Preview
Mark the diary: the NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica prediction spotlight lands on Sunday, 2026-05-10 at 17:15 GMT (18:15 local time), when these neighbors in the table meet at Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš in Koprivnica. Gorica start the round in 6th, Slaven Belupo in 7th, so this is the kind of late-season game where one good afternoon can repaint the story of a whole spring.
Slaven Belupo’s bench has a fresh face but familiar roots. Club legend and Koprivnica native Mario Gregurina, still only 37, stepped in after Mario Kovačević moved to Dinamo Zagreb. Results have not always followed, yet the board has stayed publicly behind him. With top-flight safety already secured and finances stable, Slaven can play with less pressure — though their fans will tell you “less pressure” has not stopped the late drama.
Gorica, meanwhile, look more settled under Mario Carević. Appointed in late 2024, he has been credited with giving the team a clearer identity, and the January 2026 contract extension (running to 2026/27) underlined that the club believes in his direction. In sports betting terms, stability on the touchline often shows up in those small moments: game management, substitutions, and the ability to protect a lead.
The head to head also adds spice: the last meeting on 2025-12-05 ended 2-1 to Slaven Belupo, in a match where the betting odds slightly favored the home side (2.15 vs 3.6). That result doesn’t decide this one, but it does reinforce that these games rarely feel comfortable for either team.
Now to the numbers that matter for a NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica prediction on NerdyTips. Current 1x2 betting odds read: Home 2.35, Draw 3.4, Away 3.1. On pure pricing, Slaven get the nod, but our model leans the other way on the double chance.
The AI-generated best tip is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with confidence 4.0/10 (and the under/over market also points to over 1.5 with confidence 4.1 at 1.32). That is not a “max bet” signal, but it matches the match shape: Slaven’s tendency to concede late and Gorica’s ability to punish mistakes can turn a cagey start into a two-goal game.
The AI’s 1x2 prediction favors X2 at 1.62, with a calculated trust of 2.0. That low trust tells you this is a delicate read — the market isn’t wildly off — but the model sees Gorica as slightly better equipped to take something, even if Slaven have more of the ball.
Bottom line for sports betting: the safest read in this NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica prediction is goals rather than a straight winner. Over 1.5 looks aligned with both teams’ recent patterns and this head to head history, while X2 is the cautious side-door for anyone who expects Gorica’s structure to outlast Slaven’s late wobble.
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HNK Gorica didn't play better in the last H2H match!
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14
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9
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10
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HNK Gorica |
07-Mar-26
2:2
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
21-Sep-25
2:1
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
14-Mar-25
0:3
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
30-Sep-24
2:1
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
25-Feb-24
1:0
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
25-Aug-23
2:2
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
06-May-23
0:0
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
31-Oct-22
1:1
| Slaven B ![]() |
HNK Gorica |
18-Feb-22
0:3
| Slaven B ![]() |
| 04 May | L |
Istra 1961
| 3 |
Slaven B
| 1 |
| 25 Apr | D |
Slaven B
| 2 |
Vukovar
| 2 |
| 21 Apr | L |
Lokomotiva Z
| 2 |
Slaven B
| 1 |
| 17 Apr | D |
Slaven B
| 2 |
HNK H
| 2 |
| 12 Apr | L |
NK Varazdin
| 2 |
Slaven B
| 1 |
| 08 Apr | L |
HNK Rijeka
| 2 |
Slaven B
| 0 |
| 04 Apr | L |
Slaven B
| 0 |
HNK Rijeka
| 2 |
| 22 Mar | D |
Slaven Belupo
| 0 |
Osijek
| 0 |
| 14 Mar | L |
Din. Zagreb
| 4 |
Slaven Belupo
| 2 |
| 10 Mar | D |
Slaven Belupo
| 1 |
Lok. Zagreb
| 1 |
| 02 May | L | HNK Gorica |
1 | Dinamo Z |
2 |
| 27 Apr | W | HNK Gorica |
1 | Istra 1961 |
0 |
| 22 Apr | W | Vukovar |
1 | HNK Gorica |
2 |
| 17 Apr | L | HNK Gorica |
0 | Lokomotiva Z |
2 |
| 12 Apr | L | HNK H |
1 | HNK Gorica |
0 |
| 08 Apr | L | HNK Gorica |
3 | Dinamo Z |
6 |
| 03 Apr | D | NK Varazdin |
1 | HNK Gorica |
1 |
| 22 Mar | W | Gorica |
4 | Rijeka |
0 |
| 14 Mar | D | Osijek |
0 | Gorica |
0 |
| 07 Mar | D | Gorica |
2 | Slaven Belupo |
2 |
Croatia - HNL| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb | 33 | 87-27 | 79 |
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk | 33 | 54-30 | 64 |
| 3 |
NK Varazdin | 33 | 42-45 | 47 |
| 4 |
HNK Rijeka | 33 | 44-36 | 46 |
| 5 |
NK Lokomotiva | 33 | 38-50 | 41 |
| 6 |
Istra 1961 | 33 | 38-48 | 39 |
| 7 |
HNK Gorica | 33 | 38-45 | 38 |
| 8 |
NK Slaven | 33 | 44-55 | 38 |
| 9 |
NK Osijek | 33 | 25-46 | 32 |
| 10 |
Vukovar | 33 | 34-62 | 28 |