Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to your essential Iraq vs Bahrain prediction for the FIFA Arab Cup 2025 Group D encounter, set for December 3, 2025, at Stadium 974 in Doha. With both teams eager to make a statement in a group that also features Algeria and Sudan, this fixture promises tactical intrigue and plenty of betting angles. Let’s break down the key facts, stats, and predictions you need before placing your bets.
Iraq, now under the guidance of experienced Australian coach Graham Arnold, enter this match with a renewed sense of discipline and organization. Arnold’s arrival has brought a pragmatic approach, focusing on defensive solidity and structured build-up play. Iraq’s squad, valued at €12.70m, boasts a blend of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, making them a tough nut to crack in Group D.
Bahrain, meanwhile, have shown they can punch above their weight. Their recent 2:2 draw with Australia—despite being heavy underdogs—demonstrated resilience and a knack for exploiting opportunities on the break. With a squad value of €7.25m, Bahrain may not have the star power of their rivals, but they make up for it with tactical discipline and collective spirit.
Historically, Iraq and Bahrain have produced tightly contested matches, often decided by fine margins. Both teams are known for their organized defenses and measured approach, which has led to low-scoring affairs in their recent head to head meetings. With the stakes high in this group stage, expect both managers to prioritize caution over risk.
Now, let’s turn to the numbers and our AI’s betting tips for this Iraq vs Bahrain prediction. The odds reflect Iraq’s slight edge, with a home win priced at 2.12, a draw at 3.3, and a Bahrain win at 3.7. Despite Iraq’s favoritism, the stats suggest a cagey affair.
Our AI’s recommendation for under 2.5 goals is backed by both teams’ recent defensive records and their tendency to keep things tight in big matches. With only three on-target shots expected in total, goals could be at a premium. The predicted 1:0 scoreline for Iraq fits the pattern of their recent performances—solid at the back, efficient up front.
While Bahrain are projected to shade possession, Iraq’s experience and slightly higher squad value could prove decisive. Both teams are expected to create a handful of chances, but the finishing touch may be lacking on the day. If you’re looking for value, the under 2.5 goals market stands out as the safest play, while a narrow Iraq win is also worth considering for your betting slip.
To sum up this Iraq vs Bahrain prediction, expect a tactical battle where patience and discipline are likely to trump attacking flair. Iraq’s recent form under Graham Arnold, combined with their squad depth, gives them the edge, but Bahrain’s ability to frustrate stronger opponents cannot be underestimated. For punters, the best betting tips are:
With both teams eyeing a crucial three points in a tough group, this match could be decided by a single moment of quality. Stay tuned to nerdytips.com for more expert analysis and betting tips on every FIFA Arab Cup fixture.
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U2.5 -164
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1641 112
Iraq is expected to win with odds of 112Under 2.5 -164
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -128
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -143
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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0
-
5
-
1
|
|
 Bahrain |
25-Dec-24
2:0
| Iraq  |
| Bahrain |
03-Dec-21
0:0
| Iraq |
| Iraq |
05-Dec-19
2:2
| Bahrain |
| Iraq |
19-Nov-19
0:0
| Bahrain |
| Bahrain |
05-Sep-19
1:1
| Iraq |
| Bahrain |
23-Dec-17
1:1
| Iraq |
Recent Matches of Iraq| 12 Dec | L |
Jordan.
|
1:0
| Iraq.
|
| 09 Dec | L |
Algeria.
|
2:0
| Iraq.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
Sudan.
|
0:2
| Iraq.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Iraq.
|
2:1
| Bahrain.
|
| 18 Nov | W |
Iraq.
|
2:1
| United A.
|
| 13 Nov | D |
United A.
|
1:1
| Iraq.
|
| 14 Oct | D |
Saudi Arab.
|
0:0
| Iraq.
|
| 11 Oct | W |
Iraq.
|
1:0
| Indonesia.
|
| 07 Sep | W |
Thailand.
|
0:1
| Iraq.
|
| 04 Sep | W |
Iraq.
|
2:1
| Hong Kong.
|
Recent Matches of Bahrain
| 09 Dec | W | Bahrain. |
3:1 |
Sudan. |
| 06 Dec | L | Bahrain. |
1:5 |
Algeria. |
| 03 Dec | L | Iraq. |
2:1 |
Bahrain. |
| 26 Nov | W | Bahrain. |
1:0 |
Djibouti. |
| 17 Nov | L | Bahrain. |
1:2 |
Somalia. |
| 09 Oct | L |  Morocco. |
1:0 |
Bahrain. |
| 08 Sep | L |  United A. |
1:0 |
Bahrain. |
| 03 Sep | D |  Qatar. |
2:2 |
Bahrain. |
| 10 Jun | L |  China. |
1:0 |
Bahrain. |
| 05 Jun | L | Bahrain. |
0:2 |
Saudi Arab. |
World - Arab Cup| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iraq | 2 | 4-1 | 6 |
| 2 |
Algeria | 2 | 5-1 | 4 |
| 3 |
Sudan | 2 | 0-2 | 1 |
| 4 |
Bahrain | 2 | 2-7 | 0 |
