Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Our Burundi vs Kenya prediction looks ahead to a World Cup qualifier where pride is the main prize. With both teams out of the running for the 2026 World Cup, this match at Stade Intwari in Bujumbura is all about finishing the campaign on a high note. Let's dive into the story of this African football encounter.
The home side, Burundi, will lean on their solid home form, having remained unbeaten in their one qualification match at Stade Intwari. Their head coach, Patrick Sangwa Mayani, has previously emphasized that organization is key, and with recalled players like goalscorer Abedi Bigirimana, they have the tools to be difficult to break down. The potential involvement of Norwegian-based striker Bertran Nishimwe Mvuka adds an interesting new dimension to their attack.
Kenya, known as the Harambee Stars, arrive with momentum from a 5-0 thrashing of Seychelles. Coach Benni McCarthy is using these final fixtures to build for the future, blending experience with fresh talent. The squad boasts a significant market value of €11.15m compared to Burundi's €3.70m, reflecting a deeper pool of professional players.
The head to head record between these nations is incredibly balanced, which makes this Burundi vs Kenya prediction a tricky one. Out of eight meetings since 2007, each team has won twice, with four matches ending all square. Their most recent encounter in this qualification cycle was a 1-1 draw, and historically, these games average just 0.80 goals. This suggests a tight, potentially low-scoring affair is on the cards.
Captain Michael Olunga's recent comments about inadequate infrastructure hampering their campaign add a layer of motivation for Kenya to perform well in these final, albeit dead-rubber, matches.
Now, let's look at the numbers. The betting odds for this match are very close, reflecting the evenly matched nature of these two sides. A home win is priced at 2.6, a draw at 3.0, and an away win for Kenya at 2.78. For those interested in sports betting, this presents some interesting value.
Our AI has crunched the data and provides a clear Burundi vs Kenya prediction for the betting markets. The top recommended bet is X2 (meaning Kenya to win or draw), with odds of 1.46 and a trust level of 3.2 out of 10. This aligns with Kenya's slightly superior squad value and their proven ability to grind out results, as seen against Ivory Coast.
Bringing all these elements together—the tactical setups, the head to head stats, and the AI analysis—leads to a specific forecast. Our AI predicts the final score will be 0:1 in favor of Kenya, with the same 0:1 scoreline anticipated at half-time. This Burundi vs Kenya prediction points towards a narrow, professional victory for the visiting Harambee Stars, who have just a bit more individual quality to make the difference in what is expected to be a cagey contest.
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Meaningless match!
X2 -217
Kenya to win or draw with odds of -2172 178
Kenya is expected to win with odds of 178Under 2.5 -175
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -114
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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0
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2
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1
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|
 Kenya |
07-Jun-24
1:1
| Burundi  |
| Kenya |
14-Dec-17
1:0
| Burundi |
| Kenya |
25-Nov-15
1:1
| Burundi |
World - World Cup - Qualification Africa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ivory Coast | 10 | 25-0 | 26 |
| 2 |
Gabon | 10 | 22-9 | 25 |
| 3 |
Gambia | 10 | 27-18 | 13 |
| 4 |
Kenya | 10 | 18-14 | 12 |
| 5 |
Burundi | 10 | 13-13 | 10 |
| 6 |
Seychelles | 10 | 2-53 | 0 |
