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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction - Oct 29, 2026

Oct 2919:45
VS
12.25 X3.60 23.10

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
6.9/10
1x2 Tip
2.0/10
Total Goals
6.9/10
Both Teams To Score
6.3/10
Bet Builder Tip
1.5/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
Fiorentina
Atalanta
xGFiorentina: 1.52Atalanta: 1.19
Ball PossessionFiorentina: 53%Atalanta: 47%
Total ShotsFiorentina: 16Atalanta: 15
Shots on GoalFiorentina: 6Atalanta: 4
Shots Off GoalFiorentina: 7Atalanta: 6
CornersFiorentina: 5Atalanta: 6
Yellow CardsFiorentina: 2Atalanta: 1
OffsidesFiorentina: 2Atalanta: 1
FoulsFiorentina: 11Atalanta: 11

Preview

AI
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: goals in Florence

This Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction points toward an entertaining night in Florence. The Serie A Matchday 9 fixture kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Thursday, October 29, 2026, with both teams needing a positive result after difficult domestic runs.

Form, tactics and team news

Fiorentina enter the game in 18th place and without a win in four matches. Their latest defeat was especially painful. La Viola led Serie A leaders Inter through Alex Jimenez’s excellent long-range goal, only to concede in the 91st and 98th minutes and lose 2-1. Football can be cruel, but twice in stoppage time feels a little excessive.

Atalanta sit 10th and are winless in three games across all competitions. Their 4-4 draw with Frosinone on October 25 offered plenty of attacking excitement but very little defensive comfort. Both teams recovered from losing positions twice, underlining Atalanta’s ability to create chances and their current habit of allowing them.

The hosts are likely to seek control through patient possession before accelerating in wide areas. Atalanta should be more direct, using quick forward passes and runners between Fiorentina’s midfield and defence. That tactical mix could create an open match, particularly if an early goal forces both sides to take more risks.

Maurizio Sarri also has injury concerns. Giacomo Raspadori is ruled out after suffering a low-grade right biceps femoris strain while taking a penalty against Pafos. Sead Kolasinac is expected to miss up to two weeks with a thigh problem, reducing Atalanta’s defensive options at an awkward time.

  • Date and time: October 29, 2026, at 19:45 GMT
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
  • Competition: Serie A, Matchday 9
  • Market values: Fiorentina €353.15m; Atalanta €449.05m

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Statistics

Average / Match
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Expected GoalsFiorentina: 1.45Atalanta: 1.51
Total GoalsFiorentina: 3.6Atalanta: 3.3
Goals ScoredFiorentina: 1.6Atalanta: 1.6
Goals AgainstFiorentina: 2Atalanta: 1.7
PossessionFiorentina: 46%Atalanta: 47%
Total ShotsFiorentina: 14.9Atalanta: 15.1
Shots on GoalFiorentina: 5.4Atalanta: 4.6
Shots off GoalFiorentina: 6.1Atalanta: 6.1
FoulsFiorentina: 11.5Atalanta: 10.4
CornersFiorentina: 4.4Atalanta: 4.9
OffsidesFiorentina: 1.7Atalanta: 1.1
Yellow CardsFiorentina: 2Atalanta: 1
Total PassesFiorentina: 405Atalanta: 475

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Fiorentina
Atalanta
WinsFiorentina: 3Atalanta: 4
Over 1.5 GoalsFiorentina: 10Atalanta: 8
Over 2.5 GoalsFiorentina: 9Atalanta: 6
Over 3.5 GoalsFiorentina: 4Atalanta: 4
Both Teams ScoredFiorentina: 7Atalanta: 6
Unexpected WinsFiorentina: 0Atalanta: 0
Unexpected LosesFiorentina: 0Atalanta: 1

H2H

Total meetings 36
Fiorentina
Atalanta
17Wins
9Draws
10Wins
Recent meetings 9
3.1Goals per match
67%Both Teams Scored
44%Over 2.5 Goals
May 222026FiorentinaAtalanta11
Nov 302025AtalantaFiorentina20
Mar 302025FiorentinaAtalanta10
Sep 152024AtalantaFiorentina32
Jun 022024AtalantaFiorentina23
Apr 242024AtalantaFiorentina41
Apr 032024FiorentinaAtalanta10
Sep 172023FiorentinaAtalanta32
Apr 172023FiorentinaAtalanta11

Recent Matches

Standings

Italy - Serie A
# Team M G P
1 Inter 8 23-10 22
2 Lazio 8 16-5 22
3 AS Roma 8 19-6 18
4 AC Milan 8 16-7 18
5 Como 8 14-7 17
6 Frosinone 8 17-13 14
7 Juventus 8 11-8 14
8 Torino 8 13-11 13
9 Cagliari 8 6-9 13
10 Napoli 8 13-10 11
11 Atalanta 8 14-15 10
12 Lecce 8 9-14 9
13 Bologna 8 8-10 8
14 Sassuolo 8 12-16 8
15 Monza 8 15-18 7
16 Genoa 8 6-13 7
17 Udinese 8 9-18 4
18 Fiorentina 8 9-19 4
19 Parma 8 5-15 4
20 Venezia 8 6-17 3
Champions League league stage Europa League league stage Play-offs Relegation