Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Thailand
Preview
As the sun rises over Khao Plong Stadium on April 2nd, Thai football fans will be tuning in for what promises to be a quietly intriguing matchup between Chainat and Suphanburi. With a 13:00 GMT kickoff, this Thai League 2 encounter might not headline global sports news, but for dedicated followers of the league, there’s plenty at stake — and more than a few betting angles worth exploring.
On paper, Chainat enter the game as the clear favorites, with bookmakers offering odds of just 1.4 for a home win. That’s a strong vote of confidence for a team that, despite a modest market value of €975,000, has shown resilience in recent months. Their 1-1 draw away to Chonburi FC back in November 2024, when they were priced at 6.4 for a win, reminded fans that this side can punch above its weight on the right day.
Suphanburi, meanwhile, travel to Chainat with a slightly higher market value of €1.38 million, but the odds are stacked against them at 6.2 for an away win. Still, they’ve shown they’re capable of explosive performances. Their 6-1 demolition of Sisaket United earlier this year — a result that came with long odds of 5.2 — was a statement win that showed what this team can do when things click.
That said, consistency has been an issue. Suphanburi’s performances have fluctuated, and while they have the talent to hurt teams, they’ve often struggled to maintain pressure across 90 minutes. Chainat, on the other hand, have leaned into their home advantage. Even if their win rate mirrors the league-wide trend of just 31.9% for home victories, they’ve managed to outperform expectations when playing in their own backyard.
From a broader league perspective, Thai League 2 games have ended in draws nearly half the time — 49.9%, to be exact — which makes the 4.33 odds for a draw here not entirely unattractive. However, with only 18.2% of matches going to the away side, Suphanburi’s prospects look slim unless they can replicate that Sisaket form.
Putting all the puzzle pieces together — from recent form to league-wide patterns — this game looks like it could be tighter than the odds suggest. While Chainat are favorites, Suphanburi’s unpredictability adds a layer of intrigue. The AI models over at NerdyTips have taken a stab at this one, and the AI’s prediction for Chainat vs Suphanburi is that the away team will score, with a modest confidence level of 2.7 out of 10 and odds of 1.61.
Interestingly, the machine leans toward an upset in the 1x2 market, predicting a Suphanburi win at long odds of 6.2 — though with a low trust rating of just 1.3. That tells us the model sees potential value, but not enough certainty to go all-in. For goal bettors, the over 2.5 goals market is another area of interest. With a trust level of 2.8 and odds of 1.62, the data suggests a higher-scoring affair could be on the cards, especially if Suphanburi finds their rhythm early.
As for a scoreline prediction, the AI sees this one ending 2-1 in favor of Suphanburi, with a goalless first half setting the stage for a livelier second period. Whether that pans out remains to be seen, but it’s a reminder that in this league, surprises are never far away.
So, if you're betting based on form and value, this might be one of those games where intuition and data need to meet halfway. Chainat may have the odds, but Suphanburi have the potential to disrupt — and that’s exactly what makes this match worth watching.
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AS -164
Suphanburi is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -1642 520
Suphanburi is expected to win with odds of 520Over 2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -125
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 195
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
|
|
6
-
4
-
9
|
|
 Chainat |
02-Apr-25
2:1
| Suphanburi  |
| Suphanburi |
06-Dec-24
2:2
| Chainat |
| Suphanburi |
10-Feb-24
2:1
| Chainat |
| Chainat |
07-Oct-23
1:2
| Suphanburi |
| Suphanburi |
29-Jan-23
1:3
| Chainat |
| Chainat |
11-Sep-22
2:0
| Suphanburi |
| Suphanburi |
29-Jun-19
1:0
| Chainat |
| Chainat |
23-Feb-19
0:0
| Suphanburi |
| Suphanburi |
07-Oct-18
1:2
| Chainat |
| Chainat |
10-Feb-18
0:0
| Suphanburi |
Recent Matches of Chainat| 25 Jan | W |
Rasisalai Ut.
|
0:3
| Chainat.
|
Recent Matches of Suphanburi
Thailand - Thai League 2| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chonburi FC | 32 | 56-30 | 63 |
| 2 |
Ayutthaya FC | 32 | 57-30 | 60 |
| 3 |
Phrae United | 32 | 61-38 | 58 |
| 4 |
Kanchanaburi | 32 | 53-36 | 52 |
| 5 |
Mahasarakham | 32 | 44-39 | 48 |
| 6 |
Lampang FC | 32 | 48-39 | 48 |
| 7 |
Kasetsart FC | 32 | 36-37 | 45 |
| 8 |
Bangkok | 32 | 42-50 | 45 |
| 9 |
Nakhon Si | 32 | 51-52 | 44 |
| 10 |
Sisaket United | 32 | 29-39 | 41 |
| 11 |
Chiangmai | 32 | 41-48 | 40 |
| 12 |
Police Tero | 32 | 39-48 | 40 |
| 13 |
Chanthaburi | 32 | 37-48 | 38 |
| 14 |
Chainat | 32 | 32-34 | 35 |
| 15 |
Trat FC | 32 | 36-49 | 33 |
| 16 |
Esan Pattaya | 32 | 32-47 | 32 |
| 17 |
Suphanburi | 32 | 42-72 | 22 |
| 18 |
Pattaya United | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |
