Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
Mark your calendars for 2026-02-11 at 19:00 GMT, because this Empoli vs Juve Stabia prediction has the feel of a careful, chess-like Serie B evening at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Empoli have been hunting for rhythm and points, while Juve Stabia arrive with the calm confidence of a side that has recently made winning feel like a habit rather than a surprise.
Empoli have been stuck in that frustrating mid-table zone, where one good week can push you toward the playoff picture and one bad week drags you back into doubt. Their recent form has swung around, and the latest reminder came in a wild 3.5 loss to Palermo on February 7: a late push, a couple of goals, and still no points to show for it. The Azzurri’s brighter moments often come when their wing-backs get going, because Guido Pagliuca has leaned on a 3-4-2-1 that tries to stretch teams wide and then attack the box quickly.
The problem is that the same approach can leave gaps behind the wide players, and in Serie B those gaps don’t stay empty for long. Injuries haven’t helped either, with Pietro Pellegri still out long-term and other absences limiting depth. Empoli do have reasons to believe, though. They already showed earlier in the season that they can frustrate stronger opponents away from home, like the unexpected 1-1 draw at Como on 2025-03.59 when the win price was stacked against them.
Juve Stabia, by contrast, have looked like one of the league’s more reliable teams in recent weeks. Ignazio Abate has built them around a compact 3-5-1-1, with a crowded midfield that blocks central lanes and forces opponents into low-quality shots. They reinforced that identity with a 3.1 win over Padova on February 7, extending an unbeaten run that has quietly turned them into a serious promotion contender. Leonardo Candellone brings the physical edge up front, while Fabio Maistro adds the imagination—especially on set pieces, where he can change a match with one good delivery.
The head to head context also matters: Juve Stabia took the reverse fixture 2-0 on December 13, 2025, and Empoli never really found space to breathe in attack that day. If Juve Stabia repeat that level of control, Empoli may again be pushed into hopeful crosses rather than clean chances.
Now to the betting angle, where our Empoli vs Juve Stabia prediction leans strongly toward a low-scoring script. The current betting odds for the 1X2 market are 2.5 for a home win, 3.1 for the draw, and 3.5 for an away win—pretty balanced, with Empoli only slight favorites thanks to home field and squad depth. Empoli’s squad value sits around €36.95m versus €22.25m for Juve Stabia, but Serie B has never been a league that reads price tags before kickoff.
The supporting match stats paint the same picture. Possession is projected to be close (51% Empoli, 49% Juve Stabia), and shot volume isn’t extreme: about 12 to 10 overall, with just 4 vs 3 on target. That combination often produces long spells of midfield wrestling, a few set-piece moments, and goalkeepers mostly staying warm rather than heroic. Corners are estimated at 7 total (4-3), which fits a game where attacks reach the final third but don’t consistently turn into clear openings. Even the discipline forecast—1 yellow for Empoli, 2 for Juve Stabia—suggests a match that is tense without becoming chaotic.
So, if you’re betting, the “Under 2.5” angle fits both styles: Empoli’s need for control at home, and Juve Stabia’s habit of closing doors first and asking questions later. And if it ends 0-0, don’t say it was boring—say it was two coaches winning arguments at the same time.
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Juve Stabia didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189X 210
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -139
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -137
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:0
|
|
1
-
0
-
2
|
|
 Juve Stabia |
13-Dec-25
2:0
| Empoli  |
| Juve Stabia |
18-Jan-20
1:0
| Empoli |
| Empoli |
25-Aug-19
2:1
| Juve Stabia |
Recent Matches of Empoli| 07 Feb | L |
Palermo.
|
3:2
| Empoli.
|
| 31 Jan | D |
Empoli.
|
0:0
| Modena.
|
| 23 Jan | L |
Carrarese.
|
3:0
| Empoli.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Empoli.
|
0:1
| Sudtirol.
|
| 10 Jan | W |
Cesena.
|
0:1
| Empoli.
|
| 27 Dec | D |
Empoli.
|
1:1
| Frosinone.
|
| 21 Dec | W |
Mantova.
|
0:1
| Empoli.
|
| 13 Dec | L |
Juve Stabi.
|
2:0
| Empoli.
|
| 07 Dec | L |
Empoli.
|
1:3
| Palermo.
|
| 29 Nov | W |
Empoli.
|
5:0
| Bari.
|
Recent Matches of Juve Stabia
| 07 Feb | D | Juve Stabi. |
3:3 |
Padova. |
| 01 Feb | D |  Reggiana. |
1:1 |
Juve Stabi. |
| 24 Jan | W | Juve Stabi. |
1:0 |
Entella. |
| 17 Jan | W |  Bari. |
0:1 |
Juve Stabi. |
| 10 Jan | D | Juve Stabi. |
2:2 |
Pescara. |
| 27 Dec | W | Juve Stabi. |
1:0 |
Sudtirol. |
| 20 Dec | D |  Cesena. |
1:1 |
Juve Stabi. |
| 13 Dec | W | Juve Stabi. |
2:0 |
Empoli. |
| 08 Dec | L |  Frosinone. |
3:0 |
Juve Stabi. |
| 04 Dec | D | Juve Stabi. |
0:0 |
Bari. |
Italy - Serie B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Venezia | 24 | 46-22 | 50 |
| 2 |
Monza | 23 | 36-19 | 47 |
| 3 |
Frosinone | 23 | 41-21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Palermo | 24 | 39-19 | 45 |
| 5 |
Catanzaro | 24 | 32-26 | 38 |
| 6 |
Modena | 24 | 31-19 | 37 |
| 7 |
Cesena | 24 | 32-30 | 37 |
| 8 |
Juve Stabia | 23 | 27-26 | 35 |
| 9 |
Carrarese | 24 | 31-33 | 30 |
| 10 |
Sudtirol | 23 | 24-23 | 29 |
| 11 |
Padova | 24 | 25-30 | 29 |
| 12 |
Empoli | 23 | 28-31 | 28 |
| 13 |
Avellino | 23 | 28-37 | 28 |
| 14 |
Sampdoria | 24 | 26-32 | 26 |
| 15 |
Virtus Entella | 24 | 23-31 | 25 |
| 16 |
Reggiana | 24 | 26-34 | 24 |
| 17 |
Mantova | 24 | 24-38 | 23 |
| 18 |
Spezia | 23 | 20-30 | 21 |
| 19 |
Bari | 23 | 19-36 | 20 |
| 20 |
Pescara | 24 | 27-48 | 15 |
