Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our Ghana vs Mali prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this crucial World Cup - Qualification Africa match on September 8, 2025. With both teams eyeing a spot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fans can expect a tense evening at the Accra Sports Stadium. Let’s dive into the form, team news, head to head stats, and our AI’s best betting tips for this high-stakes encounter.
This isn’t just another qualifier—this is a meeting between two of West Africa’s proudest football nations, with everything to play for. Ghana, currently topping Group I with 16 points, have made their home ground a fortress, winning all three qualifiers in Accra so far. However, their last outing—a 1-1 draw against Chad—left fans and coach Otto Addo wanting more. The Black Stars will be eager to bounce back and cement their lead.
Mali, meanwhile, sit third in the group with 12 points. Their spirits are high after a convincing 3-0 win over Comoros, and they’ve only lost once in their last seven qualifiers. The Eagles have built a reputation as tough opponents, but a string of draws has kept them from climbing higher. With four points separating them from Ghana, this match could be a turning point.
If you’re a fan of history, the head to head stats favor Ghana. Out of 25 previous meetings, Ghana have won 12, Mali 6, and 7 have ended in a draw. The last time these two met in World Cup qualification, Ghana came away with a 2-1 win on Malian soil. In the last four encounters, Ghana have triumphed three times. Will home advantage tip the balance again?
Ghana’s style under Otto Addo has been about control and quick transitions, especially at home. Expect them to press high and use their pace on the wings—especially with Paintsil back. Mali, on the other hand, are compact and disciplined, often looking to hit on the counter. With both teams missing a few key midfielders, the battle in the middle could be scrappy, and set-pieces might play a big role.
The betting odds suggest Ghana are favorites, but not overwhelming ones. A draw is a real possibility, and Mali’s away win odds might tempt risk-takers. But what does our AI say about the Ghana vs Mali prediction?
Our AI is leaning towards a home win or draw, but with a moderate trust level—meaning there’s room for surprises. The under 2.5 total goals prediction fits the pattern of recent meetings: tight, tactical, and not exactly goal-fests. With both teams missing key midfielders, don’t expect a shootout.
To sum up our Ghana vs Mali prediction: Ghana’s home form and historical edge make them favorites, but Mali’s resilience and recent confidence boost mean this could be closer than the odds suggest. If you’re betting, the 1X market looks safe, and under 2.5 goals is a sensible shout. For those feeling bold, backing Ghana outright at 2.12 could pay off—especially if their returning stars hit the ground running.
Whatever happens, this match is set to be a tense, tactical battle with World Cup dreams on the line. Grab your snacks, settle in, and enjoy what promises to be a classic African qualifier!
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1X -400
Ghana to win or draw with odds of -4001 112
Ghana is expected to win with odds of 112Under 2.5 -208
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -156
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -172
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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2
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0
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1
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 Mali |
06-Jun-24
1:2
| Ghana  |
| Mali |
09-Oct-20
3:0
| Ghana |
| Ghana |
21-Jan-17
1:0
| Mali |
World - World Cup - Qualification Africa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ghana | 10 | 23-6 | 25 |
| 2 |
Madagascar | 10 | 17-12 | 19 |
| 3 |
Mali | 10 | 17-6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Comoros | 10 | 12-13 | 15 |
| 5 |
Central African | 10 | 11-24 | 8 |
| 6 |
Chad | 10 | 5-24 | 1 |
