Israel
€84.40m
Moldova
€15.30m
Preview
Welcome to our Israel vs Moldova prediction for the final round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers. While the venue is Stadionul Zimbru in Chişinău, Moldova, Israel will technically be the “home” team due to a ban on hosting matches in their own country. With both teams out of the qualification race, this game is all about pride, development, and, of course, a few interesting angles for sports betting fans. Let’s break down the head to head stats, tactics, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks for this encounter.
This is a story of two sides at different stages of their footballing journey. Israel, sitting third in Group I with nine points from seven matches, have already been eliminated but are eager to end their campaign on a high. Moldova, rooted to the bottom with just a single point, are still searching for their first win. The head to head record is firmly in Israel’s favor: three wins and a draw in their last four meetings, including a thumping 4-0 win in September 2025. Moldova’s last surprise came way back in 2023, when they held Poland to a draw—an upset that still gets mentioned in Chişinău coffee shops.
Squad news is a bit of a patchwork for Israel: Manor Solomon, Daniel Peretz, Tai Baribo, and Muhammed Abu Fani are all unavailable for various reasons, from injuries to weddings. Still, Oscar Gloukh remains a creative force in midfield. Moldova welcome back experienced playmaker Artur Ionita, and Ion Nicolaescu—who scores roughly every three games—will be their main threat up front, supported by PSG youth product Virgiliu Postolachi.
Coaching-wise, Ran Ben Shimon wants to win, develop his team’s style, and give minutes to fringe players. Moldova’s interim boss Lilian Popescu faces a tough task, but at least the pressure is off.
Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Israel are strong favorites at 1.45 for the win, the draw is priced at 4.9, and a Moldova upset sits at a distant 8.75. For those who like to play the markets, the over 2.5 goals bet is offered at 1.72, and our AI system gives this tip a confidence of 4.0/10. Not the highest, but considering Moldova’s leaky defense and Israel’s attacking intent, it feels like a solid angle.
Our AI’s 1x2 prediction is a home win (Israel) with a trust level of 2.0. The over 2.5 goals pick is slightly more confident at 4.1. With Moldova’s defensive woes and Israel’s technical superiority (market value: €84.40m vs €15.30m), the stats and the story both point in the same direction.
In summary, our Israel vs Moldova prediction is a comfortable win for Israel, with goals likely at both ends. Moldova may have a puncher’s chance, but the odds and the stats suggest this is Israel’s night—even if it’s in Chişinău. For more head to head analysis, betting odds, and sports betting tips, keep following us at NerdyTips.
Welcome to our Israel vs Moldova prediction for the final round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers. While the venue is Stadionul Zimbru in Chişinău, Moldova, Israel will technically be the “home” team due to a ban on hosting matches in their own country. With both teams out of the qualification race, this game is all about pride, development, and, of course, a few interesting angles for sports betting fans. Let’s break down the head to head stats, tactics, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks for this encounter.
This is a story of two sides at different stages of their footballing journey. Israel, sitting third in Group I with nine points from seven matches, have already been eliminated but are eager to end their campaign on a high. Moldova, rooted to the bottom with just a single point, are still searching for their first win. The head to head record is firmly in Israel’s favor: three wins and a draw in their last four meetings, including a thumping 4-0 win in September 2025. Moldova’s last surprise came way back in 2023, when they held Poland to a draw—an upset that still gets mentioned in Chişinău coffee shops.
Squad news is a bit of a patchwork for Israel: Manor Solomon, Daniel Peretz, Tai Baribo, and Muhammed Abu Fani are all unavailable for various reasons, from injuries to weddings. Still, Oscar Gloukh remains a creative force in midfield. Moldova welcome back experienced playmaker Artur Ionita, and Ion Nicolaescu—who scores roughly every three games—will be their main threat up front, supported by PSG youth product Virgiliu Postolachi.
Coaching-wise, Ran Ben Shimon wants to win, develop his team’s style, and give minutes to fringe players. Moldova’s interim boss Lilian Popescu faces a tough task, but at least the pressure is off.
Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Israel are strong favorites at 1.45 for the win, the draw is priced at 4.9, and a Moldova upset sits at a distant 8.75. For those who like to play the markets, the over 2.5 goals bet is offered at 1.72, and our AI system gives this tip a confidence of 4.0/10. Not the highest, but considering Moldova’s leaky defense and Israel’s attacking intent, it feels like a solid angle.
Our AI’s 1x2 prediction is a home win (Israel) with a trust level of 2.0. The over 2.5 goals pick is slightly more confident at 4.1. With Moldova’s defensive woes and Israel’s technical superiority (market value: €84.40m vs €15.30m), the stats and the story both point in the same direction.
In summary, our Israel vs Moldova prediction is a comfortable win for Israel, with goals likely at both ends. Moldova may have a puncher’s chance, but the odds and the stats suggest this is Israel’s night—even if it’s in Chişinău. For more head to head analysis, betting odds, and sports betting tips, keep following us at NerdyTips.
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Meaningless match!
O2.5 -139
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1391 -222
Israel is expected to win with odds of -222Over 2.5 -139
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 102
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -323
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:1
|
3
-
1
-
0
|
|
Moldova |
05-Sep-25
0:4
| Israel ![]() |
Israel |
12-Oct-21
2:1
| Moldova ![]() |
Moldova |
31-Mar-21
1:4
| Israel ![]() |
Israel |
06-Jun-17
1:1
| Moldova ![]() |
| 16 Nov | W |
Israel.
|
4:1
| Moldova.
|
| 13 Nov | D |
Lithuania.
|
0:0
| Israel.
|
| 14 Oct | L |
Italy.
|
3:0
| Israel.
|
| 11 Oct | L |
Norway.
|
5:0
| Israel.
|
| 08 Sep | L |
Israel.
|
4:5
| Italy.
|
| 05 Sep | W |
Moldova.
|
0:4
| Israel.
|
| 06 Jun | W |
Estonia.
|
1:3
| Israel.
|
| 25 Mar | L |
Israel.
|
2:4
| Norway.
|
| 22 Mar | W |
Israel.
|
2:1
| Estonia.
|
| 17 Nov | W |
Israel.
|
1:0
| Belgium.
|
| 16 Nov | L | Israel. |
4:1 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 13 Nov | L | Moldova. |
0:2 |
Italy.![]() |
| 14 Oct | D | Estonia. |
1:1 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 09 Oct | L | Romania. |
2:1 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 09 Sep | L | Norway. |
11:1 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 05 Sep | L | Moldova. |
0:4 |
Israel.![]() |
| 09 Jun | L | Italy. |
2:0 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 06 Jun | L | Poland. |
2:0 |
Moldova.![]() |
| 25 Mar | L | Moldova. |
2:3 |
Estonia.![]() |
| 22 Mar | L | Moldova. |
0:5 |
Norway.![]() |
World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norway | 8 | 37-5 | 24 |
| 2 |
Italy | 8 | 21-12 | 18 |
| 3 |
Israel | 8 | 19-20 | 12 |
| 4 |
Estonia | 8 | 8-21 | 4 |
| 5 |
Moldova | 8 | 5-32 | 1 |