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Match Prediction

Guadeloupe vs Guatemala Prediction

Finished

Guadeloupe

€10.52m

24 Jun19:00
2 : 3

Guatemala

€7.20m

Preview

Guadeloupe vs Guatemala Prediction CONCACAF Gold Cup

Guadeloupe vs Guatemala Prediction: A Tactical Gold Cup Encounter Under Houston Lights

When the Gold Cup calendar flips to June 25, 2025, all eyes turn to Shell Energy Stadium for a contest that’s anything but straightforward. The Guadeloupe vs Guatemala prediction market is buzzing, and for good reason: this is a meeting of two sides whose strengths and weaknesses create a chessboard of possibilities for savvy bettors. With Guatemala priced as narrow favorites (2.2 for the away win), the draw at 4.8, and Guadeloupe at 4.8, the betting odds tell a story of balance, tension, and opportunity.

Setting the Stage: Numbers, Nerves, and Nightfall

The floodlights will illuminate more than just players—they’ll cast a spotlight on margins so tight that even the smallest edge could tip the outcome. Guadeloupe, with a squad value of €10.52m, brings a touch more depth and technical quality than Guatemala’s €7.20m roster. Yet, the head to head data and recent form don’t hand either side a clear advantage, making this Gold Cup fixture a genuine test of tactical discipline.

  • Possession split: Guadeloupe 48%, Guatemala 52%—expect a tug-of-war in midfield.
  • Shot creation: Guadeloupe average 13 shots (4 on target); Guatemala, 10 (3 on target).
  • Set-piece threat: 8 corners projected (5 for Guadeloupe, 3 for Guatemala)—dead balls could prove decisive.
  • Discipline: Both sides average just one yellow card, suggesting a clean but competitive affair.

Betting Odds and Market Movements: Where’s the Value?

Despite the odds favoring Guatemala, the AI-driven insights from NerdyTips flag up the 1X market (Guadeloupe win or draw at 2.2) as the top value play—even if the trust rating is a modest 2.9/10. This suggests that while the algorithms spot potential in Guadeloupe’s resilience, uncertainty reigns. The home side’s slightly higher shot volume and set-piece prowess (those 5 home corners could decide a game with razor-thin margins) offer a plausible path to an upset or at least a share of the points.

  • 1X (Home win or draw): 2.2 odds, trust 2.9/10
  • Guadeloupe outright: 4.8 odds, trust 1.2/10
  • Under 4.8 total goals: 1.29 odds, confidence 1.4/10

Key Tactical Battles and Trends

The Guadeloupe vs Guatemala prediction hinges on a few pivotal matchups:

  1. Midfield control: Guatemala’s slight edge in possession (52%) could help them dictate tempo, but Guadeloupe’s ability to win set-pieces and transition quickly means they’ll never be out of it.
  2. Clinical finishing: With a higher squad value and more shots per game, Guadeloupe may convert more chances—if they keep composure in front of goal.
  3. Defensive discipline: Both sides’ low card count points to tactical awareness—expect few reckless challenges and a focus on structure.

Predicted Score and Best Bets

Our model projects a 2-1 result in favor of Guadeloupe, reflecting their slightly superior attacking output and set-piece threat. The under 4.8 goals market (1.29 odds) aligns with the expected cagey tempo—this isn’t likely to be a goal fest, but rather a battle of patience and precision.

  • Best bet: 1X (Guadeloupe win or draw) at 2.2—backed by shot and corner metrics.
  • Secondary bet: Under 4.8 total goals at 1.29—supported by both teams’ measured approach and combined 7 on-target shots per game.
  • Score prediction: Guadeloupe 2-1 Guatemala—edge to the home side in a tight contest.

Final Thoughts: Betting Smart in a Tactical Chess Match

While the market leans toward Guatemala, the underlying stats and AI models suggest this Gold Cup match is far from a foregone conclusion. The Guadeloupe vs Guatemala prediction for 2025 is a reminder that value often hides in the details—possession splits, corner counts, and squad depth. With both teams disciplined and clinical, expect a tense, low-scoring affair where a single set-piece or moment of composure could define the outcome. For bettors seeking an edge, the 1X market offers intrigue—if not certainty—in a game where the referee’s whistle may be the only thing more disciplined than the players themselves.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is highly increasing for unknown reasons. Avoid betting!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Guadeloupe vs Guatemala

1X 120

Guadeloupe to win or draw with odds of 120
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 380

Guadeloupe is expected to win with odds of 380
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -120

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 152

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
3
1.3
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.5
54%
Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10.2
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.3
4.8
Shots off Goal
3.7
12.1
Fouls
11.7
4.8
Corners
3.5
1.8
Offsides
2.7
1.38
Yellow Cards
2.2
0
Red Cards
0
377
Total Passes
368

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
5
4
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
2
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Guadeloupe
0 - 1 - 1
Guatemala
Guadeloupe Guadeloupe 04-Jul-23
2:3
Guatemala Guatemala
Guatemala Guatemala 07-Jul-21
1:1
Guadeloupe Guadeloupe

World - CONCACAF Gold Cup World - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Panama Panama3
10-3
9
2 Guatemala Guatemala3
4-3
6
3 Jamaica Jamaica3
3-6
3
4 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe3
5-10
0
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