense at Estádio Os Pioneiros on February 21, 2025, at 23:00 UTC in what promises to be an intriguing Paranaense - 1 matchup. Last time these two met, Azuriz stunned everyone with a 1-0 victory despite being massive underdogs at 6.0 odds. Can lightning strike twice, or will Atletico Paranaense restore order?

Looking at the odds, the visitors are clear favorites at 1.66, while a home win sits at 4.75 and a draw at 3.52. Despite Azuriz’s heroics in the last encounter, it’s hard to ignore the vast difference in squad value—Atletico Paranaense’s squad is worth a hefty €36.75m compared to Azuriz’s modest €650K. That alone speaks volumes about the gulf in quality.

Historically, home teams have had the upper hand in the Paranaense - 1 league, winning 48.9% of matches, while away sides have triumphed just 24.1% of the time. However, Atletico Paranaense will be eager to prove that stats don’t always tell the whole story.

When it comes to goals, this fixture might not be a goal-fest. The best betting tip according to NerdyTips is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25 with a trust level of 6.6/10. The data backs this up—only 20.3% of Paranaense - 1 matches have seen over 3.5 goals. Furthermore, our AI predicts a 0:1 scoreline, with a goalless first half. If you’re expecting fireworks, you may want to lower your expectations.

Atletico Paranaense’s recent history suggests they can pull off big away wins, as seen in their shock 0:2 triumph over Palmeiras in 2022 when their odds were a whopping 9.3. However, they’ll need to be wary of Azuriz, who have already proven they can upset the odds.

In conclusion, while Azuriz’s last win over Atletico Paranaense was impressive, it’s hard to see them repeating the feat. The visitors should edge this one, but don’t expect a goal-fest. The best bet? Stick with Under 3.5 goals and consider backing Atletico Paranaense to grind out a narrow win.