icon back

Match Prediction

Italy vs Norway Prediction

Finished
World flag World
World Cup - Qualification

Italy

€846.00m

16 Nov19:45
1 : 4

Norway

€478.90m

Preview

Italy vs Norway Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Italy vs Norway Prediction: A Battle of Pride and Precision Awaits

On November 16, 2.275, under the iconic floodlights of San Siro, the footballing world will witness a high-stakes encounter as Italy host Norway in a crucial FIFA World Cup European qualifier. If you’re searching for the most insightful Italy vs Norway prediction, you’re in the right place. Both teams bring their own stories, ambitions, and tactical nuances to the pitch, promising a night of drama, goals, and perhaps a few surprises for punters and fans alike.

Background: Form, Motivation, and What’s at Stake

This Group I meeting is more than just another qualifier. For Norway, it’s a celebratory lap after a flawless campaign—seven wins, no draws, no defeats, with a remarkable 33 goals scored and just four conceded. Their recent 4-1 triumph over Estonia sealed their first World Cup ticket since 1998. For Italy, however, the pressure is palpable. Gennaro Gattuso’s men have found new life with five straight wins, but the memory of a 3-0 defeat to Norway earlier this year still lingers. The Azzurri need a miracle—a 9-0 win or equivalent—to avoid the play-offs, making this Italy vs Norway prediction all the more intriguing.

Head to Head, Key Players, and Tactical Insights

Historically, Italy have had the upper hand in this fixture, with 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses from 18 meetings. But Norway’s emphatic win in June flipped the script, proving that past records can be rewritten. Here’s what you need to know:

  • Italy’s Key Men: Mateo Retegui leads the charge with five goals and four assists, while Federico Dimarco and Gianluca Scamacca add creative and finishing flair. Davide Frattesi is set to start, but Riccardo Calafiori and Sandro Tonali are unavailable, alongside Moise Kean and Nicolo Cambiaghi.
  • Norway’s Firepower: Erling Haaland is Europe’s top scorer with 14 goals in qualifying and a jaw-dropping 53 in 47 for his country. Alexander Sørloth, fresh from a brace against Estonia, and Julian Ryerson will be vital, but captain Martin Ødegaard misses out due to injury.
  • Tactics: Gattuso’s Italy are defensively solid, blending low-press discipline with flexible formations. Norway, meanwhile, are direct and explosive, thriving on swift transitions and Haaland’s lethal finishing.

Match Statistics and What They Tell Us

The numbers add extra spice to our Italy vs Norway prediction:

  1. Possession: Italy are expected to control 59% of the ball, with Norway at 41%—suggesting the Azzurri will dictate tempo, but Norway’s counter-attacks remain a threat.
  2. Shots: Italy should register 15 shots (5 on target), Norway 10 (4 on target). Both teams are likely to create clear chances.
  3. Corners & Cards: Expect 7 corners (4 for Italy, 3 for Norway) and a surprisingly tame affair with just one yellow card apiece.
  4. Squad Value: Italy’s €846m squad dwarfs Norway’s €478.9m, but recent form suggests money isn’t everything.

AI Betting Tips and Final Italy vs Norway Prediction

Now, let’s turn to the numbers nerds (that’s us) and our AI’s take on the betting tips. The bookmakers have Italy as favourites (2.27 for a home win), but the draw at 3.6 is catching sharp eyes—especially since our AI analysis gives the draw (X) a confidence rating of 2.0. If you’re feeling bold, a punt on the draw could pay dividends.

But here’s where it gets even more interesting: Our AI’s top betting tip is over 2.5 goals (odds 1.7, confidence 6.5/10). Both teams have firepower, and with Italy needing to chase goals and Norway playing with freedom, an open game is on the cards. The predicted final score? A thrilling 2.27, with Norway perhaps taking a surprise 1-0 lead into halftime.

  • Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.7, confidence 6.5/10)
  • Value Bet: Draw (odds 3.6, confidence 2.0)
  • Correct Score Tip: 2.27 draw

Final Thoughts: Who Will Shine in Milan?

With Italy’s need for a miracle and Norway’s confidence at an all-time high, this is one of those rare qualifiers where the script is unwritten. Whether you’re here for the betting tips, head to head stats, or just a good Italy vs Norway prediction, expect goals, drama, and a contest worthy of the San Siro stage. And if you’re placing a bet, remember: sometimes, football writes its own story—so bet responsibly, and enjoy the show!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Italy vs Norway

O2.5 -143

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -143
6/10

1x2 Tip

X 260

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -143

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -172

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 105

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

4.1
Total Goals
4.5
2.5
Goals Scored
4
1.6
Goals Against
0.5
58%
Possession
61%
17.5
Total Shots
18.9
6.1
Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots off Goal
5.6
10.2
Fouls
8.8
5.8
Corners
6
1
Offsides
1.3
1.44
Yellow Cards
0.89
0
Red Cards
0
499
Total Passes
527

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
9
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
7
5
Over 3.5 Goals
6
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Italy
0 - 0 - 1
Norway
Norway Norway 06-Jun-25
3:0
Italy Italy

Profile time Recent Matches of Italy

16 NovL Italy Italy.
1:4
Norway. Norway
13 NovW Moldova Moldova.
0:2
Italy. Italy
14 OctW Italy Italy.
3:0
Israel. Israel
11 OctW Estonia Estonia.
1:3
Italy. Italy
08 SepW Israel Israel.
4:5
Italy. Italy
05 SepW Italy Italy.
5:0
Estonia. Estonia
09 JunW Italy Italy.
2:0
Moldova. Moldova
06 JunL Norway Norway.
3:0
Italy. Italy
23 MarD Germany Germany.
3:3
Italy. Italy
20 MarL Italy Italy.
1:2
Germany. Germany

Profile time Recent Matches of Norway

16 NovWItaly Italy.
1:4
Norway.Norway
13 NovWNorway Norway.
4:1
Estonia.Estonia
14 OctDNorway Norway.
1:1
New Zealand.New Zealand
11 OctWNorway Norway.
5:0
Israel.Israel
09 SepWNorway Norway.
11:1
Moldova.Moldova
04 SepWNorway Norway.
1:0
Finland.Finland
09 JunWEstonia Estonia.
0:1
Norway.Norway
06 JunWNorway Norway.
3:0
Italy.Italy
25 MarWIsrael Israel.
2:4
Norway.Norway
22 MarWMoldova Moldova.
0:5
Norway.Norway

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Norway Norway8
37-5
24
2 Italy Italy8
21-12
18
3 Israel Israel8
19-20
12
4 Estonia Estonia8
8-21
4
5 Moldova Moldova8
5-32
1
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches