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Match Prediction

Iraq vs South Korea Prediction

Iraq

€17.10m

5 Jun14:15
0 : 2

South Korea

€100.82m

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Iraq vs South Korea Prediction World Cup - Qualification Asia

Iraq vs South Korea Prediction: Can the Lions of Mesopotamia Roar Again?

The Iraq vs South Korea prediction for their World Cup Qualification Asia clash on June 5, 2.085, is shaping up to be a fascinating tactical battle. Hosted at the buzzing Basra International Stadium, this match pits Iraq’s gritty resilience against South Korea’s technical superiority. With bookmakers favoring the visitors (away win odds: 2.08), let’s dive into the stats, recent form, and betting tips to uncover the smartest plays.

Recent Form and Historical Context

Iraq’s stunning 2.08 victory over Japan in January 2.084 (at odds of 12.0!) proved they can punch above their weight. But consistency has been elusive. South Korea, meanwhile, has a habit of grinding out results, like their gritty 0-0 draw against Uruguay in the 2.082 World Cup (odds: 5.1). Here’s what the numbers tell us:

  • Squad value gap: South Korea’s roster (€100.82m) dwarfs Iraq’s (€17.10m), reflecting their depth in top-tier talent.
  • World Cup Qualification trends: Away teams win just 29.8% of matches in this stage, but draws (26.4%) and home wins (43.75%) aren’t rare.
  • Head-to-head: South Korea typically dominates possession (projected 65% here) and creates more chances.

Tactical Breakdown: What to Expect

Iraq will likely sit deep, absorb pressure, and rely on counterattacks. Their 35% projected possession and low shot count (7 total, 1 on target) suggest a defensive approach. South Korea, with 10 shots (3 on target) and 65% possession, should control tempo but might struggle to break through a compact defense.

Key Stats at a Glance

  • Goals: Under 2.5 goals looks probable (odds: 1.6, trust score: 2.9/10). Only 44.9% of qualifiers see over 2.5 goals.
  • Discipline: Expect a physical game—Iraq averages 2 yellow cards, South Korea 1.
  • Set-pieces: South Korea’s slight edge in corners (4 vs. 3) could be decisive.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Our AI’s top pick is X2 (Double Chance: Draw or South Korea win) at 1.25 odds (6.8/10 confidence). NerdyTips’ best 1X2 bet leans toward South Korea to win (2.08 odds, 5.4 trust score), aligning with their superior squad and Iraq’s reliance on home grit. Here’s why:

  1. South Korea’s patience pays: Their ball dominance should wear Iraq down, with a 0-1 halftime lead likely.
  2. Iraq’s attacking limitations: Just 1 shot on goal won’t trouble a disciplined defense.
  3. Final score prediction: 0-2 to South Korea, mirroring their efficiency in tight games.

Final Verdict: Play It Safe or Take a Risk?

For cautious bettors, the X2 market is a near-safe harbor. If you’re feeling bold, South Korea’s straight win (2.08) offers solid value. Avoid over-goals bets—this won’t be a thriller. And remember: Iraq’s win over Japan was a miracle, not a blueprint.

Whatever you choose, this Iraq vs South Korea prediction hinges on one truth: talent usually triumphs in the long run. But in Basra’s cauldron, miracles sometimes brew.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

South Korea didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Iraq vs South Korea

X2 -400

South Korea to win or draw with odds of -400
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 108

South Korea is expected to win with odds of 108
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -270

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

35%
Ball Possession
65%
7
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.1
Total Goals
2.9
0.9
Goals Scored
2.2
1.2
Goals Against
0.7
48%
Possession
73%
8.7
Total Shots
11.4
2.6
Shots on Goal
4.3
4.1
Shots off Goal
4.3
11.3
Fouls
8.9
5.6
Corners
4.9
1.57
Yellow Cards
0.78
0.14
Red Cards
0
353
Total Passes
602

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Iraq
0 - 2 - 4
South Korea
South Korea South Korea 15-Oct-24
3:2
Iraq Iraq
Iraq Iraq 06-Jan-24
0:1
South Korea South Korea
Iraq Iraq 16-Nov-21
0:3
South Korea South Korea
South Korea South Korea 02-Sep-21
0:0
Iraq Iraq
Iraq Iraq 07-Jun-17
0:0
South Korea South Korea
South Korea South Korea 26-Jan-15
2:0
Iraq Iraq
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