Preview
Our Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin prediction lands on a familiar Argentine script: a loud stadium, a tight scoreline, and managers who want control more than chaos. Mark Saturday, 2025.732-14 at 22:45 GMT for Round 5 of the Liga Profesional (Apertura), played at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, “El Palacio,” in Parque Patricios. Huracán arrive with a little extra spring after beating San Lorenzo 1–0 on February 8, while Sarmiento de Junín come looking for a steadier first step after a bumpy opening month.
Diego Martínez has been framing Huracán as a team “in growth,” and it shows in their approach: they want possession, width, and protagonismo at home. Expect Huracán to build patiently, then speed up once the ball reaches the half spaces—especially if Leonardo Gil gets time to dictate rhythm. Gil is also carrying a neat narrative edge: reports note he has never lost an Argentine derby across four clubs, and that calm tends to spread.
Sarmiento, under Facundo Sava, has been publicly honest about needing a reset—pressure, compactness, and less self-harm in transitions. His 4-4-2 is usually a working block first, with quick exits toward Diego Churín or Marabel. With Javier Burrai already rated among their best performers early on, the visitors may accept long stretches without the ball if it keeps the game close.
A fun subplot: both coaches are nicknamed “Colo,” so the sideline duel is a “Colo vs Colo” affair—less about fireworks, more about who blinks first.
The head to head note leans Huracán at El Ducó: their last meeting here ended 3–1 on 2024-10-05. Still, Sarmiento have shown they can bend without breaking—like that 1–1 away draw at San Lorenzo (2025-11-15) at massive odds. Huracán, meanwhile, have proof they can travel and suffer too, highlighted by the surprise 2–1 win at Corinthians (2025-04-02) at 5.735 odds.
From a sports betting perspective, the market sets Huracán as clear favorites: betting odds show Home 1.8, Draw 3.2, Away 5.73. That fits the squad value gap (€23.73m vs €11.65m), but it doesn’t guarantee goals.
The model’s match stats support that “small margins” feel: possession 58%–42%, total shots 13–9, and shots on goal just 3.2. With only nine corners projected (5–4) and Sarmiento expected to collect more yellows (4 vs 2), the game reads like Huracán circulating the ball while Sarmiento interrupts the rhythm.
So, our Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin prediction is a measured home win in a low-scoring frame. If you’re choosing between markets, the under 2.5 goals aligns best with the tempo, shot quality projection, and the expected 0–0 at the break—exactly the kind of night where one Caicedo moment decides everything.
Read More
Read Less
Want to see how AI predicts football matches? → Check the latest results !
Avoid first matches from a league!
|
6
-
5
-
2
|
|
Huracan |
05-Oct-24
3:1
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Sarmiento |
21-May-23
0:0
| Huracan ![]() |
Huracan |
12-Aug-22
4:1
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Sarmiento |
13-Sep-21
0:0
| Huracan ![]() |
Huracan |
13-Apr-21
3:0
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Huracan |
25-Sep-16
0:0
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Huracan |
17-Oct-15
3:0
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Huracan |
19-Oct-14
2:2
| Sarmiento ![]() |
Sarmiento |
23-Aug-14
0:0
| Huracan ![]() |
| 08 Feb | W |
Huracan.
|
1:0
| San Lorenz.
|
| 01 Feb | D |
Atl. Tucum.
|
1:1
| Huracan.
|
| 27 Jan | L |
Huracan.
|
1:2
| Rivadavia.
|
| 22 Jan | D |
Banfield.
|
1:1
| Huracan.
|
| 16 Jan | D |
Cucuta.
|
1:1
| Huracan.
|
| 17 Nov | D |
Barracas .
|
1:1
| Huracan.
|
| 08 Nov | L |
Huracan.
|
0:2
| Newells.
|
| 03 Nov | W |
Defensa J.
|
1:3
| Huracan.
|
| 22 Oct | L |
Huracan.
|
0:1
| Central C.
|
| 12 Oct | L |
Aldosivi.
|
2:0
| Huracan.
|
| 08 Feb | W | Sarmiento. |
2:1 |
Atl. Tucum.![]() |
| 04 Feb | L | Rivadavia. |
2:1 |
Sarmiento.![]() |
| 30 Jan | W | Sarmiento. |
1:0 |
Banfield.![]() |
| 26 Jan | L | Argentino. |
1:0 |
Sarmiento.![]() |
| 15 Nov | D | San Lorenz. |
1:1 |
Sarmiento.![]() |
| 09 Nov | W | Sarmiento. |
2:1 |
Instituto.![]() |
| 03 Nov | D | Platense. |
1:1 |
Sarmiento.![]() |
| 24 Oct | L | Sarmiento. |
0:1 |
Rosario C.![]() |
| 19 Oct | L | Sarmiento. |
0:2 |
Velez S.![]() |
| 12 Oct | W | River Plat. |
0:1 |
Sarmiento.![]() |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. | 4 | 7-3 | 12 |
| 2 |
Tigre | 4 | 10-3 | 10 |
| 3 |
Belgrano | 4 | 4-2 | 8 |
| 4 |
River Plate | 4 | 4-4 | 7 |
| 5 |
Sarmiento | 4 | 4-4 | 6 |
| 6 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 4 | 5-6 | 6 |
| 7 |
Barracas | 4 | 3-2 | 5 |
| 8 |
Huracan | 4 | 4-4 | 5 |
| 9 |
Rosario | 4 | 4-4 | 5 |
| 10 |
Argentinos JRS | 4 | 2-2 | 5 |
| 11 |
Banfield | 4 | 3-4 | 4 |
| 12 |
Aldosivi | 4 | 2-4 | 3 |
| 13 |
Racing Club | 4 | 5-8 | 3 |
| 14 |
Atletico | 4 | 3-5 | 2 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 4 | 1-5 | 1 |