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Match Prediction

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction

Finished
World flag World
World Cup - Qualification

N. Ireland

€93.72m

17 Nov14:45
1 : 0

Luxembourg

€35.75m

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N. Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction: Betting Insights & Odds Analysis

Welcome to our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction, where we break down the key stats, team news, and betting odds for this World Cup Qualification Europe fixture set for 19:45 GMT on November 17, 2025. If you’re looking for a clear and easy-to-read guide to help you make smarter bets, you’re in the right place.

Team Form, Tactics, and What to Expect

Northern Ireland, playing at Windsor Park, arrive with a spring in their step. Third in their group and with six points from four matches, they’ve shown a knack for getting results—especially on home turf. Their recent 3-1 away win over Luxembourg and a 2-0 home triumph against Slovakia (who led the group at the time) underline their credentials. Over their last 13 home matches, Northern Ireland have won 10, making Belfast a tough place for visitors.

  • Squad depth is being tested: Several key players like Daniel Ballard, George Saville, Shea Charles, Ali McCann, Brodie Spencer, and Ethan Galbraith are unavailable due to suspensions or injuries. Still, manager Michael O’Neill is confident in his squad’s depth, with Bailey Peacock-Farrell expected to start in goal and a likely lineup featuring experienced names like McNair and Lyons.
  • Strong defense at home: Northern Ireland have kept five clean sheets in their last six home qualifiers, a sign of their defensive discipline under O’Neill.
  • Tactical approach: Expect the home side to control possession (predicted 55%) and push for early goals, aiming to settle nerves and put Luxembourg on the back foot.

Luxembourg, meanwhile, have endured a rough qualification campaign. Rooted to the bottom of their group with zero points from four games, they’ve managed just one goal while conceding heavily. The change in management to Jeff Strasser hasn’t sparked a turnaround yet, and their away record is bleak—five losses in their last seven qualifiers on the road.

  • Injury woes: Key players like Enes Mahmutovic, Yvandro Borges, Mica Pinto, and Vincent Thill are missing, though Mirza Mustafic makes a return and Adulai Djabi Embalo gets his first senior call-up.
  • Struggling for goals: Averaging just 0.5 goals scored per game and conceding 1.8, Luxembourg’s attack has lacked bite. Only 30% of their recent matches have seen both teams score.

Head to Head, Historical Trends & Stats

The recent head to head record strongly favors the hosts. Back on September 5, 2024, Northern Ireland won 2-0 away, and historically, they’ve dominated this fixture. The last time these sides met in Belfast, the home team also came out on top. With a squad value of €93.352m compared to Luxembourg’s €35.15m, the gap in quality is clear.

  • Expected match stats:
    • Shots: 12 for Northern Ireland, 7 for Luxembourg
    • Shots on goal: 3 vs 2
    • Total corners: 8 (5 for NI, 3 for Luxembourg)
    • Yellow cards: 0 for NI, 2 for Luxembourg
    • Expected final score: 2-0 (HT 1-0)

Betting Odds & Predictions

Let’s get to the numbers for our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction. The betting odds tell a clear story:

  1. Home win: 1.95831
  2. Draw: 3.35
  3. Away win: 5.1

Our AI-generated best tip is to back the home team (1) at odds of 1.95831, but with a trust level of just 2.7/10, the value isn’t huge. The 1x2 prediction also leans toward Northern Ireland (trust 2.8), with the same odds. For total goals, under 3.35 goals is suggested (odds 1.38, trust 2.5), supported by both teams’ recent scoring trends.

  • Best bet: Northern Ireland to win (1) at 1.95831
  • Value bet: Under 3.35 goals at 1.38
  • Correct score: 2-0 to Northern Ireland

Final Thoughts: Should You Trust the Odds?

While the odds for a home win are short, they reflect the gulf in form, squad value, and recent head to head results. Northern Ireland’s solid home record and Luxembourg’s struggles make a home win the logical prediction. For those seeking a bit more value, backing under 3.35 total goals could be a smart play, given both teams’ low-scoring matches.

To sum up, our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction is a comfortable win for the hosts, with a likely scoreline of 2-0. The stats, trends, and betting odds all point in the same direction. If you’re after a safe bet, Northern Ireland to win is the way to go.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is highly increasing for unknown reasons. Avoid betting!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for N. Ireland vs Luxembourg

1 -105

N. Ireland is expected to win with odds of -105
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

N. Ireland is expected to win with odds of -105
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -667

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -175

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -333

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
2.3
1.2
Goals Scored
0.5
1.6
Goals Against
1.8
35%
Possession
43%
9
Total Shots
7.8
2.9
Shots on Goal
2.6
4.1
Shots off Goal
3.1
12.1
Fouls
12.6
3.7
Corners
3
1.3
Offsides
0.8
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.25
Red Cards
0.29
277
Total Passes
352

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
1
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Northern Ireland
4 - 1 - 0
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Luxembourg 04-Sep-25
1:3
N. Ireland Northern Ireland
Luxembourg Luxembourg 18-Nov-24
2:2
N. Ireland Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland N. Ireland 05-Sep-24
2:0
Luxembourg Luxembourg
Luxembourg Luxembourg 25-Mar-22
1:3
N. Ireland Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland N. Ireland 05-Sep-19
1:0
Luxembourg Luxembourg

Profile time Recent Matches of N. Ireland

17 NovW N. Ireland N. Ireland.
1:0
Luxembourg. Luxembourg
14 NovL Slovakia Slovakia.
1:0
N. Ireland. N. Ireland
13 OctL N. Ireland N. Ireland.
0:1
Germany. Germany
10 OctW N. Ireland N. Ireland.
2:0
Slovakia. Slovakia
07 SepL Germany Germany.
3:1
N. Ireland. N. Ireland
04 SepW Luxembourg Luxembourg.
1:3
N. Ireland. N. Ireland
10 JunW N. Ireland N. Ireland.
1:0
Iceland. Iceland
07 JunL Denmark Denmark.
2:1
N. Ireland. N. Ireland
25 MarL Sweden Sweden.
5:1
N. Ireland. N. Ireland
21 MarD N. Ireland N. Ireland.
1:1
Switzerland. Switzerland

Profile time Recent Matches of Luxembourg

17 NovLN. Ireland N. Ireland.
1:0
Luxembourg.Luxembourg
14 NovLLuxembourg Luxembourg.
0:2
Germany.Germany
13 OctLSlovakia Slovakia.
2:0
Luxembourg.Luxembourg
10 OctLGermany Germany.
4:0
Luxembourg.Luxembourg
07 SepLLuxembourg Luxembourg.
0:1
Slovakia.Slovakia
04 SepLLuxembourg Luxembourg.
1:3
N. Ireland.N. Ireland
10 JunDLuxembourg Luxembourg.
0:0
Ireland.Ireland
06 JunLLuxembourg Luxembourg.
0:1
Slovenia.Slovenia
25 MarLSwitzerland Switzerland.
3:1
Luxembourg.Luxembourg
22 MarWLuxembourg Luxembourg.
1:0
Sweden.Sweden

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Germany Germany5
10-3
12
2 Slovakia Slovakia5
6-2
12
3 Northern Ireland Northern Irela5
6-6
6
4 Luxembourg Luxembourg5
1-12
0
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