Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Iraq vs Indonesia prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this crucial World Cup Qualification Asia fixture. With both teams eyeing a place at the 2026 World Cup, the stakes could not be higher for this Group B match at Alinma Stadium in Jeddah. Whether you're a die-hard fan or just looking for some smart betting tips, we've got you covered with a blend of stats, tactical analysis, and a touch of humor to keep things lively.
The Iraq vs Indonesia prediction starts with a look at their recent form and tactical setups. Iraq, the so-called 'home' side (though this is neutral ground in Saudi Arabia), has history on their side. In seven previous head-to-head meetings, Iraq has won six and drawn one—Indonesia’s fans are still waiting for that elusive first win.
Their most recent encounter, back in June 2024, saw Iraq cruise to a 2-0 victory. In fact, the last three meetings have all gone Iraq’s way, including a 5-1 demolition in Basra and a 3-1 win in the Asian Cup. If you’re hunting for betting tips, that’s a head-to-head record you can’t ignore.
On the tactical front, Iraq’s new manager, Graham Arnold, is still searching for his first win in charge. He prefers a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, focusing on quick transitions and aggressive pressing. Indonesia, under Dutch legend Patrick Kluivert, has turned to a 3-4-3 formation, using a high defensive line and pressing hard in the first half—something that caught Iraq off guard in their last meeting.
Both teams have something to prove. Iraq is desperate to end a 40-year World Cup drought, while Indonesia dreams of returning to the big stage for the first time since 1938. With only the group winner qualifying directly, every point matters.
Iraq finished third in their previous qualifying group, showing consistency with four wins, four draws, and two losses. They scored 14 goals and conceded eight, with their attacking duo Ali and Hussein responsible for over a third of those goals. Indonesia, meanwhile, had a mixed bag—impressive wins over Bahrain and China but also a heavy loss to Japan. They bounced back with a friendly demolition of Taiwan and a gritty draw against Lebanon.
Both coaches have been vocal about their ambitions. Arnold wants to “achieve the dream of millions,” while Kluivert is rallying the nation behind his underdogs. Jay Idzes, one of Indonesia’s key men, has promised to give everything for the Garuda.
Let’s get to the numbers and our Iraq vs Indonesia prediction. The current odds favor Iraq at 1.65 for the win, with a draw at 3.7 and Indonesia as the long shot at 5.1. Our AI recommends over 1.5 goals in the match (odds 1.3), with a trust level of 4.0/10. Not exactly a slam dunk, but history and recent form suggest at least two goals are likely.
In the 1x2 market, our analysis predicts Iraq as the most likely winner, with a confidence level of 2.7. The AI’s best betting tip is still the over 1.5 goals, but with moderate trust—so maybe don’t bet the house, but a cheeky flutter could make things interesting.
To sum up our Iraq vs Indonesia prediction: Iraq’s superior squad value (€22.48m vs. €6.15m), head-to-head dominance, and tactical edge make them clear favorites. Indonesia has improved and could surprise, especially with their new wave of Dutch-Indonesian talent, but the odds—and the stats—are stacked against them.
Whatever the outcome, this match is a milestone for both teams. Iraq is dreaming of a return to the World Cup, while Indonesia is writing a new chapter in their football story. For punters and fans alike, this is one to watch—and maybe, just maybe, one to bet on.
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O1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3331 -154
Iraq is expected to win with odds of -154Over 1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -103
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -208
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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3
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0
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0
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|
 Indonesia |
06-Jun-24
0:2
| Iraq  |
| Indonesia |
15-Jan-24
1:3
| Iraq |
| Iraq |
16-Nov-23
5:1
| Indonesia |
World - World Cup - Qualification Asia| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saudi Arabia | 2 | 3-2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Iraq | 2 | 1-0 | 4 |
| 3 |
Indonesia | 2 | 2-4 | 0 |
