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Match Prediction

Israel vs Moldova Prediction

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World Cup - Qualification

Israel

€84.40m

16 Nov14:45
4 : 1

Moldova

€15.30m

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Israel vs Moldova Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Israel vs Moldova Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Match Analysis

Welcome to our Israel vs Moldova prediction for the final round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers. While the venue is Stadionul Zimbru in Chişinău, Moldova, Israel will technically be the “home” team due to a ban on hosting matches in their own country. With both teams out of the qualification race, this game is all about pride, development, and, of course, a few interesting angles for sports betting fans. Let’s break down the head to head stats, tactics, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks for this encounter.

Match Context, Team News, and Tactical Insights

This is a story of two sides at different stages of their footballing journey. Israel, sitting third in Group I with nine points from seven matches, have already been eliminated but are eager to end their campaign on a high. Moldova, rooted to the bottom with just a single point, are still searching for their first win. The head to head record is firmly in Israel’s favor: three wins and a draw in their last four meetings, including a thumping 4-0 win in September 2025. Moldova’s last surprise came way back in 2023, when they held Poland to a draw—an upset that still gets mentioned in Chişinău coffee shops.

  • Israel have mixed results in this campaign, with three wins and four defeats. Their attack averages 1.6 goals per game, but their defense has leaked two per match.
  • Moldova have endured a torrid time, conceding 28 goals in seven games (over 3 per match) and scoring just 0.6 per game. Their recent 11-1 loss to Norway is one for the history books, though not in a good way.

Squad news is a bit of a patchwork for Israel: Manor Solomon, Daniel Peretz, Tai Baribo, and Muhammed Abu Fani are all unavailable for various reasons, from injuries to weddings. Still, Oscar Gloukh remains a creative force in midfield. Moldova welcome back experienced playmaker Artur Ionita, and Ion Nicolaescu—who scores roughly every three games—will be their main threat up front, supported by PSG youth product Virgiliu Postolachi.

  • Israel will look to control possession (forecast: 63%) and use their midfield creativity and pace on the wings, despite missing some regular starters.
  • Moldova are expected to sit deep in a compact 5-3-2, hoping to frustrate Israel and maybe nick a goal on the break.

Coaching-wise, Ran Ben Shimon wants to win, develop his team’s style, and give minutes to fringe players. Moldova’s interim boss Lilian Popescu faces a tough task, but at least the pressure is off.

Betting Odds, AI Tips, and Our Israel vs Moldova Prediction

Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Israel are strong favorites at 1.45 for the win, the draw is priced at 4.9, and a Moldova upset sits at a distant 8.75. For those who like to play the markets, the over 2.5 goals bet is offered at 1.72, and our AI system gives this tip a confidence of 4.0/10. Not the highest, but considering Moldova’s leaky defense and Israel’s attacking intent, it feels like a solid angle.

  • Final score prediction: 3:1 to Israel
  • Half-time prediction: 1:0 to Israel
  • Possession forecast: Israel 63%, Moldova 37%
  • Total shots: Israel 15, Moldova 9
  • Shots on goal: Israel 6, Moldova 2
  • Corners: Israel 5, Moldova 3
  • Yellow cards: 1 each

Our AI’s 1x2 prediction is a home win (Israel) with a trust level of 2.0. The over 2.5 goals pick is slightly more confident at 4.1. With Moldova’s defensive woes and Israel’s technical superiority (market value: €84.40m vs €15.30m), the stats and the story both point in the same direction.

Sports Betting Tips for Israel vs Moldova

  1. Back Israel to win at 1.45. The head to head record, squad quality, and motivation all favor the “home” side.
  2. Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 is a tempting option, given Moldova’s defensive record and Israel’s attacking style.
  3. Correct score 3:1 is worth a small punt for those who like a bigger return.

In summary, our Israel vs Moldova prediction is a comfortable win for Israel, with goals likely at both ends. Moldova may have a puncher’s chance, but the odds and the stats suggest this is Israel’s night—even if it’s in Chişinău. For more head to head analysis, betting odds, and sports betting tips, keep following us at NerdyTips.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Israel vs Moldova

O2.5 -139

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -139
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -222

Israel is expected to win with odds of -222
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -139

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 102

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -323

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

63%
Ball Possession
37%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.6
Total Goals
3.9
1.7
Goals Scored
0.6
1.9
Goals Against
3.3
51%
Possession
35%
12
Total Shots
9.5
5.1
Shots on Goal
3.1
4.1
Shots off Goal
3.6
9.2
Fouls
10.6
4.4
Corners
3.6
1.6
Offsides
0.9
1.13
Yellow Cards
1.5
0
Red Cards
0.17
441
Total Passes
296

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
0
7
Over 1.5 Goals
10
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Israel
3 - 1 - 0
Moldova
Moldova Moldova 05-Sep-25
0:4
Israel Israel
Israel Israel 12-Oct-21
2:1
Moldova Moldova
Moldova Moldova 31-Mar-21
1:4
Israel Israel
Israel Israel 06-Jun-17
1:1
Moldova Moldova

Profile time Recent Matches of Israel

16 NovW Israel Israel.
4:1
Moldova. Moldova
13 NovD Lithuania Lithuania.
0:0
Israel. Israel
14 OctL Italy Italy.
3:0
Israel. Israel
11 OctL Norway Norway.
5:0
Israel. Israel
08 SepL Israel Israel.
4:5
Italy. Italy
05 SepW Moldova Moldova.
0:4
Israel. Israel
06 JunW Estonia Estonia.
1:3
Israel. Israel
25 MarL Israel Israel.
2:4
Norway. Norway
22 MarW Israel Israel.
2:1
Estonia. Estonia
17 NovW Israel Israel.
1:0
Belgium. Belgium

Profile time Recent Matches of Moldova

16 NovLIsrael Israel.
4:1
Moldova.Moldova
13 NovLMoldova Moldova.
0:2
Italy.Italy
14 OctDEstonia Estonia.
1:1
Moldova.Moldova
09 OctLRomania Romania.
2:1
Moldova.Moldova
09 SepLNorway Norway.
11:1
Moldova.Moldova
05 SepLMoldova Moldova.
0:4
Israel.Israel
09 JunLItaly Italy.
2:0
Moldova.Moldova
06 JunLPoland Poland.
2:0
Moldova.Moldova
25 MarLMoldova Moldova.
2:3
Estonia.Estonia
22 MarLMoldova Moldova.
0:5
Norway.Norway

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Norway Norway8
37-5
24
2 Italy Italy8
21-12
18
3 Israel Israel8
19-20
12
4 Estonia Estonia8
8-21
4
5 Moldova Moldova8
5-32
1
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