Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin prediction for Feb 14, 2026

Our Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin prediction lands on a familiar Argentine script: a loud stadium, a tight scoreline, and managers who want control more than chaos. Mark Saturday, 2025.732-14 at 22:45 GMT for Round 5 of the Liga Profesional (Apertura), played at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, “El Palacio,” in Parque Patricios. Huracán arrive with a little extra spring after beating San Lorenzo 1–0 on February 8, while Sarmiento de Junín come looking for a steadier first step after a bumpy opening month.

Match story, tactics, and what to watch early

Diego Martínez has been framing Huracán as a team “in growth,” and it shows in their approach: they want possession, width, and protagonismo at home. Expect Huracán to build patiently, then speed up once the ball reaches the half spaces—especially if Leonardo Gil gets time to dictate rhythm. Gil is also carrying a neat narrative edge: reports note he has never lost an Argentine derby across four clubs, and that calm tends to spread.

Sarmiento, under Facundo Sava, has been publicly honest about needing a reset—pressure, compactness, and less self-harm in transitions. His 4-4-2 is usually a working block first, with quick exits toward Diego Churín or Marabel. With Javier Burrai already rated among their best performers early on, the visitors may accept long stretches without the ball if it keeps the game close.

Team news and likely lineups

• Huracán key men: Jordy Caicedo (match-winner vs San Lorenzo), Leonardo Gil (tempo and set-pieces).
• Huracán injuries: Milton Ríos (tendon) and N. Paz (back) out; Leonel Pérez is a doubt (muscle); D. Zabala nearing return from ACL.
• Sarmiento key men: Diego Churín (new focal point), Burrai (often keeps them alive), plus Cristian Zabala and Jhon Rentería in the engine room.
• Sarmiento injuries: Joel Godoy and G. González remain out long term (cruciate ligaments).

A fun subplot: both coaches are nicknamed “Colo,” so the sideline duel is a “Colo vs Colo” affair—less about fireworks, more about who blinks first.

Head to head angle and psychological edge

The head to head note leans Huracán at El Ducó: their last meeting here ended 3–1 on 2024-10-05. Still, Sarmiento have shown they can bend without breaking—like that 1–1 away draw at San Lorenzo (2025-11-15) at massive odds. Huracán, meanwhile, have proof they can travel and suffer too, highlighted by the surprise 2–1 win at Corinthians (2025-04-02) at 5.735 odds.

NerdyTips numbers, betting odds, and best bets

From a sports betting perspective, the market sets Huracán as clear favorites: betting odds show Home 1.8, Draw 3.2, Away 5.73. That fits the squad value gap (€23.73m vs €11.65m), but it doesn’t guarantee goals.

AI predictions (and how they connect)

• Best wager: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.41), confidence 4.2/10.
• 1X2 pick: Huracán to win (1) at 1.84, trust 2.2/10.
• Projected score: 1–0 full time; 0–0 at half time.

The model’s match stats support that “small margins” feel: possession 58%–42%, total shots 13–9, and shots on goal just 3.2. With only nine corners projected (5–4) and Sarmiento expected to collect more yellows (4 vs 2), the game reads like Huracán circulating the ball while Sarmiento interrupts the rhythm.

So, our Huracan vs Sarmiento Junin prediction is a measured home win in a low-scoring frame. If you’re choosing between markets, the under 2.5 goals aligns best with the tempo, shot quality projection, and the expected 0–0 at the break—exactly the kind of night where one Caicedo moment decides everything.