Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our Italy vs Estonia prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this World Cup Qualification Europe fixture on September 5, 2025. With Italy hosting Estonia at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, fans and punters alike are eager to see if the Azzurri can maintain their perfect head-to-head record. Let’s dive into the stats, team news, and betting odds to see what’s in store.
Italy and Estonia are no strangers to each other, but history has been rather one-sided. Italy have won all seven previous meetings, scoring 20 goals and conceding just 2. Their last encounter, a friendly in 2020, ended 4-0 for the Italians. The odds are stacked in favor of the home side, and for good reason.
Looking at recent form, Italy have had mixed results, including a notable 3-1 away win over France and a 2-0 victory against Moldova. Estonia, meanwhile, have struggled, with losses to Norway and Israel, but did manage a spirited 3-2 win over Moldova.
The numbers paint a clear picture. Italy’s squad is valued at a staggering €727.50m, dwarfing Estonia’s €11.73m. The betting odds reflect this gulf in class:
Italy are expected to dominate possession (69%), rack up 18 shots (6 on target), and win 6 corners. Estonia, by contrast, are forecasted to muster just 5 shots (1 on target) and 1 corner. With both teams predicted to keep their discipline (no yellow cards expected), the focus will be on football, not fouls.
Now for the part everyone’s waiting for: our Italy vs Estonia prediction. NerdyTips’ AI gives this one a trust level of 10 out of 10 for a home win, with the best value tip being Italy to win by at least two goals (H1), offered at 1.28 odds. The over 2.5 total goals market also looks promising, with odds of 1.33 and a confidence level of 3.7.
In short, all signs point to a comfortable night for the Azzurri. With a dominant head-to-head record, superior squad value, and a new manager eager to impress, Italy are expected to control the game from start to finish. Estonia’s best hope may be to keep the score respectable and look for positives to build on in future qualifiers.
For punters and fans, this Italy vs Estonia prediction suggests a straightforward outcome. Expect Italy to deliver, and don’t be surprised if the final scoreline flatters the hosts. Sometimes, football is as simple as the numbers say—especially when the numbers are this one-sided.
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H1 -357
H11 -1250
Italy is expected to win with odds of -1250Over 2.5 -303
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -222
At least one team is not expected to score
3:0
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1
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0
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0
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 Italy |
11-Nov-20
4:0
| Estonia  |
