icon back

Match Prediction

Once Municipal vs Firpo Prediction

Finished
El-Salvador flag El-Salvador
23 Apr21:00
1 : 3

Firpo

€3.03m

Preview

Once Municipal vs Firpo Prediction Primera Division

Once Municipal vs Firpo Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds?

The Once Municipal vs Firpo prediction is shaping up to be a classic case of David vs. Goliath—at least according to the bookmakers. On April 23, 2025, at 22:30 GMT, Estadio Arturo Simeón Magaña will host a match where the visitors are heavy favorites, but the home side has a history of punching above their weight. Let’s dive into the numbers, the trends, and the subtle quirks that could decide this Primera División encounter.

The Stakes: A Battle of Contrasts

Firpo arrives with a financial edge—their squad’s market value (€3.03m) dwarfs Once Municipal’s (undisclosed, but likely lower). The betting odds reflect this gap: Firpo sits at a cozy 1.73 to win, while Once Municipal’s moneyline drifts at 4.50. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Remember last December? Once Municipal toppled Firpo 2-1 despite being underdogs. Could history repeat itself?

Key Stats at a Glance

  • Home vs. Away: League-wide, home teams win 38.3% of matches—better than away wins (29.3%). But Firpo’s recent road form (like their 1-0 win at Águila in 2023) suggests they’re no pushovers.
  • Goal Trends: Only 41.8% of league games see over 2.5 goals, and both teams score in just 46% of matches. Tight, low-scoring affairs are the norm.
  • Head-to-Head: That December upset aside, Firpo’s odds have tightened significantly (from 2.64 to 1.73), hinting at renewed confidence in their squad.

Why the AI Loves ‘Under 2.5 Goals’

The nerds in the lab—and by lab, we mean the algorithms crunching sports betting data—are whispering “under” for this one. At 1.64 odds (7.0/10 confidence), it’s the AI’s top tip, and here’s why:

  1. Firpo’s Defense: They’ve kept clean sheets in 40% of their away games this season. Once Municipal, meanwhile, has struggled to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
  2. League DNA: Just 22.9% of matches surpass 3.5 goals. This isn’t a league for goal gluts.

The Humor Break

If expected goals (xG) were a currency, Firpo would be sipping cocktails on a financial beach while Once Municipal counts loose change. But football’s charm lies in its chaos—like that time Once Municipal beat Águila at 6.25 odds. Bookmakers aren’t rolling out the red carpet for them here, but stranger things have happened.

Firpo to Win—But Will It Be Pretty?

Our 1X2 pick leans Firpo (1.73 odds, 5.4/10 trust score), but don’t expect a fireworks display. Their likely game plan: control possession, squeeze space, and capitalize on set-pieces. The score prediction of 0-2 (0-1 HT) mirrors their pragmatic style and Once Municipal’s occasional scoring droughts.

The Wild Card: Once Municipal’s Home Grit

That 38.3% home win rate isn’t just a number—it’s a warning. Firpo’s favoritism isn’t a guarantee, especially if:

  • Once Municipal replicates their December head-to-head energy.
  • Firpo’s attack misfires (their conversion rate dips by 12% in away games).

Final Verdict: A Betting Puzzle

The Once Municipal vs Firpo prediction boils down to trust—do you believe the stats or the underdog spirit? Firpo’s odds feel fair, but if you’re feeling rebellious, a sprinkle on the home win (4.50) could spice up your night. Either way, keep expectations low for goals. This one’s likely to be a chess match, not a carnival.

So, will Firpo’s financial muscle flex its way to victory, or will Once Municipal’s home grit write a new chapter? The betting odds suggest the former, but football loves a plot twist. Place your bets wisely.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Once Municipal vs Firpo

U2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -156
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 -137

Firpo is expected to win with odds of -137
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -143

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -303

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
2.7
0.6
Goals Scored
1.8
1.9
Goals Against
0.9

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
3
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Once Municipal
7 - 10 - 11
Firpo
Once Municipal Once M 24-Apr-25
1:3
Firpo Firpo
Firpo Firpo 26-Feb-25
4:1
Once M Once Municipal
Firpo Firpo 08-Dec-24
1:1
Once M Once Municipal
Once Municipal Once M 05-Dec-24
2:1
Firpo Firpo
Once Municipal Once M 27-Oct-24
2:3
Firpo Firpo
Firpo Firpo 25-Aug-24
3:3
Once M Once Municipal
Firpo Firpo 10-Apr-24
5:1
Once M Once Municipal
Once Municipal Once M 07-Feb-24
3:1
Firpo Firpo
Firpo Firpo 16-Nov-23
3:1
Once M Once Municipal
Once Municipal Once M 20-Sep-23
1:1
Firpo Firpo

Profile time Recent Matches of Once M

Profile time Recent Matches of Firpo

01 FebFirpo Firpo.
-
Inter F.A.Inter F.A
25 JanWAlianza FC Alianza FC.
2:3
Firpo.Firpo

El-Salvador - Primera Division El-Salvador - Primera Division

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Águila Águila20
37-17
43
2 Firpo Firpo20
34-16
39
3 Alianza Alianza20
28-11
39
4 Isidro Metapán Isidro20
22-13
35
5 Municipal Limeño Municipal20
21-20
27
6 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique20
18-24
27
7 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San20
15-20
24
8 FAS FAS20
17-23
22
9 Platense Platense20
18-25
20
10 Dragón Dragón20
17-30
14
11 Once Municipal Once Municipal20
12-40
8
Video preview
You might also like:
Torino vs Lecce Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Manchester United vs Fulham
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches