Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction - Oct 2, 2026

Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction: Riga Test Favors Visitors

This Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction points toward a difficult evening for the hosts when the game kicks off at 17:00 GMT on October 2, 2026. Skonto Stadium in Riga provides the setting for a match between a Latvia side still seeking momentum and a confident Montenegro team.

Opposite starts in Nations League Group 2

Latvia enter this UEFA Nations League League C fixture after collecting one point from their first two Group 2 matches. Paolo Nicolato’s team lost 2-0 away to Armenia on September 25 before drawing 0-0 with Cyprus in Riga three days later. The defensive improvement was welcome, but Latvia are still searching for their first goal of the campaign.

Montenegro have travelled in the opposite direction. The Brave Falcons lead the group with six points after two entertaining victories. Goals from Nikola Krstović and Milutin Osmajić helped them recover to beat Cyprus 2-1, while a 3-2 win in Armenia showed both their attacking quality and their willingness to take risks. Their matches have not exactly been bedtime stories.

Nicolato selected a 26-player Latvia squad containing experienced internationals and six uncapped players. One important update concerns Queens Park Rangers defender Denniss Cirkins. He was originally expected to feature only in the first two games, but QPR later allowed him to remain with the national team after he debuted against Armenia and completed 90 minutes against Cyprus.

Latvia can also call upon the experience of Roberts Savaļnieks, Andrejs Cigaņiks and Jānis Ikaunieks, each with more than 70 senior caps. Their task will be to keep the team organised, limit spaces between the lines and turn rare counterattacks into clear chances. Montenegro should control more of the ball and use Krstović and Osmajić to stretch the home defence.

Betting odds and the strongest selection

The match betting odds make Montenegro clear favourites. A home win is available at 4.7, the draw is 3.5, and an away victory is priced at 1.87. The difference in squad value supports that market view: Latvia are valued at approximately €14.72m, compared with Montenegro’s €82.18m.