Bodo/Glimt vs Molde

Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction: goals, angles, and value

The Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction for Monday, 2026-05-04 (18:00 GMT) pretty much writes itself: Aspmyra under the lights, two ambitious attacks, and a fixture that rarely stays quiet for long. It’s Eliteserien Round 7, and if you like pace, pressing, and shots, this one should feel like a buffet.

Match setting, form, and the chessboard

Bodø/Glimt come in as the league’s modern heavy hitters, and they’ve responded well after that ugly 5-0 loss to Viking earlier in the spring. Since then, the home rhythm has returned: wins like 3-0 vs Aalesund, 2-1 vs KFUM Oslo, and 2-0 vs Lillestrøm show a team that can win with both flair and control. They’ve hit 8 goals in their last five league games, and the big theme is simple: win the ball high, keep it, and keep opponents running.

Molde arrive with their own firepower. A 5-1 win over Vålerenga on April 26, plus a 4-1 against HamKam and a 1-1 draw with Start, tells you the attack is humming. They’ve scored 11 in their last five, but the downside is clear: no clean sheet in that run. Against a Glimt side that turns pressure into chances, that’s like bringing an umbrella made of paper to Bodø.

Head to head: tight history, Glimt’s recent edge

This head to head is famously close overall (Molde 13 wins, Glimt 12, and 6 draws), but the recent story leans yellow: Bodø/Glimt are unbeaten in the last six meetings (3W, 3D). They also beat Molde 2-1 away in the NM Cup Round of 16 on 2026-03-05, and the last league meeting we saw ended 4-1 to Glimt on 2025-10-26. Molde know what’s coming; stopping it is the tricky part.

• Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
• Team news note: Bodø/Glimt are expected to miss midfielder Ulrik Saltnes, which may shift the balance of their midfield rotations.
• Confidence booster: Glimt’s 1:2 away win at Inter on 2026-02-24 (odds 13.0) still hangs in the air as proof they don’t scare easily.

Our Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction and betting tips

Now to the numbers and the market. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.37, draw 5.5, away win 7.5. Our Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction agrees with that direction, and the supporting stats paint a very “Glimt at home” picture.

• 1X2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.37
• Model confidence: 8.8/10 (high trust)
• Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 (confidence 6.2/10)

Why the strong home lean? The expected game script is control and volume: 64% possession for Bodø/Glimt, around 16 shots to 6, with 6 on target to Molde’s 2. Add a corners forecast of 8-3 (11 total), and you can imagine Molde defending waves and clearing their lines a lot. The squad value gap (€82.55m vs €26.95m) also supports the idea that Glimt can bring more match-winners off the bench if the game gets messy.

1. Main betting tip: Bodø/Glimt to win (fits the odds and the match flow)
2. Goals angle: Over 2.5 is reasonable, mainly because Molde score often but concede often
3. Correct score lean: 3:0, with 1:0 at half-time (Glimt start fast, Molde chase)

One last small detail for card-watchers: the projection is calm (0 home yellows, 1 away). If that holds, it favors Glimt’s tempo game—less stopping, more running, and more chances. In short: for this Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction, the simplest path is usually the best one—back the home win, and expect the net to move.