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Match Prediction

Iceland vs Ukraine Prediction

Iceland

€78.20m

10 Oct14:45
3 : 5

Ukraine

€309.80m

Preview

Iceland vs Ukraine Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Iceland vs Ukraine Prediction: Odds, Tactics, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Iceland vs Ukraine prediction for the World Cup Qualification Europe match on October 10, 2025. If you're looking for a human-written, insightful take on this fixture, you've come to the right place. We’ll break down the head to head stats, recent form, tactical approaches, and serve up our best betting tips, all wrapped up in a style that’s easy to digest for football fans everywhere.

Match Context: A Nordic Test for Ukraine’s Ambitions

The stage is set at Reykjavík’s Laugardalsvöllur, where Iceland will host Ukraine in a crucial Group D encounter. Both teams have a history of tight contests, with their last five meetings resulting in one win apiece and three draws. Their most recent head to head was in March 2024, when Ukraine edged Iceland 2-1 in a Euro 2024 playoff final, coming from behind—a testament to Ukraine’s resilience and Iceland’s stubbornness.

This time, the stakes are just as high. Iceland, under new coach Arnar Gunnlaugsson, are looking to bounce back from a mixed bag of results in 2025. Their 5-0 thrashing of Azerbaijan was quickly followed by a narrow 2-1 defeat to France, and earlier losses to Kosovo and Northern Ireland. The squad, featuring experienced names like Aron Gunnarsson and rising stars like captain Orri Steinn Óskarsson, is eager to prove that their footballing revolution is still alive and kicking.

Ukraine, managed by the tactically astute Serhiy Rebrov, have also had a rollercoaster year. A 0-2 defeat to France and a 1-1 draw with Azerbaijan in September 2025 underline their inconsistency, but they’ve shown flashes of brilliance, such as their 3-1 win over Belgium in the Nations League play-offs. However, injuries to key players like Oleksandr Zinchenko, Roman Yaremchuk, and Viktor Tsyhankov could test their squad depth in Reykjavík.

Tactics and Team News: How Will They Line Up?

Let’s break down the tactical chess match we expect to see:

  • Iceland: Typically set up in a flexible 4-4-2, Iceland focus on defensive solidity and patient build-up play. Their wingers look to exploit space, while midfielders like Albert Guðmundsson link defense and attack. Expect them to be disciplined, looking to frustrate Ukraine and strike on the break.
  • Ukraine: Rebrov’s preferred 4-2-3-1 emphasizes a well-organized defense and quick transitions. Ukraine’s pressing game and pace up front can trouble any backline, but with several attacking absentees, they may need to be more creative in breaking down Iceland’s defense.

Squad depth could be a decisive factor. Iceland’s squad is valued at €78.20m, while Ukraine’s is a hefty €309.80m, reflecting the visitors’ greater resources. However, football isn’t played on spreadsheets—especially not in Reykjavík’s unpredictable October weather.

Key Facts and Recent Form

  • This is a World Cup 2026 qualifier, Group D.
  • Iceland’s last five games: 5-0 win vs Azerbaijan, 2-1 loss vs France, 1-3 loss vs Kosovo, 1-0 loss vs Northern Ireland, 3-1 win vs Scotland (friendly).
  • Ukraine’s last five games: 0-2 loss vs France, 1-1 draw vs Azerbaijan, 2-1 win vs New Zealand, 4-2 loss vs Canada, 3-1 win vs Belgium.
  • Ukraine’s home matches are currently played in Poland due to ongoing conflict.

Iceland vs Ukraine Prediction: Odds, Value Bets, and Final Score

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Iceland vs Ukraine prediction—what do the odds, stats, and our AI betting tips suggest for this intriguing match-up?

  • Match Odds: Home win (Iceland) at 3.15, Draw at 3.2, Away win (Ukraine) at 2.3.
  • Most Valuable Bet: Over 1.5 goals (at least two goals in the match) at 1.33, with a trust score of 8.0/10.
  • 1x2 Market Prediction: Iceland to win, with odds of 3.15 and a trust rating of 2.1 (low confidence, but high reward).
  • Predicted Final Score: 3-2 in favor of Iceland, with a 1-0 lead at halftime.

Our AI sees this as a game where both teams will create chances—possession is forecast at 48% for Iceland and 52% for Ukraine, with 10 shots for the hosts and 11 for the visitors. Expect both sides to hit the target four times each, and a total of seven corners. Discipline should be decent, with two yellow cards for Iceland and one for Ukraine.

Betting Tips and What to Watch For

  • Over 1.5 Goals: With both teams showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, this is our top betting tip. Odds of 1.33 make it a solid option for accumulators.
  • Value in the Home Win: While Ukraine are favorites on paper, Iceland’s home advantage and Ukraine’s injury list could tilt the balance. At 3.15, the home win is a tempting punt for those who like a bit of risk.
  • Expect Goals: Both teams have scored and conceded freely in recent matches. Our predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects the likelihood of an open, entertaining game.

In summary, our Iceland vs Ukraine prediction points toward a lively contest with goals at both ends. Iceland’s tactical discipline and home support could see them edge a depleted Ukraine side, but the visitors’ quality means nothing is certain. For punters, over 1.5 goals is the safest bet, while adventurous types might fancy the home win at juicy odds.

Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more head to head stats, betting tips, and match previews. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, our Iceland vs Ukraine prediction aims to give you the edge for this World Cup qualifier.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Iceland vs Ukraine

O1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 215

Iceland is expected to win with odds of 215
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -125

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 109

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.7
Total Goals
2.8
1.8
Goals Scored
1.3
1.9
Goals Against
1.5
50%
Possession
49%
10.1
Total Shots
9.9
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.4
4
Shots off Goal
4.1
11.9
Fouls
10.4
3.2
Corners
4
0.8
Offsides
1.9
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.1
Red Cards
0
416
Total Passes
414

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
8
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Iceland
1 - 1 - 1
Ukraine
Ukraine Ukraine 26-Mar-24
2:1
Iceland Iceland
Iceland Iceland 05-Sep-17
2:0
Ukraine Ukraine
Ukraine Ukraine 05-Sep-16
1:1
Iceland Iceland

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 France France6
16-4
16
2 Ukraine Ukraine6
10-11
10
3 Iceland Iceland6
13-11
7
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan6
3-16
1
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