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Match Prediction

Madagascar vs Central African Republic Prediction

Finished

Madagascar

€8.23m

13 Aug10:00
2 : 0

Central A

€14.30m

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Madagascar vs Central A Prediction African Nations Championship

Madagascar vs Central African Republic Prediction: Odds, Tips & Storylines

The Madagascar vs Central African Republic prediction is on everyone’s radar as these two sides prepare to meet in the African Nations Championship (CHAN) Group B on August 13, 2025, at 15:00 GMT. With both teams hungry for a breakthrough, fans and punters alike are eager to see which way the scales will tip at the Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium in Dar es Salaam. Let’s break down the tactics, head to head stats, and betting odds before diving into our expert tips and AI-powered predictions.

Head to Head: History and Recent Encounters

When it comes to the head to head record, the Central African Republic (often called CAR) holds a slight advantage over Madagascar. Out of their seven previous meetings, CAR has claimed three wins, Madagascar has two, and two matches ended in a draw. However, the most recent encounter in March 2025 saw Madagascar pull off a stunning 4-1 victory in a FIFA World Cup Qualifier. It’s worth noting, though, that CHAN rules mean only home-based players are eligible, so both squads will look a bit different this time around.

Tactics and Team News: What to Expect on the Pitch

  • Madagascar (The Barea): Led by coach Romuald Rakotondrabe, or “Rôro” as he’s known, Madagascar favors a fluid, attacking style. Captain Andriamirado “Dax” Hasina anchors the midfield, while John Christiano Razafimanana brings pace and pressing up front. Nina Razakanirina is the creative spark, dictating tempo and threading passes. However, the Barea have struggled for form, failing to win any of their last six games and scoring just once in each of those matches. They opened CHAN with a 0-0 draw against Mauritania and a narrow 2-1 loss to Tanzania. Injuries have been minimal, though one player was sidelined with an ankle issue in their opener.
  • Central African Republic (Les Fauves): Under Sébastien Ngato, CAR is making its CHAN debut. Ngato prefers a solid defensive base and sharp counterattacks, usually lining up in a 4-3-3. The team’s discipline was on display in their surprise 0-0 draw against Mali earlier this year—a result that stunned many, given the high betting odds against them. While CAR’s squad is valued higher (€14.30m vs. Madagascar’s €8.23m), their lack of CHAN experience could be a factor.

Form and Motivation

Both teams arrive with something to prove. Madagascar’s coach has openly acknowledged the pain of recent results but insists his squad is motivated to turn things around. CAR, meanwhile, is riding a wave of optimism after holding Mali to a draw in their first CHAN outing. With both sides struggling to find the net lately, the total goals market is one to watch.

Betting Odds, Tips, and AI Predictions

  • Betting Odds: Home win (Madagascar) – 2.2, Draw – 2.88, Away win (CAR) – 3.5.
  • Best Tip (NerdyTips): 1X (Madagascar win or draw) at 1.27 odds, trust rating 3.9/10.
  • AI 1x2 Prediction: Home win (Madagascar) with a confidence level of 2.9 and odds of 2.2.
  • Under/Over: Under 2.5 goals at 1.44 odds, trust level 1.2.
  • Predicted Final Score: 2:0 for Madagascar. Half-time prediction: 2:0.

Analysis: How the Numbers Stack Up

Looking at the Madagascar vs Central African Republic prediction, the odds suggest a tight contest, but with a slight edge for the home side. Madagascar’s recent struggles in front of goal are balanced by their solid defensive displays, while CAR’s resilience and higher squad value make them dangerous on the break. The AI’s confidence in a home win is cautious, but the 1X tip offers a safer route for punters, especially given both teams’ tendency to draw or keep things tight.

With both sides drawing 0-0 against Mali in recent months, and neither showing much attacking flair, the under 2.5 goals market looks appealing. Still, our AI leans toward a 2:0 win for Madagascar, perhaps banking on their experience and the creative spark of players like Dax and Razakanirina to finally break the deadlock.

Final Thoughts: Our Madagascar vs Central African Republic Prediction

  1. Best Bet: 1X (Madagascar win or draw) – safe, but not spectacular.
  2. Value Bet: Home win at 2.2 odds – if you trust the AI’s gut.
  3. Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals – both teams are defensively sound and goal-shy.

In summary, the Madagascar vs Central African Republic prediction points to a low-scoring affair with the home side favored to edge it. Whether you’re a stats lover, a betting enthusiast, or just a fan of African football, this Group B encounter promises tactical intrigue and perhaps a few surprises—just don’t expect a goal fest. Mark your calendars for August 13, and may the best tip win!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Madagascar vs Central A

1X -370

Madagascar to win or draw with odds of -370
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 120

Madagascar is expected to win with odds of 120
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -227

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -164

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -172

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
2.2
0.9
Goals Scored
0.8
1.6
Goals Against
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Madagascar
3 - 1 - 2
Central African Republic
Madagascar Madagascar 13-Aug-25
2:0
Central A Central African Republic
Central African Republic Central A 19-Mar-25
1:4
Madagascar Madagascar
Central African Republic Central A 27-Mar-23
2:0
Madagascar Madagascar
Madagascar Madagascar 23-Mar-23
0:3
Central A Central African Republic
Madagascar Madagascar 13-Oct-15
2:2
Central A Central African Republic
Central African Republic Central A 10-Oct-15
0:3
Madagascar Madagascar
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