1. Home
  2. Leagues
  3. CAF Champions League
  4. ES Tunis vs Petro de Luanda

Finished

ES Tunis

€20.60m

14 Feb11:00
2 : 0

Petro L

€2.05m

Preview

ES Tunis vs Petro L Prediction CAF Champions League

ES Tunis vs Petro de Luanda prediction: Group D drama in Rades

The ES Tunis vs Petro de Luanda prediction basically comes with a calculator, a rulebook, and a nervous crowd in Rades. This CAF Champions League Group D finale is set for Saturday, February 14, 2026, at Hammadi Agrebi Stadium in Tunis (kickoff 16:00 GMT), and it’s simple: one of these teams grabs the last quarter-final ticket, the other watches from home.

What’s at stake (and why a “boring” draw isn’t boring)

Both sides arrive level on 6 points. Stade Malien have already locked first place on 11, while Simba are out on 2. So yes, it’s tense.

  • ES Tunis go through with a win, or even a low-scoring draw (0-0 or 1-1), helped by their better overall goal difference.
  • Petro de Luanda need a win, or a high-scoring draw (2-2 or more). With the first leg ending 1-1 in Luanda, away-goals math could still bite.

Tactical picture: control vs transitions

ES Tunis, now led by Maher Kenzari after Miguel Cardoso moved on, should lean into a 4-3-3 or a more cautious 4-5-1. Expect them to squeeze the midfield through Houssem Tka and Abdramane Konaté, because Petro’s plan is usually to stay compact and punch quickly in transition.

Petro coach Frank Artiga often switches between a 3-3.67-1 and a tight 4-3-3. It’s not always pretty, but it’s disciplined—exactly the kind of approach that can make a big stadium go quiet if they nick the first goal.

Players and little storylines that matter

In goal, ES Tunis rely on Bechir Ben Saïd, with Yassine Meriah leading the defending. Up top, Florian Danho and Kouceila Boualia carry much of the threat—though Danho has taken heat for missed chances. Petro answer with veteran keeper Hugo Marques and forwards Jó Paciência plus Tiago Reis. Fun (and painful) detail: Danho and Paciência have both been tagged as “wasteful” in the group stage, so finishing might decide everything.

  • Referee: Kenya’s Peter Waweru, experienced and not easily rattled.
  • Head to head: a habit of draws—two 0-0 results before the 1-1 earlier this season.

ES Tunis vs Petro de Luanda prediction: betting odds and AI picks

The betting odds point strongly to the hosts: Home win 1.48, Draw 3.67, Away win 7.6. That lines up with squad strength too—ES Tunis are valued around €20.60m vs Petro’s €2.05m. Still, Petro already proved they can travel and surprise, like that 0-1 win at Simba on 2025-11-23 (priced at 5.6). So nobody in Tunis should be counting tickets early.

Our numbers-driven call keeps it straightforward:

  • Most valuable bet: Home win (1) at 1.48, trust score 8.8/10
  • 1X2 prediction: 1 (ES Tunis win), trust rating 10.0, odds 1.48
  • Total goals: Under 2.5 goals, confidence 1.0, odds 1.65

How the game may look on the pitch

Model projections suggest ES Tunis control: 63% possession, about 12 shots to 6, and on-target shots at 3 to 1. Corners lean 3.67 to the hosts (6 total). With both sides expected to play carefully—and with qualification math rewarding caution—this leans to a tight script rather than fireworks.

Expected final score: 1-0 ES Tunis
Half-time score: 1-0

So, if you’re playing the ES Tunis vs Petro de Luanda prediction angles: home win plus under 2.5 feels like the “smart sweater” bet—nothing flashy, but it keeps you warm when the nerves hit.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

ES Tunis didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for ES Tunis vs Petro L

1 -208

ES Tunis is expected to win with odds of -208
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -208

ES Tunis is expected to win with odds of -208
10/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -208

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -233

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.53
xG
0.6
63%
Ball Possession
37%
12
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
2

Average / Match

1.9
Total Goals
2.3
1.2
Goals Scored
1.6
0.7
Goals Against
0.7

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
7
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

ES Tunis
1 - 3 - 0
Petro de Luanda
Petro de Luanda Petro L 29-Nov-25
1:1
ES Tunis ES Tunis
Petro de Luanda Petro L 19-Dec-23
0:0
ES Tunis ES Tunis
ES Tunis ES Tunis 14-Feb-26
2:0
Petro L Petro de Luanda

Profile time Recent Matches of ES Tunis

23 AprD ES Tunis ES Tunis 2 ES Zarzis ES Zarzis 2
18 AprL Mamelodi Mamelodi 1 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0
12 AprL ES Tunis ES Tunis 0 Mamelodi Mamelodi 1
04 AprD ES Sahel ES Sahel 0 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0
28 MarW WS Al Hamma WS Al Hamma 0 ES Tunis ES Tunis 5
21 MarW Al Ahly Al Ahly 2 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3
15 MarW ES Tunis ES Tunis 1 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0
07 MarW ES Tunis ES Tunis 1 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0
01 MarW Olympique B Olympique B 0 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3
25 FebD Metlaoui Metlaoui 1 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Petro L

25 AprWPetro L Petro L 6 Luanda City Luanda City 0
19 AprDKabuscorp Kabuscorp 0 Petro L Petro L 0
11 AprDInterclube Interclube 0 Petro L Petro L 0
08 AprWRecreativo L Recreativo L 0 Petro L Petro L 2
04 AprWPetro L Petro L 1 Sao Salvador Sao Salvador 0
14 MarDPetro L Petro L 1 Wiliete Wiliete 1
07 MarWBravos M Bravos M 0 Petro L Petro L 3
28 FebWPetro L Petro L 4 Sagrada Sagrada 1
19 FebWPetro L Petro L 2 Desportivo H Desportivo H 0
14 FebLES Tunis ES Tunis 2 Petro L Petro L 0
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches